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153.4m people are projected to face Catastrophic/Famine 2023—WBG

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The World Bank Group in recent report has said that 10 countries with the highest food price inflation, in nominal and real terms, faced Catastrophic/Famine levels of food insecurity, which indicates the threat of famine and extremely critical levels of malnutrition in several areas of the countries, marking the most countries facing such extreme levels of food and nutrition insecurity in the report’s history, which began in 2017. According to projections available for 38 of the 58 countries and territories as of March 2023, up to 153.4 million people are projected to be in IPC/CH Phase 3+ or equivalent in 2023. In addition, several shocks that occurred in early 2023 including tropical cyclone Freddy in Madagascar, Malawi and Mozambique, the earthquakes in the Syrian Arab Republic and Türkiye, and the escalating conflict in the Sudan, were not factored into the available estimates and are likely to exacerbate the acute food insecurity situation in these countries and territories.

The World Bank in a new report indicates that the number of people facing acute food insecurity at Crisis levels or worse has increased from 193 million in 2021. This mostly reflects an increase in the population analysed, although the prevalence of acute food insecurity has also increased from 21.3 percent of the population in 2021 to 22.7 percent in 2022. This trend indicates a deterioration of global acute food insecurity. Although the size of the population analysed has increased, the number of people experiencing Crisis or worse acute food insecurity is the highest on record since the GRFC started reporting these data in 2017. This marks the fourth consecutive year of increases in the global number of acutely food-insecure people.

The report said that the agricultural, cereal, and export price indices closed 8 per cent, 9 per cent and, 11 per cent lower, respectively, than two weeks ago. The decrease in maize and wheat prices, 14 percent and 11 percent lower, respectively, than two weeks ago, drove the decrease in the cereal price index. Rice prices remained relatively unchanged. The decrease in coffee prices, which were 12 percent lower than two weeks ago, was the primary driver of the decrease in the export price index. On a year-on-year basis, maize and wheat prices are 17 percent and 38 percent lower, respectively, while rice prices are 15 percent higher. Maize prices are 13 percent higher than in January 2021, while wheat and rice prices are 6 percent and 4 percent lower

According to the World Bank domestic food price inflation remains high. Information from the latest month between January 2023 and April 2023 for which food price inflation data are available shows high inflation in almost all low- and middle-income countries, with inflation greater than 5 percent in 64.7 percent of low-income countries, 83.7 percent of lower-middle-income countries, and 89.0 percent of upper-middle-income countries with many experiencing double-digit inflation. In addition, 81.8 percent of high-income countries are experiencing high food price inflation. The most-affected countries are in Africa, North America, Latin America, South Asia, Europe, and Central Asia. In real terms, food price inflation exceeded overall inflation in 84.3 per cent of the 159 countries for which food CPI and overall CPI indexes are both available. This week’s 10 countries with the highest food price inflation, in nominal and real terms.

The 2023 GRFC finds that the root causes of food crises are complex and interlinked, with conflicts, national and global economic shocks, and weather extremes acting as interrelated, mutually reinforcing drivers of acute food insecurity and hunger. Of these primary drivers, conflict and insecurity remain the most important, with the GRFC indicating that, by the end of 2022, there were an estimated 53.2 million internally displaced people, mainly displaced by conflict, in 25 food-crisis countries. This is an increase from 2021 levels, when there were an estimated 45 million internally displaced people in 24 food-crisis countries.

In addition to conflict and insecurity, the 2023 GRFC highlights that global economic risks and shocks have increased food insecurity and compounded preexisting economic vulnerabilities. For example, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has exacerbated COVID-19-induced socioeconomic conditions in many countries and limited the contributions of Russia and Ukraine to global production and trade of fuel, fertilisers, and other food commodities. The war has also limited global food trade, particularly in the Black Sea region, and increased global food prices and price volatility. Although international trade agreements such as the Black Sea Grain Initiative, the EU Solidarity Lanes initiative, and the memorandum of understanding between Russia and the Secretariat of the United Nations have limited trade disruptions, much uncertainty remains. As part of the Black Sea Grain Initiative and the Solidarity Lanes, Ukraine was able to export more than 58 million tonnes of grain, oilseeds, and related goods between May 2022 and end of March 2023. While these efforts have helped ease high global food prices, their continuation will be critical for the foreseeable future.

