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Challenges before Okonjo Iweala

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By Omoh Gabriel

Much is expected from former World Bank Managing Director Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala who was sworn in yesterday as Nigeria’s finance and coordinating minister by President Goodluck Jonathan. An elated President Jonathan shortly after swearing her in said, “People wonder why we want you back having served in the same capacity before, we want you back to play a key role in coordinating economic issues in the country”. The economy is in shamble and need a firm and resolute, disciplined and reserved personality to drive it and restore confidence back into the system. Already the financial market is in turmoil due to regulators’ inconsistencies.

Dr Okonjo Iweala must be prepared to make President Jonathan take some very hard decisions especially on issues like banking reforms and the current crisis in the money and capital markets, the privatisation of the power sector, the downstream sector of the petroleum industry, breaking what has become, effectively, monopoly in the cement industry, and building rails across the nation; arrest the crashing foreign reserve; check the increasing public debt, making the textile and agriculture funds accessible to targeted beneficiaries and strengthen transparency in revenue allocation.

Ordinarily, Dr Okonjo Iweala, Dr Olusegun Aganga minister of Trade and Investment and Central Bank Governor Lamido Sanusi should spearhead the reform of Nigeria’s economy, but how they deal with tensions between them will determine their success. Okonjo-Iweala has taken the role of Coordinating Minister for the Economy and Minister of Finance, an expanded version of the role she held between 2003 and 2006 when she successfully secured Nigerian debt relief.
She had negotiated in clear terms the conditions on which she would be willing to return to serve in government, including being given broad powers over economic management and freedom from political meddling.

But will she be in a position to call any of the ministers or members of the economic management team to order? At least for now, some major policy decisions on the economy must of necessity be passed through her, unlike in the current situation where decisions are rolled out without due consideration for their economic implications, especially from the CBN.

Okonjo- Iweala is a big personality, well respected internationally and her appointment was met with widespread optimism from foreign investors, diplomats and Nigerians. But it will be interesting to see how her relationship with the CBN Governor pans out considering the fact that they are both very strong characters. The central bank has encroached on areas that have traditionally been the remit of the ministry of finance since Sanusi became governor and Okonjo-Iweala will want to take back the initiative in those areas. What will this amount to in the meeting room of the economic management team where the President will be the Presiding officer? Will this lead to a clash or one submitting to the other?

Revenue allocation transparency
In her first coming, Dr Okonjo-Iweala enthroned the policy of accountability and transparency in governance by introducing the publication of allocation to the three tiers of government from the federation account. The minister must revisit this. This strategy of openness which she initiated continued even after she left the ministry until some people who felt uncomfortable with the disclosure pressured for its stoppage. All manners of excuses, especially lack of funds to pay for newspaper adverts were cited. It initially became irregular and then finally rested. The corruption at the two lower tiers of government is very bad, where local government chairmen are not able to ask governors what happened to their allocations and nobody asks local government chairmen about councils’ allocations. This makes the publication of allocations even more compelling now than ever before.

As the Coordinating Minister of the Economy and Minister of Finance, all eyes would be on her to see the change she can bring to bear on the nation’s struggle to pull out of extreme poverty affecting well over 70 per cent of the populace. She must not flatter herself into believing that she is welcome by all Nigerians. Of course there were efforts by vested interests to block her nomination and even after her name was forwarded to the Senate by President Goodluck Jonathan, these forces still tried to stop her clearance. The opposition was an organised efforts by those who benefit from the rot in government, those who are opposed to due process, those who do not want transparency in government revenue generation, allocation and procurement, and those who virtually live on the economy.

Dr. Okonjo-Iweala’s employment boosting policies, as mentioned at the Senate hearing won’t fly without power supply for Small and Medium Enterprises to blossom. She must introduce policies that will diversify the economy and its revenue base. Today, Nigeria unfortunately depends on imports of fuel to keep the economy running. Nigeria produces crude oil, sell to other nations and buy refined products from them. Thus the cost of fuel in Nigeria includes not just refining but two-way transport fare. The minister will have to develop strategies to ensure that crude is refined locally and even exported instead of the current export of crude without adding value.

