Economy
Services sector up by 1.83 % in 2018 – NBS
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), said the services sector of the economy measured by the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 1.83 per cent in 2018. The NBS disclosed this in its “GDP Report for the Fourth and Full Year 2018’’ posted on its website. The bureau said the sector had recorded positive growth as the figures moved from -0.82 per cent in 2016 and -0.91 per cent in 2017 to 1.83 per cent in 2018. The report showed that the sector had also recorded best performance in 11 quarters from 2016 to 2018. Some of the services sectors are construction, transport and storage, Information and communication, Art, Entertainment and Recreation, and electricity supply.
They also include water supply, waste management, accommodation and food services, financial and insurance as well as health and social services. For instance, the construction sector grew by 58.51 per cent in fourth quarter, 2018 in nominal terms. These figures reflected an increase of 39.26 per cent points when compared to the growth rate of 19.25 per cent that was recorded in fourth quarter of 2017. It also showed an increase of 5.84 per cent points when compared to its growth rate in the preceding quarter. Quarter on quarter, nominal growth in this sector was 26.41 per cent, while for 2018, nominal growth rate was 40.85 per cent. Furthermore, the sector contributed 5.03 per cent to nominal GDP in fourth quarter, 2018, which was higher than both the 3.58 per cent contribution 2017 and the 4.20 per cent contribution recorded in third quarter, 2018. On an annual basis, nominal contribution to GDP in 2018 also improved (4.72 per cent), compared to 2017 (3.77 per cent).
Overall, the sector’s contribution to real GDP in fourth quarter, 2018 remained relatively unchanged (3.48 per cent) compared to 2017 (3.49 per cent), but higher than in the preceding quarter (3.01 per cent). The sector’s contribution to total real GDP in 2018 also remained relatively stable at 3.73 per cent compared to 2017. Meanwhile, the transport and storage sector’s contribution to real GDP in fourth quarter, 2018 was 1.46 per cent and 1.37 per cent for the whole of 2018, road transport being the dominant activity (85 per cent). Six activities made up the Transportation and Storage sector: road, rail and pipelines, water air transport, transport services; and post and courier service. In real terms, the Information and Communication sector recorded a growth rate of 13.20 per cent in fourth quarter, 2018, representing an increase of 14.65 per cent points when compared to fourth quarter, 2017.
Quarter on quarter, the sector exhibited a real GDP growth rate of 23.75 per cent. For 2018, real GDP growth rate stood at 9.65 per cent. By contribution to the economy, the sector accounted for 12.40 per cent of total real GDP in fourth quarter, 2018 and 12.22 per cent of total real GDP in 2018. Also, Arts, Entertainment and Recreation sector grew by 5.06 per cent in fourth quarter, 2018 in nominal terms. This represented an increase of 1.51 per cent points relative to the preceding quarter and an increase of 0.89 per cent points relative to the preceding year. Annual growth in nominal terms was 3.06 per cent in 2018, a decline from 9.07 per cent recorded in 2017. By contribution, the activity accounted for 0.18 per cent of nominal GDP in fourth quarter, 2018 and 0.21 per cent of total annual nominal GDP in 2018.
In real terms, the activity grew by 4.18 per cent in fourth quarter, 2018 which was higher than the rate recorded in fourth quarter, 2017 and third quarter, 2016. The rate recorded in fourth quarter 2017 was 0.64 per cent points higher and the rate recorded in third quarter, 2018 was 1.35 per cent points higher. On an annual basis, real GDP growth rate was slower for the activity in 2018 at 2.53 per cent compared to 4.13 per cent recorded in 2017. Arts, Entertainment and Recreation contributed 0.20 per cent to real GDP in fourth quarter, 2018 and 0.22 per cent for the whole of 2018, remaining relatively stable over the past year. According to the NBS, the methodologies used in computing the GDP is in line with international standards outlined under the UN Statistics Division (UNSTATS) Quarterly National Accounts (QNA) are an integrated system of macroeconomic accounts designed to describe the entire system of production in a nation on a quarterly basis. They provide a picture of the current economic status of an economy on a more frequent basis than Annual National Accounts (ANA). In providing a reasonable level of detailed information of the economy, QNA allows the government to regularly assess, analyse and monitor economic developments. (NAN)
Economy
Nigeria champions African-Arab trade to boost agribusiness, industrial growth
The Arab Africa Trade Bridges (AATB) Program and the Federal Republic of Nigeria formalized a partnership with the signing of the AATB Membership Agreement, officially welcoming Nigeria as the Program’s newest member country. The signing ceremony took place in Abuja on the sidelines of the 5th AATB Board of Governors Meeting, hosted by the Federal Government of Nigeria.
The Membership Agreement was signed by Eng. Adeeb Y. Al Aama, the CEO of the International Islamic Trade Finance Corporation (ITFC) and AATB Program Secretary General, and H.E. Mr. Wale Edun, Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Federal Republic of Nigeria. The Agreement will provide a strategic and operational framework to support Nigeria’s efforts in trade competitiveness, promote export diversification, strengthen priority value chains, and advance capacity-building efforts in line with national development priorities. Areas of collaboration will include trade promotion, agribusiness modernization, SME development, businessmen missions, trade facilitation, logistics efficiency, and digital trade readiness.
