Analysis
Imperative of winding down AMCON’s operations
By Omoh Gabriel
The International Monetary Fund IMF, last week advised the Central Bank as well as the federal government to consider winding down the operation of Asset Management Company of Nigeria. The advice is based on Article IV of the IMF’s agreement with members of the FUND. The Articles of Agreement states that the IMF holds bilateral discussions with members, usually every year. This involves a team of IMF staff visits to the country, collects economic and financial information, and discusses with officials the country’s economic developments and policies.
On return to IMF headquarters, the staff prepares a report, which forms the basis for discussion by the Executive Board. At the conclusion of the discussion, the Managing Director, as Chairman of the Board, summarizes the views of Executive Directors, and this summary is transmitted to the country’s authorities. It was after due consultation with the Nigeria authorities that it released the report in which it considered the current tight monetary stance of the Central Bank of Nigeria to be consistent with the authorities’ objective of reducing inflation to single digits. IMF Board also took note of the staff’s assessment that the exchange rate in real effective terms is broadly realistic.
Directors commended the Nigerian authorities’ success in restoring financial stability after the 2009 banking crisis. In light of this achievement, they recommended winding down the operations of the Asset Management Company to curb moral hazard and fiscal risks. The call for winding down of the operations of AMCON is based on the fact that the CBN has succeeded largely in restoring stability in the Nigerian financial system which was hit by crisis in 2009 as a result of huge non performing loans which threatened the existence of many banks and saw the CBN intervening in five of the banks with N620 billion as bailout package. To ensure that none of the existing banks failed, the CBN in collaboration with the ministry of Finance set up the Asset Management Company of Nigeria AMCON.
The call is also to curb moral hazards and fiscal risk that would arise if AMCON continues in business of buying off non performing loans from banks. Already operators are raising issues with the Company’s purchase of some performing loans.
According Chike Obi the Managing Director of AMCON, Asset Management Company of Nigeria was set up to achieve three-fold function, reducing the level of Non Performing Loans on the books of eligible banks; assisting in the recapitalisation of banks deemed to be in grave danger and managing all acquired assets in a manner consistent both with minimum resolution cost.
The Asset Management Company of Nigeria (AMCON) has acquired 95 per cent of the Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) in the banking sector. Addressing newsmen in Lagos, the Managing Director, AMCON, Mustafa Chike-Obi, stated that at the end of October 2011, AMCON would have successfully acquired N2.78 trillion face value of bad loans from 21 banks at a cost of N1.16 trillion, adding that it had also injected N1.36 trillion into the remaining five banks, which failed the stress test carried out by the industry regulators in 2009, to bring them to a position of zero capital. Chike-Obi stated that the corporation is now moving to the third stage of managing all acquired assets, including NPLs, equity and real assets.
This is where the IMF advice came in. AMCON has achieved its primary objective of ridding the Nigerian banks of non performing loans which had the potential of triggering systemic distress in the Nigerian financial system. By acquiring 95 per cent of non performing loans in the nation’s bank, the financial system is left with about 5 per cent non performing loans which is the threshold of best practice internationally. The International Monetary Fund is saying that AMCON should not take on fresh non performing loans nor inject funds into any bank in a bid to recapitalize such bank. It should now confine itself to managing the assets it acquired from the banks.
But curiously AMCON has been acquiring even performing loans saying it is doing so to save the banks. Chike Obi had disclosed that AMCON had negotiated a takeover of some performing loans, particularly those involving Zenon Petroleum, Seawolf Industries and Geometric Industries from the banks, explaining that the decision was based on the fact that the debts posed a grave danger to the industry.
He said “Certain banks have been compelled, in consultation with AMCON and the CBN, to sell systematically important loans to AMCON to forestall any further crisis in the future. Notable among these are loans of Zenon Petroleum, Seawolf Industries and Geometric Power Industries, which owe banks N150 billion, N100 billion and N25 billion respectively”. The AMCON boss maintained that greater part of the next ten years would be devoted to recovering the NPLs. Chike-Obi said AMCON injected N736 billion into the three bridge banks, namely Mainstreet Bank, Keystone Bank and Enterprise Bank, adding that they were now performing their role in the financial community. He said the remaining five rescued banks had been recapitalised to zero level.
