Business
Nigeria financial Market last week
Nigeria financial markets last week: Domestic equities market sell-offs dominate trading activities… ASI lost 1.4% w/w
The equities market recorded a bearish performance last week due to losses on 4 of 5 trading sessions. Consequently, the benchmark index shed 1.4% to close at 24,826.75 points. As a result, YTD return worsened to –7.5% while investors lost ₦185.7bn as market capitalisation fell to ₦12.95tn. Activity level waned as average volume and value traded fell 23.9% and 18.0% respectively to 210.0m units and ₦2.0bn. In terms of volume, GUARANTY (115.8m units), FBNH (97.4m units) and FCMB (95.6m units) led the chart while GUARANTY (₦2.7bn), ZENITH (₦1.0bn) and MTNN (₦907.3m) led by value.
Performance across sectors was bearish as 4 of the 6 indices under our coverage declined w/w. The Industrial (+2.2%) and Consumer Goods (+1.8%) indices were the gainers, driven by price appreciation in BUACEMENT (+6.0%), HONEYFLOUR (+17.4%) and NESTLE (+10.0%). On the flip side, the Oil & Gas index (-4.9%) led the laggards due to losses in SEPLAT (-10.0%) and JAPAULOIL (-8.0%). Similarly, the Banking (-3.1%) and Insurance indices (-3.1%) trailed on the back of price depreciation in STERLING (-11.1%), ETI (-8.3%), PRESTIGE (-18.6%) and AIICO (-15.3%). Price declines in MTNN (-1.6%) and TRIPPLEG (-8.6%) pushed the AFR-ICT index (-0.9%) lower.
Investor sentiment as measured by market breadth (advance/decline ratio) declined to 0.3x from 1.1x recorded the previous week as 13 tickers gained against 45 that declined. HONEYFLOUR (+17.4%), NESTLE (+10.0%) and CUTIX (+10.0%) led the gainers while NEIMETH (-40.1%), NPRMCRFBK (-25.1%) and PRESTIGE (-18.6%) led the decliners. Although we are not optimistic of a rebound in market performance in the coming week due to poor investor sentiment, current stock prices are attractive for bargain hunting.
Foreign Exchange Market: Oil Price Trends Higher; Naira Declines across Segments
Oil demand continued to rebound, supporting an increase in Brent Crude oil price by 7.3% w/w to US$41.55bbl. However, on the domestic front, the external reserves declined 0.4% w/w to US$36.3 billion (6/18/2020). In the FX market, the CBN spot rate traded flat all week at ₦361.00/US$1.00 while rate declined ₦5.00 at the parallel market to close at ₦455.00/US$1.00. At the Investors’ & Exporters’ (I&E) Window, the NAFEX rate depreciated ₦0.75 to close at ₦386.50/US$1.00. Similarly, activity level in the I&E Window declined this week as total turnover fell 43.7% to $124.7 million from $221.6 million recorded in the previous week. At the FMDQ Securities Exchange FX Futures Contract Market, the total value of open contracts settled at $14.4 billion, 0.6% (US$86.0m) higher than the prior week. The May 2021 instrument (contract price: ₦419.73) had the most buying interest with additional subscription of US$26.1 million putting the total value at $603.9 million. Meanwhile the July 2020 instrument (contract price: ₦392.75) was the least subscribed with additional subscription worth US$0.5m as the total value settled at $882.1 million. In the coming week, we expect Naira to trade within similar band across the different FX segments.
Money Market: OBB and OVN Trend Higher Despite Elevated System Liquidity
Last week, the OBB and OVN rates opened the week at 5.8% and 6.9% respectively, lower than 8.8% and 9.8% recorded in the previous week as system liquidity increased from ₦184.3 billion to ₦324.7 billion. On Wednesday, the OBB and OVN rate climbed to 8.2% and 8.9% respectively from 6.3% and 7.1% (on Tuesday) but fell on Thursday to 2.8% and 3.7% as system liquidity rose to ₦441.5 billion. Finally, on Friday, OBB and OVN rate advanced to close the week at 15.2% and 16.7% respectively, despite system liquidity rising to ₦977.8 billion.
