Economy
FG proposes N4.6 trillion budget for 2014
Federal Government has presented a budget proposal of N4.6 trillion for the 2014 fiscal year to the National Assembly. The proposed budget christened ‘budget for job creation and growth’ represents N100 billion reduction from the N4.7 trillion that was budgeted for this year.
Capital expenditure is projected at N1.1 trillion representing 27.29 per cent, down from 31.9 per cent in the current year. The reduction in capital expenditure was attributed to increased allocation to pension and high wage bill. The N4.6 trillion expenditure outlay is to be financed from budgeted revenue of N3.37 billion, while the balance will come from N571 billion debts.
The budget is based on oil price of $77.5 per barrel and crude oil production of 2.38 million barrel per day (bpd) with an average exchange rate of N160 per dollar. The budget was presented by the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister for the Economy, Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala who represented President Jonathan. Though she did not give details of the budget and the amount for the recurrent expenditure, highlights of the proposed budget was however later released by the Ministry of Finance.
Speaking to Journalists after presenting the budget, Dr. Okonjo-Iweala said that the aggregate expenditure of N4.6 trillion excludes the Subsidy Reinvestment Expenditure Programme- SURE-P.
She said, “I felt very privileged, it’s an honour that Mr. President has asked me to carry out this task in conjunction with my colleagues in the cabinet, and of course, the Director General of the Budget office supported me to do this great honour.
“This budget is the budget for job creation and inclusive growth meaning that it’s a budget which will continue the President’s transformation agenda for several sectors of the economy. The budget is going to support the push in agriculture.
“It will kick start the housing sector where we can create more jobs, it is designed for our policies that would support manufacturing because jobs would be created there. Industries will also be created in solid minerals. All these support will continue to be unleashed. Job creation is the key to really solving the problems of the Nigerian economy.
“Aggregate expenditure excluding SURE – P funds is about N4.6 trillion and the revenue is about N3.73 trillion. The capital is about N1.1 trillion and makes up about 27 percent of the budget, the balance of course is the recurrent, and it is about 72 percent of the budget.”
The Minister explained that the distinguishing feature between the 2013 budget and that of the 2014 budget was the focus the government had in continuation of the 2013 budget especially on the area of job creation for the youths and promised that the government was not going to relent in pushing forward.
She said, “All the programmes that create jobs are very well supported, the SURE -P is also part of it, community services programmes would be pushed, the You Win programme would be pushed.”
The Minister further said that the government would pursue vigorously infrastructural development.
“The Infrastructure development is part of it, the Hon Minister of Transport is here, we have been working on rail development. Ministry of Niger Delta is also part of the infrastructure development, Water resources, FCT development and so on.
“We have privatised power but we will be working on the transmission to direct resources there. The distinguishing thing is that it’s a continuation of what we have done before but with more emphasis on really pushing out jobs and also supporting safety nets that can further redistribute income to poor people in the country.”
Focus
Job creation
Infrastructure development
Cost of Governance
Baseline Assumptions
Benchmark Oil Price: $77.5pb
Budgeted Oil Production: 2.3883mbpd
Average Exchange Rate: N160/$, same as in 2013
Real GDP Growth Rate: 6.75%
Revenue Projections
Gross Federally Collectible Revenue: N10.88 trillion
Gross Federally Collectible Oil and Gas Revenue: N7.16 trillion
Total deductions, including cost of crude oil production, subsidy payments, and domestic gas development is N2.15 trillion, same as in 2013.
Subsidy payments were maintained at the 2013 level of N971.1 billion.
Gross Federally Collectible Non-Oil Revenue: N3.29 trillion
FGN Budget Revenue: N3.73 trillion
Expenditure Projections
Aggregate Expenditure (Net of SURE-P): N4.642 trillion
Aggregate Expenditure (Inclusive of SURE-P): N4.910 trillion
Statutory Transfers: N399.7 billion
INEC’s expenditure is to increase from the N32 billion provisioned in 2013 to N45 billion. This is to enable the Commission intensify preparations towards the 2014 elections.
National Assembly’s allocation is to be maintained at the 2013 level of N150 billion.
The provision for debt service is N712 billion from the 2013 level of N591.8 billion.
Recurrent (non-debt) Spending: N2.43 trilliondown from N2.80 trillion in 2013
Personnel cost increased slightly from the 2013 amendment Budget provision of N1.718 trillion to N1.723 trillion for 2014.
Capital Expenditure: N1.100 trillion
Share of Capital in total Expenditure: 27.29% down from 31.9% in 2013 reflecting the increased allocation to pension as well as high wage bill
Share of Recurrent in total Spending: 72.71%
Provision for SURE-P: N268.37 billion
Economy
Nigeria champions African-Arab trade to boost agribusiness, industrial growth
The Arab Africa Trade Bridges (AATB) Program and the Federal Republic of Nigeria formalized a partnership with the signing of the AATB Membership Agreement, officially welcoming Nigeria as the Program’s newest member country. The signing ceremony took place in Abuja on the sidelines of the 5th AATB Board of Governors Meeting, hosted by the Federal Government of Nigeria.
The Membership Agreement was signed by Eng. Adeeb Y. Al Aama, the CEO of the International Islamic Trade Finance Corporation (ITFC) and AATB Program Secretary General, and H.E. Mr. Wale Edun, Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Federal Republic of Nigeria. The Agreement will provide a strategic and operational framework to support Nigeria’s efforts in trade competitiveness, promote export diversification, strengthen priority value chains, and advance capacity-building efforts in line with national development priorities. Areas of collaboration will include trade promotion, agribusiness modernization, SME development, businessmen missions, trade facilitation, logistics efficiency, and digital trade readiness.