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Rice farmers predict further price drop as Lagos govt pegs bag at N57,000

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Some farmers’ associations in Lagos State have predicted further drop in the price of the commodity ahead of the yuletide following Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu’s slash in the price of Lagos rice.

The farmers made this known in separate interviews with journalists on Sunday in Lagos. Mr Sanwo-Olu recently slashed the price of Lagos Rice from N64,000 to N57,000 per bag, which the farmers described as a good development.

The vice chairman of the All Farmers Association, South-West and Lagos State chapter, Sakin Agbayewa, commended the state government for the strategic move.

Mr Agbayewa said the development would likely bring about competition in the sector, thereby crashing further the price of the commodity.

“And hopefully, we want to believe that with this competitive price and competition, maybe in one week or two weeks, the price of rice will further drop.

Presently, the price of foreign rice is between N52,000 and N56,000, and that depends on where you are buying it. If you are buying it very close to the border, it comes at N52,000.

If you are buying it from the main market, it sells between N54,000 and N55,000 per 50kg bag, and the extra cost comes off as transportation costs,” Mr Agbayewa said.

According to him, if foreign rice sells between N52,000 and N56,000, the consumers may be buying rice that has been stored for over three to five years or even expired.

“It is a good buy, I would prefer the Lagos rice at N57,000 than buy cheaper rice with lower quality,” he said.

On his part, the chairman of the Rice Farmers Association of Nigeria, Lagos State chapter, Raphael Hunsa, commended the Lagos State government for the initiative.

“The government is always on top in terms of policy decisions that affect the people.

The Lagos State Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu dropping the price of rice is a great move.

If production is low, definitely the demand will be high, and subsequently, the price will be high too,” Mr Hunsa said.

The Lagos State government pegging a bag of rice at N57,000 this season is most beneficial to Nigerias.

“We, however, urge the government to continue to support rice farmers to increase our production, and subsequently, the price of rice and other staples will continue to drop.

This Christmas is now at our door, and everyone will celebrate well with this drop in price,” Mr unsa said. NAN

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NALDA mega farm initiative to lift 100,000 people out of poverty

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The National Agricultural Land Development Authority says its ongoing Renewed Hope mega farms estates in Kwara and Ekiti will lift no fewer than 100,000 people out of poverty. It said the project would also create 12,000 direct jobs, 30,000 indirect jobs. The executive secretary of NALDA, Cornelius Adebayo, said this on the sidelines of an event organised by the organisation at CoP30 and MoU signing ceremony in Belem, according to a statement on Thursday. He identified the estates as one of the organisation’s flagship projects under the Renewed Hope Agenda of President Bola Tinubu. He said they were large-scale agricultural settlements covering between 5,000 and 25,000 hectres.

Mr Adebayo said the pioneer estates had begun in Ekiti and Kwara with over 1,200 hectares and 1,050 hectares under cultivation. He said the agency’s carbon-credit initiative is not only a climate solution but also a socio-economic reform that empowers farmers. Mr Adebayo explained that under the Mega Farm Estates, each farmer is allocated five hectares of farmland. He said that this would enable them to earn sustainable agricultural income while also benefiting from a share of carbon credit revenues generated through structured tree-planting and estate-wide reforestation. “Our goal is to move Nigerians from a low-income bracket to a true middle-class economy by combining agricultural productivity with carbon-credit earning, farmers can become independent, prosperous and globally competitive.