The reasoning at the IMF is that if AMCOM is allowed to continue its operation of acquiring non performing loans of banks it will pose a moral question as banks may have a field day in granting loans they know will not perform knowing that AMCON is there to absolve them. This kind of behaviour if allowed uncheck will endanger the financial services sector that AMCON was set up to arrest.
Last year some banks shareholders protested the taking over of performing loans by AMCON. The acquisition of over N275 billion of performing loans from some banks, by the Asset Management Corporation of Nigeria (AMCON) caused a disquiet in the industry, as operators regarded the action as an undue favour that is being exploited by the affected banks, to enhance their financial position, as the liquidity squeeze bites harder.
Coming at a time when the banks were intensifying their efforts to discount the zero-coupon bonds for cash, at the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), to beef up their liquidity position, the operators said the decision may have been deliberate and intent upon assisting the banks financially. Mustafa Chike-Obi had said that the need to forestall any likelihood of further crisis in the banking industry, and the fact that large sums were involved, led to the acquisition of N275 billion worth of performing loans, adding that the smaller loans were still being managed by the banks. Obi said that the possibility of the huge loans posing potential risks, having assessed the systemic risk linked to the exposures, made the AMCON to compel the banks to purchase the loans of Zenon Petroleum of N150 billion, with about five banks involved; Seawolf Industries (First Bank), N100 billion and Geometric Power Industries (Diamond Bank) worth N25 billion, from the balance sheet of the banks, at between 85 to 95 percent of the face value of the loans.
Analysts who gave the analysis of the Zenon loans, had said in their reviews that the five banks involved had on average, about 16 per cent of their capital and 6 per cent of their gross loan books exposed to Zenon Petroleum & Gas Limited. The cumulative exposure of these banks is $1.1bn and it is not a syndicated facility.
But operators were also faulting the potential risk to the economy and the size advanced by AMCON for taking over the loans, even after the banks flouted the single obligor limit, arguing that what the banks needed to do after venturing into such large exposures, was to syndicate the loans to other banks, thereby spreading the risks instead of AMCON taking over the loans. This is one of the several moral hazards and financial risk the IMF team spoke about.
But Diamond Bank at the time insisted that the Geometric Power facility, for which the bank had a total loan facility of N32 billion, was performing, while approval was given for exceeding the single obligor limit. CBN prudential Guidelines for banks, May 2010 on Limit on exposure to a single obligor/ connected lending says: “(a) The total outstanding exposure by a bank to any single person or a group of related borrowers shall not at any point in time exceed 20 per cent of the bank’s shareholders fund unimpaired by losses. (b) 331/3% of a bank’s off balance sheet engagements shall be applied in determining the bank’s statutory limit to a single obligor as per 3.2(a) above.
According to Rencap analysts, First Bank in July 2007, committed to jointly (with other financial institutions and investors) finance construction of oil rigs through SeaWolf Oil Field Services Limited, for servicing oil companies based in Nigeria. The bank initially disbursed the sum of $260 million to the company and in view of the project’s potentials, continued to fund the project when the other parties could not meet up with the funding agreement due to the economic meltdown and cash constraints. The bank sold the loan to AMCON at five per cent hair cut which the Managing Director complained in the open about.
Total industry Non Performing Loans as at mid 2012 was N339.88billion about 4.29 per cent of total banking credit of N7.87 trillion. A huge growth of NPLs, based on the fact that AMCON has foreclosed the possibility of further purchase of NPLs, banks are likely to hold more bad loans in 2013. From all indications the IMF has only reiterated what the Nigeria authorities have agreed to do as AMCON has foreclosed further purchase of non performing loans in Nigerian banks. It will now limit its operations to managing the assets it acquired and loan recovery which is in line with the IMF prescription.