As the Minister hinted during her screening at the senate, the issue of subsidy cannot be faulted. There should be subsidy but the subsidy in Nigeria is going to the rich who can afford their bills. Subsidy is a sensitive issue anywhere in the world but the minister must work with her colleagues in the economic team and the organised labour to work out a compromise that would save Nigerians from the hands of the cartel that imports fuel and wants the nation’s refineries to continue to either remain shut or perform at minimum capacity. It is only when private refineries commence operation in the country that Nigerians will reap the full benefits of being an oil producing nation.

Growing Debt Profile
One legacy the Minister left behind in 2006 was the debt deal with the nation’s external creditors in which a huge portion of the nation’s external debt, $ 18 billion, was written off in return for the payment of $12 billion. However, the debt profile has, once again, began to build up, with the latest record provided by the Debt Management Office, DMO saying the nation’s external debt has risen to $ 4.5 billion. The domestic debt is worse, standing at approximately N4trillion.

Dr. Okonjo-Iweala must not forget so soon, the humiliation the nation went through to rid her of the debt burden and therefore put in place, mechanisms that would check unnecessary borrowings by both the federal and states governments. In particular, she must watch the governors closely and make it impossible for them to raise funds from the capital market to waste on their excesses. As governor Peter Obi of Anambra told journalists recently, “no government should borrow from the capital market unless to fund a bankable project which has the capacity to generate income to repay such borrowing”.

Crashing External Reserves
In spite of the high oil prices at the international market, rather than rapidly growing, the nation’s foreign reserve has been crashing. It was put at $34.88bn, as at last week. The CBN governor, Mal Sanusi Lamido Sanusi has attributed the depleting reserve to the huge food import bill of N 630 billion per annum, a situation even the president said is unacceptable. Beyond food which the nation has capacity to produce even more than her needs, unnecessary items including toothpicks, ear cleaners, foot mats, bicycles and the like are imported into the country without check. The minister has to review the import prohibition list and the tariff regime with a view to discouraging the importation of items on which the nation comparative advantage.

In his latest move, Sanusi supported the nationalisation of three Nigerian banks three week ago, well before a recapitalisation deadline of September 30 set by the apex bank and before the arrival of Okonjo-Iweala. The pre-emptive move has been seen by many as inflicting pain on investors who have been dumping their bank shares in the capital market.

Sanusi has been a staunch supporter of the local currency, naira, pumping U.S. dollars into the financial system to curb depreciation. When asked about the naira in her screening, Okonjo-Iweala said she supported the action but also said it was not a long-term solution. However, the pair share many common goals. Okonjo-Iweala has pledged to tighten fiscal policy and ensure the country “lives within its means”.

Okonjo-Iweala’s return means she will need to work with, not just Sanusi, but other successful reformers including Olusegun Aganga, Mustapha Chike-Obi, head of AMCON and SEC boss Arunma Oteh, who have turned Nigeria’s financial markets inside out over the past two years. Sanusi and Okonjo-Iweala clearly have the ability to drive forward the reforms vital for Nigeria’s future but they will need to quickly settle areas of potential conflict and mark out their territories or their combined strengths will go to waste.

As Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala returns to her former office as Nigeria’s Minister of Finance, these are several issues and challenges that she must prepare her mind to tackle head-on if she is to make any meaningful difference on the Nigerian economic scene that is riddled with various distortions and deliberate policy summersaults that has made progress extremely difficult over the years.

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Analysis

As EU plans Russian Gas exit, Ministers to convene in Paris to chart Africa’s export potential

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In the wake of seismic shifts in the European energy landscape, the Invest in African Energy (IAE) 2026 Forum in Paris will host a Ministerial Dialogue on “Unlocking Africa’s Gas Supply for Global Energy Security.” This strategic session will examine how Africa can turn its untapped gas reserves into a reliable and sustainable source of supply. With Europe seeking to diversify away from Russian gas, the dialogue highlights both the continent’s growing role in global energy markets and the opportunity for African producers to attract long-term investment. Recent developments underscore the urgency of Africa’s role in global energy security. Last month, EU countries agreed to phase out their remaining Russian gas imports, with existing contracts benefiting from a transition period: short-term contracts can continue until June 2026, while long-term contracts will run until January 2028. In parallel, the European Commission is pushing to end Russian LNG imports by January 2027 under a broader sanctions package aimed at limiting Moscow’s energy revenues.