These estates are fully mechanised, equipped with complete infrastructure such as roads, irrigation systems, processing hubs, housing, and energy systems to function as full agricultural settlements. As part of their sustainability framework, each estate will receive comprehensive perimeter fencing, along which NALDA will plant thousands of climate-resilient trees capable of generating significant carbon credits over time. This ensures that beyond food production and job creation, farmers within these estates can earn additional income from carbon markets, allowing them to transition from low-income status into the middle-income economy,” he said.

Mr Adebayo said the event provided a platform for Nigeria to share its contributions to global climate solutions, exchange knowledge with partners and strengthen collaboration on nature-based approaches that support mitigation, adaptation, and sustainable land use. He said that over the years the NALDA’s operational mandate was expanded to directly align with Nigeria’s climate commitments by integrating afforestation, reforestation, sustainable land management, and biodiversity enhancement into its plantation programmes. Mr Adebayo said that NALDA’s plantations across different ecological zones represented one of the most promising nature-based climate assets in Nigeria. “They hold the potential to generate high-integrity carbon removals, attract climate finance, and empower thousands of young people and rural farmers. Our presence at CoP30 is to spotlight these transformational efforts and outline the ambitious NALDA Plantation Carbon Roadmap,” he said. NAN

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Agriculture

Cassava remains key to Africa’s food security, industrial growth, says PAOSMI

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The director-general of the Pan-African Organisation for Small and Medium Industries, Henry Emejuo, says cassava remains central to Africa’s food security and industrial development. Mr Emejuo, who spoke on the sidelines of the just-concluded three-day Africa Cassava Conference in Abuja, described the crop as both an economic commodity and a daily staple across the continent. He said cassava’s versatility made it indispensable in households, as there was hardly a day when a Nigerian or African home did not consume a cassava-based product such as garri or tapioca. Emejuo said the crop also held significant industrial value, producing materials such as ethanol, high-quality cassava flour, sorbitol and healthy sweeteners used across manufacturing sectors.

He said the conference provided a critical platform for policymakers, scientists and industrialists to harmonise strategies that would deepen cassava utilisation and unlock its economic potential. The PAOSMI boss said:” Delegates from more than seven African countries spent three days examining policy, technical and scientific issues affecting the cassava value chain.” He described the conference as a success, saying the outcomes would guide countries in expanding the industrial use of cassava and in strengthening its role in driving economic development. Mustafa Bakano, national president of the Nigeria Cassava Growers Association, said deliberations from the meeting would address key challenges faced by smallholder farmers, including access to finance, farming practices, and industrial standards.

According to him, the presence of financial institutions such as the Bank of Industry offered stakeholders the opportunity to develop practical solutions to present to governments. Michael Kento, an assistant professor of Agricultural Sciences and Food Security at the University of Juba, South Sudan, described the conference as an eye-opener for his country. He expressed South Sudan’s zeal to learn from Nigeria’s leadership in cassava production, especially in extension services, processing, marketing, policy development and research. Mr Kento said Nigeria’s cassava success would translate to the continent’s success, and deeper collaboration between both countries would strengthen the subsector and improve food security, nutrition and industrial growth in South Sudan.

Emmanuel Bobobee of the Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Ghana, said mechanised cassava production was key to transforming cassava into an engine for Africa’s next phase of industrial development. Mr Bobobee said his mechanical cassava harvester, already in use in several countries, could support large-scale production if adopted more widely. He added, ”The participation of seven countries demonstrates rising continental interest in cassava, and the crop should be placed at the centre of Africa’s fourth industrial revolution. Ghana and Nigeria share similar agricultural challenges, and both countries stand to benefit from sharing innovations and strengthening cross-border collaboration.*

The three-day conference brought together policymakers, researchers, industrialists and farmers to explore opportunities in processing, technology adoption, export and the development of cassava-based products across Africa. It ended with a dinner and the presentation of awards to distinguished players and partners in the sector.

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