Analysis
As EU plans Russian Gas exit, Ministers to convene in Paris to chart Africa’s export potential
In the wake of seismic shifts in the European energy landscape, the Invest in African Energy (IAE) 2026 Forum in Paris will host a Ministerial Dialogue on “Unlocking Africa’s Gas Supply for Global Energy Security.” This strategic session will examine how Africa can turn its untapped gas reserves into a reliable and sustainable source of supply. With Europe seeking to diversify away from Russian gas, the dialogue highlights both the continent’s growing role in global energy markets and the opportunity for African producers to attract long-term investment. Recent developments underscore the urgency of Africa’s role in global energy security. Last month, EU countries agreed to phase out their remaining Russian gas imports, with existing contracts benefiting from a transition period: short-term contracts can continue until June 2026, while long-term contracts will run until January 2028. In parallel, the European Commission is pushing to end Russian LNG imports by January 2027 under a broader sanctions package aimed at limiting Moscow’s energy revenues.
Africa’s role in this rebalancing is already gaining momentum. Algeria recently renewed its gas supply agreement with ČEZ Group, ensuring continued deliveries to the Czech Republic. In Libya, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) has approved new compressors at the Bahr Essalam field to boost output and reinforce flows via the Greenstream pipeline to Italy. These developments complement the Structures A&E offshore project – led by Eni and the NOC – which is expected to bring two platforms online by 2026 and produce up to 750 million cubic feet per day, supporting both domestic and European demand. West Africa is pursuing ambitious export routes as well.
Nigeria, Algeria and Niger have revived the Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline (TSGP), with engineering firm Penspen commissioned earlier this year to revalidate its feasibility. The proposed $25 billion Nigeria–Morocco pipeline is also advancing as a long-term corridor linking West African gas to European markets. Meanwhile, the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim (GTA) project off Mauritania and Senegal came online earlier this year, with its first phase targeting 2.3 million tons of LNG annually. In June, the project delivered its third cargo to Belgium’s Zeebrugge terminal, marking the first African LNG shipment from GTA to Europe. Together, these milestones underscore a strategic convergence: African producers are accelerating efforts to scale up exports just as Europe intensifies its search for reliable alternatives to Russian gas.
Yet, as the ministerial session will explore, unlocking Africa’s gas supply demands sustained investment, regulatory alignment, environmental management and community engagement. For Europe, diversification of supply is a strategic necessity; for African producers, it is an opportunity to accelerate development, build infrastructure and secure long-term capital. At IAE 2026, these shifts will be examined by the officials and stakeholders driving them. The Ministerial Dialogue brings African energy leaders together with European policymakers, industry players and investors in a setting that supports practical, solution-focused discussion on supply, export strategies and future cooperation. As Europe adapts its gas strategy and African producers progress major projects, the Forum provides a direct platform for ministers to outline priorities and for investors to engage with key decision-makers.
Analysis
Authorities must respond as digital tools used by organized criminals accelerate financial crime—IMF
International Monetary Fund IMF, has said that criminals are outpacing enforcement by adapting ever faster ways to carry out digital fraud. The INF in a Blog post said the Department of Justice in June announced the largest-ever US crypto seizure: $225 million from crypto scams known as pig butchering, in which organized criminals, often across borders, use advanced technology and social engineering such as romance or investment schemes to manipulate victims. This typically involves using AI-generated profiles, encrypted messaging, and obscured blockchain transactions to hide and move stolen funds. It was a big win. Federal agents collaborated across jurisdictions and used blockchain analysis and machine learning to track thousands of wallets used to scam more than 400 victims. Yet it was also a rare victory that underscored how authorities often must play catch-up in a fast-changing digital world. And the scammers are still out there. They pick the best tools for their schemes, from laundering money through crypto and AI-enabled impersonation to producing deepfake content, encrypted apps, and decentralized exchanges. Authorities confronting anonymous, borderless threats are held back by jurisdiction, process, and legacy systems.
Annual illicit crypto activity growth has averaged about 25 percent in recent years and may have surpassed $51 billion last year, according to Chainalysis, a New York–based blockchain analysis firm specializing in helping criminal investigators trace transactions. Bad actors still depend on cash and traditional finance, and money laundering specifically relies on banks, informal money changers, and cash couriers. But the old ways are being reinforced or supercharged by technologies to thwart detection and disruption.