Africa’s role in this rebalancing is already gaining momentum. Algeria recently renewed its gas supply agreement with ČEZ Group, ensuring continued deliveries to the Czech Republic. In Libya, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) has approved new compressors at the Bahr Essalam field to boost output and reinforce flows via the Greenstream pipeline to Italy. These developments complement the Structures A&E offshore project – led by Eni and the NOC – which is expected to bring two platforms online by 2026 and produce up to 750 million cubic feet per day, supporting both domestic and European demand. West Africa is pursuing ambitious export routes as well.

Nigeria, Algeria and Niger have revived the Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline (TSGP), with engineering firm Penspen commissioned earlier this year to revalidate its feasibility. The proposed $25 billion Nigeria–Morocco pipeline is also advancing as a long-term corridor linking West African gas to European markets. Meanwhile, the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim (GTA) project off Mauritania and Senegal came online earlier this year, with its first phase targeting 2.3 million tons of LNG annually. In June, the project delivered its third cargo to Belgium’s Zeebrugge terminal, marking the first African LNG shipment from GTA to Europe. Together, these milestones underscore a strategic convergence: African producers are accelerating efforts to scale up exports just as Europe intensifies its search for reliable alternatives to Russian gas.

Yet, as the ministerial session will explore, unlocking Africa’s gas supply demands sustained investment, regulatory alignment, environmental management and community engagement. For Europe, diversification of supply is a strategic necessity; for African producers, it is an opportunity to accelerate development, build infrastructure and secure long-term capital. At IAE 2026, these shifts will be examined by the officials and stakeholders driving them. The Ministerial Dialogue brings African energy leaders together with European policymakers, industry players and investors in a setting that supports practical, solution-focused discussion on supply, export strategies and future cooperation. As Europe adapts its gas strategy and African producers progress major projects, the Forum provides a direct platform for ministers to outline priorities and for investors to engage with key decision-makers.

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Authorities must respond as digital tools used by organized criminals accelerate financial crime—IMF