The Honourable Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr. Wale Edun, called for deeper trade collaboration between African and Arab nations, stressing the importance of value-added Agribusiness and industrial partnerships for regional growth. Speaking in Abuja at the Agribusiness Matchmaking Forum ahead of the AATB Board of Governors Meeting, the Minister said the shifting global economy makes it essential for African and Arab nations to rely more on regional cooperation, investment and shared markets.
He highlighted projections showing Arab-Africa trade could grow by more than US$37 billion in the next three years and urged partners to prioritize value addition rather than raw commodity exports. He noted that Nigeria’s growing industrial base and upcoming National Single Window reforms will support efficiency, investment and private-sector expansion.
“This is a moment to turn opportunity into action”, he said. “By working together, we can build stronger value chains, create jobs and support prosperity across our regions”, Edun emphasized. “As African and Arab nations embark on this journey of deeper trade collaboration, the potential for growth and development is vast. With a shared vision and commitment to value-added partnerships, we can unlock new opportunities, drive economic growth, and create a brighter future for our people.”
Speaking during the event, Eng. Adeeb Y. Al Aama, Chief Executive Officer of ITFC and Secretary General of the AATB Program, stated: “We are pleased to welcome Nigeria to be part of the AATB Program. Nigeria stands as one of Africa’s most dynamic and resilient economies in Africa, with a rapidly expanding private sector and strong potential across agribusiness, energy, manufacturing, and digital industries. Through this Membership Agreement, we look forward to collaborating closely with Nigerian institutions to strengthen value chains, expand regional market access, enhance trade finance and investment opportunities, and support the country’s development priorities.”
The signing of this Agreement underscores AATB’s continued engagement with African countries and its evolving portfolio of programs supporting trade and investment. In recent years, AATB has worked on initiatives across agribusiness, textiles, logistics, digital trade, export readiness under the AfCFTA framework, and other regional initiatives such as the Common African Agro-Parks (CAAPs) Programme.
With Nigeria’s accession, the AATB Program extends it’s presence in the region and adds a key partner working toward advancing trade-led development and fostering inclusive economic growth.
Economy
FEC approves 2026–2028 MTEF, projects N34.33trn revenue
Federal Executive Council (FEC) has approved the 2026–2028 Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF), a key fiscal document that outlines Nigeria’s revenue expectations, macroeconomic assumptions, and spending priorities for the next three years. The approval followed Wednesday’s FEC meeting presided over by President Bola Tinubu at the State House, Abuja. The Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Senator Atiku Bagudu made this known after the meeting.
The Minister said the Federal Government is projecting a total revenue inflow of N34.33 trillion in 2026, including N4.98 trillion expected from government-owned enterprises. Bagudu said that the projected revenue is N6.55 trillion lower than earlier estimates, adding that federal allocations are expected to drop by about N9.4 trillion, representing a 16% decline compared to the 2025 budget.
He said that statutory transfers are expected to amount to about N3 trillion within the same fiscal year. On macroeconomic assumptions, FEC adopted an oil production benchmark of 2.6 million barrels per day (mbpd) for 2026, although a more conservative 1.8 mbpd will be used for budgeting purposes. An oil price benchmark of $64 per barrel and an exchange rate of N1,512 per dollar were also approved.
Bagudu said the exchange rate assumption reflects projections tied to economic and political developments ahead of the 2027 general elections. He said the exchange rate assumption took into account the fiscal outlook ahead of the 2027 general elections.
The minister said that all the parameters were based on macroeconomic analysis by the Budget Office and other relevant agencies. Bagudu said FEC also reviewed comments from cabinet members before approving the Medium-Term Fiscal Expenditure Ceiling (MFTEC), which sets expenditure limits. Earlier, the Senate approved the external borrowing plan of $21.5 billion presented by President Tinubu for consideration The loans, according to the Senate, were part of the MTEF and Fiscal Strategy Paper (FSP) for the 2025 budget.
Economy
CBN hikes interest on treasury Bills above inflation rate
The spot rate on Nigerian Treasury bills has been increased by 146 basis points by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) following tight subscription levels at the main auction on Wednesday. The spot rate on Treasury bills with one-year maturity has now surpassed Nigeria’s 16.05% inflation by 145 basis points following a recent decision to keep the policy rate at 27%.
The Apex Bank came to the primary market with N700 billion Treasury bills offer size across standard tenors, including 91-day, 182-day and 364 day maturities. Details from the auction results showed that demand settled slightly above the total offers as investors began to seek higher returns on naira assets despite disinflation.
Total subscription came in at about N775 billion versus N700 billion offers floated at the main auction. The results showed rising appetite for duration as investors parked about 90% of their bids on Nigerian Treasury bills with 364 days maturity. The CBN opened N100 billion worth of 91 days bills for subscription, but the offer received underwhelming bids totalling N44.17 billion.
The CBN allotted N42.80 billion for the short-term instrument at the spot rate of 15.30%, the same as the previous auction. Total demand for 182 days Nigerian Treasury bills settled at N33.38 billion as against N150 billion that the authority pushed out for subscription. The CBN raised N30.36 billion from 182 days bills allotted to investors at the spot rate of 15.50%, the same as the previous auction.
Investors staked N697.29 billion on N450 billion in 364-day Treasury bills that was offered for subscription. The CBN raised N636.46 billion from the longest tenor at the spot rate of 17.50%, up from 16.04% at the previous auction.
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