Encrypted messaging apps help cartels coordinate cross-border transactions. Stablecoins and lightly regulated virtual asset platforms can hide bribes and embezzled funds. Cybercriminals use AI-generated identities and bots to deceive banks and evade outdated controls. Tracking proceeds generated by organized crime is nearly impossible for underresourced agencies. AI lowers barriers to entry. Fraudsters with voice-cloning and fake-document generators bypass the verification protocols many banks and regulators still use. Their innovation is growing as compliance systems lag. Governments recognize the threats, but responses are fragmented and uneven—including in regulation of crypto exchanges. And there are delays implementing the Financial Action Task Force’s (FATF’s) “travel rule” to better identify those sending and receiving money across borders, which most digital proceeds cross.
Meanwhile, international financial flows are increasingly complicated by instant transfers on decentralized platforms and anonymity-enhancing tools. Most payments still go through multiple intermediaries, often layering cross-border transactions through antiquated correspondent banks that obscure and delay transactions while raising costs. This helps criminals exploit oversight gaps, jurisdictional coordination, and technological capacity to operate across borders, often undetected.
Regulators and fintechs should be partners, and sustained multilateral engagement should foster fast, cheap, transparent, and traceable cross-border payments. There’s a parallel narrative. Criminals exploit innovation for secrecy and speed while companies and governments test coordination to reduce vulnerabilities and modernize cross-border infrastructure. At the same time, technological implications remain underexplored with respect to anti–money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism, or AML/CFT. Singapore’s and Thailand’s linked fast payment systems, for example, enable real-time retail transfers using mobile numbers; Indonesia and Malaysia have connected QR codes for cross-border payments. Such innovations offer efficiency and inclusion yet raise new issues regarding identity verification, transaction monitoring, and regulatory coordination.
In India, the Unified payments interface enables seamless transfers across apps and platforms, highlighting the power of interoperable design. More than 18 billion monthly transactions, many across competing platforms, show how openness and standardization drive scale and inclusion. Digital payments in India grew faster when interoperability improved, especially in fragmented markets where switching was costly, IMF research shows These regional innovations and global initiatives reflect a growing understanding that fighting crime and fostering inclusion are interlinked priorities—especially as criminals speed ahead. The FATF echoed this concern, urging countries to design AML/CFT controls that support inclusion and innovation. Moreover, an FATF June recommendation marks a major advance: Requiring originator and beneficiary information for cross-border wire transfers—including those involving virtual assets—will enhance traceability across the fast-evolving digital financial ecosystem.
Efforts like these are important examples of how technology enables criminal advantage, but technology must also be part of the regulatory response.
Modernizing cross-border payment systems and reducing unintended AML/CFT barriers increasingly means focusing on transparency, interoperability, and risk-based regulation. The IMF’s work on “safe payment corridors” supports this by helping countries build trusted, secure channels for legitimate financial flows without undermining new technology. A pilot with Samoa —where de-risking has disrupted remittances—showed how targeted safeguards and collaboration with regulated providers can preserve access while maintaining financial integrity without disrupting the use of new payment platforms.
Several countries, with IMF guidance, are investing in machine learning to detect anomalies in cross-border financial flows, and others are tightening regulation of virtual asset service providers. Governments are investing in their own capacity to trace crypto transfers, and blockchain analytics firms are often employed to do that. IMF analysis of cross-border flows and the updated FATF rules are mutually reinforcing. If implemented cohesively, they can help digital efficiency coexist with financial integrity. For that to happen, legal frameworks must adapt to enable timely access to digital evidence while preserving due process. Supervisory models need to evolve to oversee both banks and nonbank financial institutions offering cross-border services. Regulators and fintechs should be partners, and sustained multilateral engagement should foster fast, cheap, transparent, and traceable cross-border payments—anchored interoperable standards that also respect privacy.
Governments must keep up. That means investing in regulatory technology, such as AI-powered transaction monitoring and blockchain analysis, and giving agencies tools and expertise to detect complex crypto schemes and synthetic identity fraud. Institutions must keep pace with criminals by hiring and retaining expert data scientists and financial crime specialists. Virtual assets must be brought under AML/CFT regulation, public-private partnerships should codevelop tools to spot emerging risks, and global standards from the FATF and the Financial Stability Board must be backed by national investments in effective AML/CFT frameworks.