On Wednesday, the CBN at the primary market auction (PMA) issued 91-day (Offer: ₦2.0bn; Subscription: ₦13.6 billion; Sale: ₦2.0bn), 182-day (Offer: ₦2.0bn; Subscription: ₦15.2bn; Sale: ₦2.0bn) and 364-day (Offer: ₦10.6bn; Subscription: ₦60.2bn; Sale: ₦10.6bn) instruments at a marginal rate of 1.8%, 2.0% and 3.7% respectively compared with previous rates of 2.0%, 2.2% and 4.0%. Demand remained high at the auction as instruments across board were oversubscribed at 6.8x (91-day), 7.6x (182-day) and 5.7x (360-day). On Thursday, following the inflow from OMO maturities worth ₦337.9bn, the CBN conducted OMO auction worth ₦80.0bn to mop-up excess liquidity in the system. Demand at the auction was healthy as the 89-day (Offer: ₦10.0bn; Subscription: ₦20.0bn; Sale: ₦10.0bn), 180-day (Offer: ₦10.0bn; Subscription: ₦24.0bn; Sale: ₦10.0bn) and 348-day (Offer: ₦60.0bn; Subscription: ₦123.5bn; Sale: ₦60.0bn) instruments were oversubscribed by 2.0x, 2.4x and 2.1x with marginal rates of 5.0%, 7.8% and 9.0% respectively.
In the secondary treasury bills market, the performance was bullish as average yield across benchmark tenors trended lower, down 93bps w/w to close at 2.3%. At the close of the week, the short-term instrument enjoyed the most buying interest as yields declined 250bps w/w to 1.8%, trailed by the medium-term instrument falling 30bps w/w to 2.0%. Meanwhile, the long-term instrument closed flat for the week.
Domestic equities market: investors sing bullish chorus in the domestic market
Last week, according to Afrinvest report, the domestic bonds market maintained its gaining streak, recording an average decline of 69bps in yields to close the week at 9.34 per cent. The mid tenor instrument recorded the most buying interest, with average yield dropping 91bps. Nevertheless, the short and long tenor instruments recorded a yield moderation of 66bps and 42bps respectively. Overall, all 19 instruments covered ended the week on a bullish note save the FGN 2022 and 2049 instruments, both of which closed the week flat.
The DMO conducted a bond auction during the week, offering a total of ₦150.0 billion across the 12.75 per cent FGN APR 2023 (₦40.00bn), 12.50 per cent FGN MAR 2035 (₦50.00bn) and 12.98 per cent FGN MAR 2050 (₦60.00bn) instruments. Overall, the auction was oversubscribed at a bid to offer ratio of 3.6x. The longer dated instrument recorded the most subscription at a bid to offer ratio of 4.7x, indicating investor’s strong desire to lock in higher yields. The short and mid-dated bond instruments also recorded strong bid to offer ratios of 3.4x and 2.5x respectively. The DMO allotted a total of ₦100.0 billion across the short-dated (₦32.99bn), mid term (₦16.22bn) and long-dated (₦50.79bn) instruments. Meanwhile, marginal rates closed lower at 8.00 per cent, 11.00 per cent and 12.15% from 9.20%, 11.70% and 12.60% for the short, mid and long term instruments.
In the SSA Eurobonds segment, performance remained upbeat as all 31 instruments that we cover closed the week bullish, with average yield shrinking 70bps lower to settle at 9.0%. The ZAMBIA 2024 and 2022 instruments recorded the most outstanding performance as the respective yields fell 3.86% and 5.82% to close the week at 30.00% and 38.60%. The two were trailed by the ZAMBIAN 2027 and SENEGAL 2021 instrument which fell 2.45% and 1.52% w/w to settle at 22.8% and 4.3% in that order. At the African Corporate Eurobonds market, performance was also bullish as 14 of 20 instrument recorded gains over the week. Overall, average yield for the instruments closed the week 12bps lower to settle at 6.3%. The best performing asset was SEPLAT 2023, which saw a yield decline of 74bps w/w to 9.0%. The instrument was trailed by UBA 2022 and ZENITH 2022 with a yield decline of 39bps w/w apiece to close at 7.4% and 7.3%. Conversely, the BAYPORT 2022 and SIBANYE GOLD 2023 were the top losers as their yields rose 14bps and 34bps w/w respectively to 18.4% and -7.2%. Next week, we expect investors to take profit following a long streak of gains across the bond segments.
Business
15% petrol import tax requires strategic roll out – LCCI
Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) has stressed the need for a measured and strategic rollout of the 15 per cent petroleum import tax to ensure sustainable economic impact. The Director-General, LCCI, Dr Chinyere Almona, gave the advice in a statement on Monday in Lagos. Almona noted the recent decision by the Federal Government to impose a 15 per cent import tax on petrol and diesel, a move aimed at curbing import dependence and promoting local refining capacity.
She said while the policy direction aligned with the nation’s long-term objective of achieving energy self-sufficiency and naira strengthening, a strategic rollout was imperative. Almona said that Nigeria was already experiencing cost-of-living pressures, supply-chain, and inflation challenges and that the business community would be sensitive to further cost shocks. “The chamber recognises that discouraging fuel importation is a necessary step towards achieving domestic energy security, stimulating investment in local refineries, and deepening the downstream petroleum value chain.
