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Nigeria ranks 8th among top 10 countries with high inflation rate

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Nigeria has been ranked 8th out of the ten countries the World Bank has identified as having worrisome inflation rate. Nigeria at the moment has inflation rate of 16.95 per cent. Nigeria’s inflation rate increased to 16.95% in 2021, from 13.25% and pushed further to 17.71% in May 2022 from 16.82% recorded in the previous month. The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is set to release the inflation figures for the month of June 2022 on Friday, 15th July 2022. Inflation is top on the agenda of countries across the world since 2021. However, the war between Ukraine and Russia has made things worse for nearly every country, Nigeria included. 

The World Bank recently listed Nigeria amongst the top 10 countries in the world with the worst inflation rate, based on 2021 figures. Nigeria ranked 8th on the list with an annual inflation rate of 16.95%, a list topped by the likes of Sudan, Lebanon, and Zimbabwe. According to the Bank Sudan with inflation rate of 382.82%is top on the list. Officially the Republic of Sudan recorded the worst inflation rate in the world in 2021 with 382.82%, a multiple of the 150.32% recorded in the previous year. Although, Sudan’s inflation rate has decreased to 220.7% in April 2022 from 263.2% recorded in the month of March 2022. Lebanon according to the World Bank has inflation rate of 154.76 and is second on the top ten list. Lebanon’s inflation rate almost doubled to 154.8% in 2021 from 84.86% recorded in 202. Lebanon’s annual inflation rate increased to a three-month high of 211.43% in May 2022 from April’s five-month low of 206.24%, pointing to the highest level since February,

In its inflation report, the World Bank ranked Zimbabwe – inflation rate of 98.55% third in the list of ten. Zimbabwe is a landlocked country in southern Africa known for its dramatic landscape and diverse wildlife, much of it within parks, reserves, and safari areas. Its inflation rate trickled down to 98.55% from 557.2% recorded in the previous year. It is worth noting that Zimbabwe’s inflation rate increased to 191.6% in June 2020, to its highest rate in over one year. Suriname is a small country on the north-eastern coast of South America and is defined by vast swaths of tropical rainforest, Dutch colonial architecture and a melting-pot culture. Its inflation rate jumped significantly to 59.11% in 2021 from 34.89% recorded in 2020. On a positive note, the inflation rate in Suriname decreased to 59.8% in April 2022 from 62.2%recorded in the previous month and it is ranked fourth. Fifth in the inflation ranking is Ethiopia with 26.83% inflation rate. The annual inflation rate in Ethiopia eased for the first time in four months to 34% in June of 2022, from 37.7% recorded in the previous month.

Zambia, recorded an inflation rate of 22.02% in 2021, a significant increase compared to 15.73% recorded in the previous year. Meanwhile, Zambia’s annual inflation rate decelerated for the 11th straight month to 9.7% in June of 2022, from 10.2% in the previous month and is ranked 6th. Turkey on the other hand is 7th its inflation rate climb to 19.59% in 2021 from 12.28% recorded in 2020. The inflation rate of Turkey accelerated for the 13th consecutive month to 78.62% in June of 2022, the highest since September 1998. Haiti with inflation rate of 16.84% is 9th in the top ten ranking. Its annual inflation rate stood at 16.84% in 2021, a significant decline compared to 22.79% recorded in the previous year. Haiti’s inflation rate climbed further in February 2022 to 25.17%, from 23.95% recorded in January. Guinea with a 12.59% rate of inflation is ten on the list. The inflation rate of Guinea rose to 12.59% in 2021, from 10.6% recorded in the previous year. This is also the highest inflation rate recorded by the country since 2012 when its inflation rate topped 15.2%. Meanwhile, recent data shows that Guinea’s inflation rate dropped to 10.99% in April 2022.

According to the World Bank, the global inflation rate, measured by the consumer price index rose to 3.42% in 2021, from 1.92% recorded in the previous year, hitting its highest level in nine years. It is worth noting that of the ten countries with the highest inflation rate, six of them are from the African continent. Inflation measures the rate of increase in the price of goods and services in a country at a given point in time. The world is currently battling with high commodity prices, leading to unprecedented inflation rates across most economies in the world, largely due to the surge in energy prices, and supply shocks amongst other 

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Nigeria champions African-Arab trade to boost agribusiness, industrial growth

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The Arab Africa Trade Bridges (AATB) Program and the Federal Republic of Nigeria formalized a partnership with the signing of the AATB Membership Agreement, officially welcoming Nigeria as the Program’s newest member country. The signing ceremony took place in Abuja on the sidelines of the 5th AATB Board of Governors Meeting, hosted by the Federal Government of Nigeria.

The Membership Agreement was signed by Eng. Adeeb Y. Al Aama, the CEO of the International Islamic Trade Finance Corporation (ITFC) and AATB Program Secretary General, and H.E. Mr. Wale Edun, Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Federal Republic of Nigeria. The Agreement will provide a strategic and operational framework to support Nigeria’s efforts in trade competitiveness, promote export diversification, strengthen priority value chains, and advance capacity-building efforts in line with national development priorities. Areas of collaboration will include trade promotion, agribusiness modernization, SME development, businessmen missions, trade facilitation, logistics efficiency, and digital trade readiness.