The Honourable Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr. Wale Edun, called for deeper trade collaboration between African and Arab nations, stressing the importance of value-added Agribusiness and industrial partnerships for regional growth. Speaking in Abuja at the Agribusiness Matchmaking Forum ahead of the AATB Board of Governors Meeting, the Minister said the shifting global economy makes it essential for African and Arab nations to rely more on regional cooperation, investment and shared markets.
He highlighted projections showing Arab-Africa trade could grow by more than US$37 billion in the next three years and urged partners to prioritize value addition rather than raw commodity exports. He noted that Nigeria’s growing industrial base and upcoming National Single Window reforms will support efficiency, investment and private-sector expansion.
“This is a moment to turn opportunity into action”, he said. “By working together, we can build stronger value chains, create jobs and support prosperity across our regions”, Edun emphasized. “As African and Arab nations embark on this journey of deeper trade collaboration, the potential for growth and development is vast. With a shared vision and commitment to value-added partnerships, we can unlock new opportunities, drive economic growth, and create a brighter future for our people.”
Speaking during the event, Eng. Adeeb Y. Al Aama, Chief Executive Officer of ITFC and Secretary General of the AATB Program, stated: “We are pleased to welcome Nigeria to be part of the AATB Program. Nigeria stands as one of Africa’s most dynamic and resilient economies in Africa, with a rapidly expanding private sector and strong potential across agribusiness, energy, manufacturing, and digital industries. Through this Membership Agreement, we look forward to collaborating closely with Nigerian institutions to strengthen value chains, expand regional market access, enhance trade finance and investment opportunities, and support the country’s development priorities.”
The signing of this Agreement underscores AATB’s continued engagement with African countries and its evolving portfolio of programs supporting trade and investment. In recent years, AATB has worked on initiatives across agribusiness, textiles, logistics, digital trade, export readiness under the AfCFTA framework, and other regional initiatives such as the Common African Agro-Parks (CAAPs) Programme.
With Nigeria’s accession, the AATB Program extends it’s presence in the region and adds a key partner working toward advancing trade-led development and fostering inclusive economic growth.
Economy
FEC approves 2026–2028 MTEF, projects N34.33trn revenue
Federal Executive Council (FEC) has approved the 2026–2028 Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF), a key fiscal document that outlines Nigeria’s revenue expectations, macroeconomic assumptions, and spending priorities for the next three years. The approval followed Wednesday’s FEC meeting presided over by President Bola Tinubu at the State House, Abuja. The Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Senator Atiku Bagudu made this known after the meeting.
The Minister said the Federal Government is projecting a total revenue inflow of N34.33 trillion in 2026, including N4.98 trillion expected from government-owned enterprises. Bagudu said that the projected revenue is N6.55 trillion lower than earlier estimates, adding that federal allocations are expected to drop by about N9.4 trillion, representing a 16% decline compared to the 2025 budget.
He said that statutory transfers are expected to amount to about N3 trillion within the same fiscal year. On macroeconomic assumptions, FEC adopted an oil production benchmark of 2.6 million barrels per day (mbpd) for 2026, although a more conservative 1.8 mbpd will be used for budgeting purposes. An oil price benchmark of $64 per barrel and an exchange rate of N1,512 per dollar were also approved.
Bagudu said the exchange rate assumption reflects projections tied to economic and political developments ahead of the 2027 general elections. He said the exchange rate assumption took into account the fiscal outlook ahead of the 2027 general elections.
The minister said that all the parameters were based on macroeconomic analysis by the Budget Office and other relevant agencies. Bagudu said FEC also reviewed comments from cabinet members before approving the Medium-Term Fiscal Expenditure Ceiling (MFTEC), which sets expenditure limits. Earlier, the Senate approved the external borrowing plan of $21.5 billion presented by President Tinubu for consideration The loans, according to the Senate, were part of the MTEF and Fiscal Strategy Paper (FSP) for the 2025 budget.
Economy
CBN hikes interest on treasury Bills above inflation rate
The spot rate on Nigerian Treasury bills has been increased by 146 basis points by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) following tight subscription levels at the main auction on Wednesday. The spot rate on Treasury bills with one-year maturity has now surpassed Nigeria’s 16.05% inflation by 145 basis points following a recent decision to keep the policy rate at 27%.
The Apex Bank came to the primary market with N700 billion Treasury bills offer size across standard tenors, including 91-day, 182-day and 364 day maturities. Details from the auction results showed that demand settled slightly above the total offers as investors began to seek higher returns on naira assets despite disinflation.
Total subscription came in at about N775 billion versus N700 billion offers floated at the main auction. The results showed rising appetite for duration as investors parked about 90% of their bids on Nigerian Treasury bills with 364 days maturity. The CBN opened N100 billion worth of 91 days bills for subscription, but the offer received underwhelming bids totalling N44.17 billion.
The CBN allotted N42.80 billion for the short-term instrument at the spot rate of 15.30%, the same as the previous auction. Total demand for 182 days Nigerian Treasury bills settled at N33.38 billion as against N150 billion that the authority pushed out for subscription. The CBN raised N30.36 billion from 182 days bills allotted to investors at the spot rate of 15.50%, the same as the previous auction.
Investors staked N697.29 billion on N450 billion in 364-day Treasury bills that was offered for subscription. The CBN raised N636.46 billion from the longest tenor at the spot rate of 17.50%, up from 16.04% at the previous auction.
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