“However, LCCI expresses concern about the current adequacy of local refining capacity to meet national demand. A premature restriction on imports, without sufficient domestic production, could lead to supply shortages, higher pump prices, and inflationary pressures across critical sectors,” she said. Almona called on the Federal Government to prioritise the full operationalisation and optimisation of local refineries, both public and private, including modular refineries and the recently revitalised major refining facilities. She said that a comprehensive framework for crude oil supply to these refineries in Naira rather than foreign exchange would significantly enhance cost efficiency, stabilise production, and strengthen the local value chain.
She said the chamber’s interest lied in a diversified downstream sector where multiple refineries, modular plants, and logistics firms thrive. She urged government to resolve outstanding labour union issues and create an enabling environment that fostered industrial harmony and private sector confidence.
According to her, ensuring clarity, consistency, and transparency in the implementation of the new tax regime will be crucial in preventing market distortions and sustaining investor trust. “While the reform is justified from an industrial policy standpoint, its success depends on practical implementation, robust safeguards, and parallel reforms to alleviate cost burdens on businesses and consumers. With local capacity not yet established, this tax will increase the cost of fuels as long as imports continue. Government needs to address the inhibiting factors against local production and refining before imposing this levy to discourage imports and support local production,” she said.
Almona recommended that the implementation of the tax policy be postponed. She advised that during the transition period government demonstrate its commitment through action by empowering local refiners through an efficient crude-for-Naira supply chain that ensured sufficient crude. “With this, refiners can boost their refining capacity with a stable supply of crude and adequately meet domestic demand at competitive rates. At this point, the imposition of an import tax will directly discourage importation and boost demand for the locally refined products,” she said.
Business
Update: Sanwo-Olu, others harp on stronger private sector role to drive AfCFTA success
Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu of Lagos State has urged the private sector to take a stronger, more coordinated role in driving the successful implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA).
Sanwo-Olu, who made the call at the NEPAD Business Group Nigeria High-Level Business Forum, held on Thursday in Lagos, said that the agreement holds the key to transforming Africa into a globally competitive economic powerhouse. The theme of the forum is “Mobilising Africa’s Private Sector for AfCFTA Towards Africa’s Economic Development Amid Global Uncertainty”.
It brought together policymakers, business leaders, and development experts from across the continent. Sanwo-Olu was represented by the Lagos State Commissioner for Commerce, Cooperatives, Trade and Investment, Mrs Folashade Ambrose-Medebem. The governor said AfCFTA had the potential to lift millions of Africans out of poverty, but only if the continent’s business community seized the opportunity to scale production and integrate value chains across borders. “Governments can negotiate tariffs and treaties, but businesses must produce, export, invest, and believe in cross-border possibilities.
The private sector is the true engine of trade and industrialisation; without it, AfCFTA will remain a document and not a driver of development,” Sanwo-Olu said. He said that Lagos State had continued to create an enabling business environment through deliberate investments in infrastructure, logistics and technology, all designed to enhance productivity and trade efficiency. “From our vibrant tech ecosystem in Yaba to the Lekki Deep Sea Port and the expanding industrial corridors of the state, we are building a Lagos that supports trade, innovation, and investment,” he added. The governor stressed the need to empower Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs), which he described as “the lifeblood of Africa’s economy”.
He said access to finance, mentorship, and digital tools remained essential for their growth. “Through the Lagos State Employment Trust Fund (LSETF), we have supported thousands of entrepreneurs with training and access to funding. When SMEs thrive, our communities grow, jobs are created, and the promise of AfCFTA becomes real,” Sanwo-Olu noted. In his goodwill message, Dr Abdulrashid Yerima, President of the Nigerian Association of Small and Medium Enterprises (NASME), called on African governments to align policy frameworks with the realities of the private sector to ensure the success of AfCFTA.
Yerima said Africa’s shared prosperity depended on how effectively the continent could mobilise its entrepreneurs and innovators to take advantage of the 1.4 billion-strong continental market. “As private sector leaders, the employers of labour and creators of opportunity, we must move from aspiration to achievement, from potential to performance. AfCFTA is not just an agreement; it is Africa’s blueprint for collective economic independence,” he said. He emphasised the importance of strengthening cooperation among business coalitions, cooperatives, and industrial clusters to ensure that micro and small enterprises benefit from cross-border trade opportunities. “No SME can scale alone in a continental market.
We must build strong business networks that allow small enterprises to grow into regional champions,” he stressed. Yerima further encouraged African nations to adopt global best practices and digital frameworks, such as the OECD Digital for SMEs (D4SME) initiative, to improve access to knowledge, technology, and markets. Also speaking at the event, Mr Samuel Dossou-Aworet, President of the African Business Roundtable (ABR), urged African leaders to fully harness AfCFTA’s opportunities to build inclusive and sustainable economies. Dossou-Aworet noted that while Africa was currently the world’s second-fastest-growing region after Asia, sustained growth would require greater industrialisation and investment in human capital.