The Honourable Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr. Wale Edun, called for deeper trade collaboration between African and Arab nations, stressing the importance of value-added Agribusiness and industrial partnerships for regional growth. Speaking in Abuja at the Agribusiness Matchmaking Forum ahead of the AATB Board of Governors Meeting, the Minister said the shifting global economy makes it essential for African and Arab nations to rely more on regional cooperation, investment and shared markets.

He highlighted projections showing Arab-Africa trade could grow by more than US$37 billion in the next three years and urged partners to prioritize value addition rather than raw commodity exports. He noted that Nigeria’s growing industrial base and upcoming National Single Window reforms will support efficiency, investment and private-sector expansion.

“This is a moment to turn opportunity into action”, he said. “By working together, we can build stronger value chains, create jobs and support prosperity across our regions”, Edun emphasized. “As African and Arab nations embark on this journey of deeper trade collaboration, the potential for growth and development is vast. With a shared vision and commitment to value-added partnerships, we can unlock new opportunities, drive economic growth, and create a brighter future for our people.”

Speaking during the event, Eng. Adeeb Y. Al Aama, Chief Executive Officer of ITFC and Secretary General of the AATB Program, stated: “We are pleased to welcome Nigeria to be part of the AATB Program. Nigeria stands as one of Africa’s most dynamic and resilient economies in Africa, with a rapidly expanding private sector and strong potential across agribusiness, energy, manufacturing, and digital industries. Through this Membership Agreement, we look forward to collaborating closely with Nigerian institutions to strengthen value chains, expand regional market access, enhance trade finance and investment opportunities, and support the country’s development priorities.”

The signing of this Agreement underscores AATB’s continued engagement with African countries and its evolving portfolio of programs supporting trade and investment. In recent years, AATB has worked on initiatives across agribusiness, textiles, logistics, digital trade, export readiness under the AfCFTA framework, and other regional initiatives such as the Common African Agro-Parks (CAAPs) Programme.

With Nigeria’s accession, the AATB Program extends it’s presence in the region and adds a key partner working toward advancing trade-led development and fostering inclusive economic growth.

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Economy

FEC approves 2026–2028 MTEF, projects N34.33trn revenue 

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Federal Executive Council (FEC) has approved the 2026–2028 Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF), a key fiscal document that outlines Nigeria’s revenue expectations, macroeconomic assumptions, and spending priorities for the next three years. The approval followed Wednesday’s FEC meeting presided over by President Bola Tinubu at the State House, Abuja. The Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Senator Atiku Bagudu made this known after the meeting.

The Minister said the Federal Government is projecting a total revenue inflow of N34.33 trillion in 2026, including N4.98 trillion expected from government-owned enterprises. Bagudu said that the projected revenue is N6.55 trillion lower than earlier estimates, adding that federal allocations are expected to drop by about N9.4 trillion, representing a 16% decline compared to the 2025 budget.

He said that statutory transfers are expected to amount to about N3 trillion within the same fiscal year. On macroeconomic assumptions, FEC adopted an oil production benchmark of 2.6 million barrels per day (mbpd) for 2026, although a more conservative 1.8 mbpd will be used for budgeting purposes. An oil price benchmark of $64 per barrel and an exchange rate of N1,512 per dollar were also approved.

Bagudu said the exchange rate assumption reflects projections tied to economic and political developments ahead of the 2027 general elections. He said the exchange rate assumption took into account the fiscal outlook ahead of the 2027 general elections.

The minister said that all the parameters were based on macroeconomic analysis by the Budget Office and other relevant agencies. Bagudu said FEC also reviewed comments from cabinet members before approving the Medium-Term Fiscal Expenditure Ceiling (MFTEC), which sets expenditure limits. Earlier, the Senate approved the external borrowing plan of $21.5 billion presented by President Tinubu for consideration The loans, according to the Senate, were part of the MTEF and Fiscal Strategy Paper (FSP) for the 2025 budget.

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Economy

CBN hikes interest on treasury Bills above inflation rate

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The spot rate on Nigerian Treasury bills has been increased by 146 basis points by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) following tight subscription levels at the main auction on Wednesday. The spot rate on Treasury bills with one-year maturity has now surpassed Nigeria’s 16.05% inflation by 145 basis points following a recent decision to keep the policy rate at 27%. 

The Apex Bank came to the primary market with N700 billion Treasury bills offer size across standard tenors, including 91-day, 182-day and 364 day maturities. Details from the auction results showed that demand settled slightly above the total offers as investors began to seek higher returns on naira assets despite disinflation.

Total subscription came in at about N775 billion versus N700 billion offers floated at the main auction. The results showed rising appetite for duration as investors parked about 90% of their bids on Nigerian Treasury bills with 364 days maturity. The CBN opened N100 billion worth of 91 days bills for subscription, but the offer received underwhelming bids totalling N44.17 billion.

The CBN allotted N42.80 billion for the short-term instrument at the spot rate of 15.30%, the same as the previous auction. Total demand for 182 days Nigerian Treasury bills settled at N33.38 billion as against N150 billion that the authority pushed out for subscription. The CBN raised N30.36 billion from 182 days bills allotted to investors at the spot rate of 15.50%, the same as the previous auction.

Investors staked N697.29 billion on N450 billion in 364-day Treasury bills that was offered for subscription. The CBN raised N636.46 billion from the longest tenor at the spot rate of 17.50%, up from 16.04% at the previous auction.

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