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International Monetary Fund IMF, has said that criminals are outpacing enforcement by adapting ever faster ways to carry out digital fraud. The INF in a Blog post said the Department of Justice in June announced the largest-ever US crypto seizure: $225 million from crypto scams known as pig butchering, in which organized criminals, often across borders, use advanced technology and social engineering such as romance or investment schemes to manipulate victims. This typically involves using AI-generated profiles, encrypted messaging, and obscured blockchain transactions to hide and move stolen funds. It was a big win. Federal agents collaborated across jurisdictions and used blockchain analysis and machine learning to track thousands of wallets used to scam more than 400 victims. Yet it was also a rare victory that underscored how authorities often must play catch-up in a fast-changing digital world. And the scammers are still out there. They pick the best tools for their schemes, from laundering money through crypto and AI-enabled impersonation to producing deepfake content, encrypted apps, and decentralized exchanges. Authorities confronting anonymous, borderless threats are held back by jurisdiction, process, and legacy systems.
Annual illicit crypto activity growth has averaged about 25 percent in recent years and may have surpassed $51 billion last year, according to Chainalysis, a New York–based blockchain analysis firm specializing in helping criminal investigators trace transactions. Bad actors still depend on cash and traditional finance, and money laundering specifically relies on banks, informal money changers, and cash couriers. But the old ways are being reinforced or supercharged by technologies to thwart detection and disruption.
Encrypted messaging apps help cartels coordinate cross-border transactions. Stablecoins and lightly regulated virtual asset platforms can hide bribes and embezzled funds. Cybercriminals use AI-generated identities and bots to deceive banks and evade outdated controls. Tracking proceeds generated by organized crime is nearly impossible for underresourced agencies. AI lowers barriers to entry. Fraudsters with voice-cloning and fake-document generators bypass the verification protocols many banks and regulators still use. Their innovation is growing as compliance systems lag. Governments recognize the threats, but responses are fragmented and uneven—including in regulation of crypto exchanges. And there are delays implementing the Financial Action Task Force’s (FATF’s) “travel rule” to better identify those sending and receiving money across borders, which most digital proceeds cross.
Meanwhile, international financial flows are increasingly complicated by instant transfers on decentralized platforms and anonymity-enhancing tools. Most payments still go through multiple intermediaries, often layering cross-border transactions through antiquated correspondent banks that obscure and delay transactions while raising costs. This helps criminals exploit oversight gaps, jurisdictional coordination, and technological capacity to operate across borders, often undetected.
Regulators and fintechs should be partners, and sustained multilateral engagement should foster fast, cheap, transparent, and traceable cross-border payments. There’s a parallel narrative. Criminals exploit innovation for secrecy and speed while companies and governments test coordination to reduce vulnerabilities and modernize cross-border infrastructure. At the same time, technological implications remain underexplored with respect to anti–money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism, or AML/CFT. Singapore’s and Thailand’s linked fast payment systems, for example, enable real-time retail transfers using mobile numbers; Indonesia and Malaysia have connected QR codes for cross-border payments. Such innovations offer efficiency and inclusion yet raise new issues regarding identity verification, transaction monitoring, and regulatory coordination.
In India, the Unified payments interface enables seamless transfers across apps and platforms, highlighting the power of interoperable design. More than 18 billion monthly transactions, many across competing platforms, show how openness and standardization drive scale and inclusion. Digital payments in India grew faster when interoperability improved, especially in fragmented markets where switching was costly, IMF research shows These regional innovations and global initiatives reflect a growing understanding that fighting crime and fostering inclusion are interlinked priorities—especially as criminals speed ahead. The FATF echoed this concern, urging countries to design AML/CFT controls that support inclusion and innovation. Moreover, an FATF June recommendation marks a major advance: Requiring originator and beneficiary information for cross-border wire transfers—including those involving virtual assets—will enhance traceability across the fast-evolving digital financial ecosystem.
Efforts like these are important examples of how technology enables criminal advantage, but technology must also be part of the regulatory response.
Modernizing cross-border payment systems and reducing unintended AML/CFT barriers increasingly means focusing on transparency, interoperability, and risk-based regulation. The IMF’s work on “safe payment corridors” supports this by helping countries build trusted, secure channels for legitimate financial flows without undermining new technology. A pilot with Samoa —where de-risking has disrupted remittances—showed how targeted safeguards and collaboration with regulated providers can preserve access while maintaining financial integrity without disrupting the use of new payment platforms.
Several countries, with IMF guidance, are investing in machine learning to detect anomalies in cross-border financial flows, and others are tightening regulation of virtual asset service providers. Governments are investing in their own capacity to trace crypto transfers, and blockchain analytics firms are often employed to do that. IMF analysis of cross-border flows and the updated FATF rules are mutually reinforcing. If implemented cohesively, they can help digital efficiency coexist with financial integrity. For that to happen, legal frameworks must adapt to enable timely access to digital evidence while preserving due process. Supervisory models need to evolve to oversee both banks and nonbank financial institutions offering cross-border services. Regulators and fintechs should be partners, and sustained multilateral engagement should foster fast, cheap, transparent, and traceable cross-border payments—anchored interoperable standards that also respect privacy.
Governments must keep up. That means investing in regulatory technology, such as AI-powered transaction monitoring and blockchain analysis, and giving agencies tools and expertise to detect complex crypto schemes and synthetic identity fraud. Institutions must keep pace with criminals by hiring and retaining expert data scientists and financial crime specialists. Virtual assets must be brought under AML/CFT regulation, public-private partnerships should codevelop tools to spot emerging risks, and global standards from the FATF and the Financial Stability Board must be backed by national investments in effective AML/CFT frameworks.
Consistent and coordinated implementation is important. Fragmented efforts leave openings for criminals. Their growing technological advantage over governments threatens to undermine financial integrity, destabilize economies, weaken already fragile institutions, and erode public trust in systems meant to ensure safety and fairness. As crime rings adopt and adapt emerging technologies to outpace enforcement, the cost is not only fiscal—it is structural and systemic. Governments can’t wait. The criminals won’t.