“The entry into force of the AfCFTA has expanded Africa’s investment frontiers. Where once our markets were fragmented, we now have a unified platform for trade and production. But growth must be inclusive, not just in numbers, but in impact on people’s lives,” he noted. Citing data from the African Development Bank (AfDB), Dossou-Aworet observed that 12 of the world’s 20 fastest-growing economies in 2025 are African, including Rwanda, Côte d’Ivoire, and Senegal. However, he cautioned that Africa’s GDP growth of around four per cent remained below the seven per cent threshold needed to significantly reduce poverty. “We must ensure that growth translates into better jobs, infrastructure, and access to opportunities for women and youth,” he stressed. He also called for innovative financing models to bridge Africa’s infrastructure gap and improve competitiveness in the global market.
“Africa needs market access and trade facilitation mechanisms to enable its products to reach global markets. Access to affordable capital is key, and our financial systems must evolve to support trade,” he added. Dossou-Aworet reaffirmed the African Business Roundtable’s commitment to supporting enterprise development and promoting Africa as a prime destination for investment. “This is Africa’s moment. If we work together, government, business, and citizens, we will build an Africa that competes confidently in the global economy and delivers prosperity for its people.”
The forum, convened by the NEPAD Business Group Nigeria, brought together regional and international partners to strengthen collaboration between public and private sectors in advancing AfCFTA’s goals. Chairman of the group, Chief J.K. Randle, commended the participation of leading business executives and policymakers, saying it reflected Africa’s readiness to take ownership of its economic destiny. Randle said, “We can no longer rely on external forces to drive our growth. The private sector must rise as the torchbearer of Africa’s transformation under AfCFTA.” He added that the forum would continue to serve as a platform for dialogue, knowledge exchange, and action planning to position African enterprises at the centre of global trade.
Business
First ever China–Europe Cargo transit completed via the Arctic route
The first-ever container transit from China to Europe via the Northern Sea Route (NSR) arrived at the British port of Felixstowe on October 13, 2025. The voyage marked a breakthrough in developing the NSR as a sustainable and high-tech transport corridor connecting Asia and Europe. The development of this Arctic route reflects the steady expansion of global trade flows — an evolution that reaches every continent, including Africa, where maritime industries and energy corridors continue to expand.
The ship carrying nearly 25,000 tonnes of cargo departed from Ningbo on September 23 and entered the NSR on October 1. Navigation and information support was provided by Glavsevmorput, a subsidiary of Rosatom State Atomic Energy Corporation. The Arctic leg of the voyage took 20 days, cutting transit time almost by half compared with traditional southern routes. This new pathway complements existing ones, creating broader opportunities for efficient and sustainable logistics worldwide.
The Northern Sea Route is developing rapidly, becoming a viable and efficient global logistics route. This is facilitated by various factors, including the development of advanced technologies, the construction of new-generation nuclear icebreakers, and growing interest from international shippers. Working in the Arctic is challenging but we are transforming these challenges into results. Along with the main priority of ensuring the safety of navigation on the Northern Sea Route, managing the speed and time of passage along the route is becoming an important task for us today,” noted Rosatom State Corporation Special Representative for Arctic Development Vladimir Panov.
The Northern Sea Route, spanning about 5,600 km, links the western part of Eurasia with the Asia-Pacific region. In 2024, cargo turnover reached 37.9 million tonnes, surpassing the previous year’s record by more than 1.6 million. Container traffic between Russia and China doubled compared to 2023, and by mid-2025, 17 container voyages had already been completed, moving 280,000 tonnes — a 59% increase year-on-year.
The expansion of this Arctic transport route is becoming part of a broader global effort to strengthen connectivity and diversify supply chains. For Africa and the wider Global South these developments demonstrate how innovation in logistics can stimulate new opportunities for trade, technology exchange, and sustainable growth. As new corridors emerge, the world’s regions are becoming more closely linked — not in competition, but in collaboration — shaping a more resilient and interconnected global economy.
-
News3 days agoNigeria to officially tag Kidnapping as Act of Terrorism as bill passes 2nd reading in Senate
-
News3 days agoNigeria champions African-Arab trade to boost agribusiness, industrial growth
-
News3 days agoFG’s plan to tax digital currencies may push traders to into underground financing—stakeholders
-
Finance1 week agoAfreximbank successfully closed its second Samurai Bond transactions, raising JPY 81.8bn or $527m
-
Economy3 days agoMAN cries out some operators at FTZs abusing system to detriment of local manufacturers
-
News1 week agoFG launches fresh offensive against Trans-border crimes, irregular migration, ECOWAS biometric identity Card
-
News3 days agoEU to support Nigeria’s war against insecurity
-
Uncategorized3 days agoDeveloping Countries’ Debt Outflows Hit 50-Year High During 2022-2024—WBG