Consistent and coordinated implementation is important. Fragmented efforts leave openings for criminals. Their growing technological advantage over governments threatens to undermine financial integrity, destabilize economies, weaken already fragile institutions, and erode public trust in systems meant to ensure safety and fairness. As crime rings adopt and adapt emerging technologies to outpace enforcement, the cost is not only fiscal—it is structural and systemic. Governments can’t wait. The criminals won’t.
Analysis
Multilateral development banks reaffirm commitment to climate finance, pledge innovative funding for adaptation
Multilateral development banks have reaffirmed their commitment to climate finance, pledging to scale up innovative funding to boost climate adaptation and resilience. “Financing climate resilience is not a cost, but an investment.” This was the key message from senior MDB officials at the end of a side event organised by the Climate Investment Funds (CIF) on the opening day of the 30th United Nations Climate Conference (COP30) in Belém, Brazil.
The conference runs from 10 to 21 November. During a panel discussion titled “Accelerating large-scale climate change adaptation,” MDB representatives, including the African Development Bank Group, outlined how their institutions are fulfilling Paris Agreement commitments by mobilising substantial and innovative resources for climate adaptation and mitigation. Ilan Goldfajn, President of the Inter-American Development Bank Group, emphasised that “resilience is more than a concern for the future: it is also essential for development today.” He announced that MDBs are tripling their financing for resilience over the next decade, targeting $42 billion by 2030.
“At the Inter-American Development Bank, we are turning preparedness into protection and resilience into opportunity,” Goldfajn added. Tanja Faller, Director of Technical Evaluation and Monitoring at the Council of Europe Development Bank, stressed that climate change “not only creates new threats, but also amplifies existing inequalities. The most socially vulnerable people are the hardest hit and the last to recover. This is how a climate crisis also becomes a social crisis.” Representatives from the Islamic Development Bank, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, the Asian Development Bank, the World Bank Group, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, the European Investment Bank, the New Development Bank and IDB Invest (the private sector arm of the Inter-American Development Bank Group) also shared concrete examples of successful adaptation investments and strategies for mobilising new resources.
Kevin Kariuki, Vice President of the African Development Bank Group in charge of Power, Energy, Climate and Green Growth, presented the Bank’s leadership in advancing climate adaptation and mitigation. “At the African Development Bank, we understand the priorities of our countries: adaptation and mitigation are at the heart of our climate interventions.” He highlighted the creation of the Climate Action Window, a new financing mechanism under the African Development Fund, the Bank Group’s concessional window for low-income countries.
“The African Development Bank is the only multilateral development bank with a portfolio of adaptation projects ready for investment through the Climate Action Window,” Kariuki noted, adding that Germany, the United Kingdom and Switzerland are among key co-financing partners. Kariuki also showcased the Bank’s YouthADAPT programme, which has invested $5.4 million in 41 youth-led enterprises across 20 African countries, generating more than 10,000 jobs — 61 percent of which are led by women, and mobilising an additional $7 million in private and donor funding.
Representatives from Zambia, Mozambique and Jamaica also shared local perspectives on the financing needs of communities most exposed to climate risk. The panel followed the official opening of COP30, marked by a passionate appeal from Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for greater climate investment to prevent a “tragedy for humanity.”
“Without the Paris Agreement, we would see a 4–5°C increase in global temperatures,” Lula warned. “Our call to action is based on three pillars: honouring commitments; accelerating public action with a roadmap enabling humanity to move away from fossil fuels and deforestation; and placing humanity at the heart of the climate action programme: thousands of people are living in poverty and deprivation as a result of climate change. The climate emergency is a crisis of inequality,” he continued.
“We must build a future that is not doomed to tragedy. We must ensure that we live in a world where we can still dream.” Outgoing COP President Mukhtar Babayevn, Azerbaijan’s Minister of Ecology, urged developed nations to fulfil their promises made at the Baku Conference, including commitments to mobilise $300 billion in climate finance. He called for stronger political will and multilateral cooperation, before handing over the COP presidency to Brazilian diplomat André Corrêa do Lago, who now leads the negotiations.
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