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Multilateral development banks reaffirm commitment to climate finance, pledge innovative funding for adaptation

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Multilateral development banks have reaffirmed their commitment to climate finance, pledging to scale up innovative funding to boost climate adaptation and resilience. “Financing climate resilience is not a cost, but an investment.” This was the key message from senior MDB officials at the end of a side event organised by the Climate Investment Funds (CIF) on the opening day of the 30th United Nations Climate Conference (COP30) in Belém, Brazil.

The conference runs from 10 to 21 November. During a panel discussion titled “Accelerating large-scale climate change adaptation,” MDB representatives, including the African Development Bank Group, outlined how their institutions are fulfilling Paris Agreement commitments by mobilising substantial and innovative resources for climate adaptation and mitigation. Ilan Goldfajn, President of the Inter-American Development Bank Group, emphasised that “resilience is more than a concern for the future: it is also essential for development today.” He announced that MDBs are tripling their financing for resilience over the next decade, targeting $42 billion by 2030.

“At the Inter-American Development Bank, we are turning preparedness into protection and resilience into opportunity,” Goldfajn added. Tanja Faller, Director of Technical Evaluation and Monitoring at the Council of Europe Development Bank, stressed that climate change “not only creates new threats, but also amplifies existing inequalities. The most socially vulnerable people are the hardest hit and the last to recover. This is how a climate crisis also becomes a social crisis.” Representatives from the Islamic Development Bank, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, the Asian Development Bank, the World Bank Group, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development,  the European Investment Bank, the New Development Bank and IDB Invest (the private sector arm of the Inter-American Development Bank Group) also shared concrete examples of successful adaptation investments and strategies for mobilising new resources.

Kevin Kariuki, Vice President of the African Development Bank Group in charge of Power, Energy, Climate and Green Growth, presented the Bank’s leadership in advancing climate adaptation and mitigation. “At the African Development Bank, we understand the priorities of our countries: adaptation and mitigation are at the heart of our climate interventions.” He highlighted the creation of the Climate Action Window, a new financing mechanism under the African Development Fund, the Bank Group’s concessional window for low-income countries.

“The African Development Bank is the only multilateral development bank with a portfolio of adaptation projects ready for investment through the Climate Action Window,” Kariuki noted, adding that Germany, the United Kingdom and Switzerland are among key co-financing partners. Kariuki also showcased the Bank’s YouthADAPT programme, which has invested $5.4 million in 41 youth-led enterprises across 20 African countries, generating more than 10,000 jobs — 61 percent of which are led by women, and mobilising an additional $7 million in private and donor funding.

Representatives from Zambia, Mozambique and Jamaica also shared local perspectives on the financing needs of communities most exposed to climate risk. The panel followed the official opening of COP30, marked by a passionate appeal from Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for greater climate investment to prevent a “tragedy for humanity.”

“Without the Paris Agreement, we would see a 4–5°C increase in global temperatures,” Lula warned. “Our call to action is based on three pillars: honouring commitments; accelerating public action with a roadmap enabling humanity to move away from fossil fuels and deforestation; and placing humanity at the heart of the climate action programme: thousands of people are living in poverty and deprivation as a result of climate change. The climate emergency is a crisis of inequality,” he continued.

“We must build a future that is not doomed to tragedy. We must ensure that we live in a world where we can still dream.” Outgoing COP President Mukhtar Babayevn, Azerbaijan’s Minister of Ecology, urged developed nations to fulfil their promises made at the Baku Conference, including commitments to mobilise $300 billion in climate finance. He called for stronger political will and multilateral cooperation, before handing over the COP presidency to Brazilian diplomat André Corrêa do Lago, who now leads the negotiations.

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