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Economy

NASS approves $2.85bn foreign borrowing plan, Tinubu digging economic hole for Nigerians by borrowing more—Emir Sanusi

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Nigeria National Assembly on Wednesday approved President Bola Tinubu’s request to borrow $2.85 billion from international debt markets, including the country’s first-ever issuance of a sovereign sukuk. But the Emir of Kano, Muhammadu Sanusi II has warned that President Tinubu is digging economic hole for Nigerians by borrowing more.

Sanusi and Atedo Peterside, have urged President Bola Tinubu’s government to ensure that its economic reforms are inclusive and fiscally disciplined. Mr Sanusi warned that the government’s penchant for borrowing is tantamount to digging an economic “hole”.

They made the call in Abuja during a high-level dialogue on Nigeria’s economic direction, governance, and reform priorities, at the Oxford Global Think-Tank Leadership Conference and Book Launch. While commending the bold reforms, both cautioned that the government must address rising poverty and the cost of living by curbing waste and directing resources to help ordinary Nigerians.

However Mr Sanusi commended Mr Tinubu for removing fuel subsidy and unifying exchange rates, describing both as “painful but necessary steeps. Tinubu asked NASS earlier this month to approve new international borrowing and authorise the issuance of a $500 million debut sovereign sukuk. The new funds would be used to part-finance the budget deficit and refinance maturing Eurobonds due in November, Tinubu has said, adding that the borrowing could be done via the Eurobond market, loan syndication, bridge financing from bookrunners, or directly from international banks.

“We were paying the difference between global oil prices and a fixed local pump price with borrowed money. That was not a subsidy; it was an unsustainable hedge that led us to bankruptcy,” the former Central Bank of Nigeria governor stated. He, however, cautioned that without institutional reforms and prudent spending, Nigeria risks undoing the benefits of the painful but necessary economic adjustments.

“If you stop paying subsidies but continue to borrow more, it means you filled one hole only to dig another. This government needs to look at institutions, procurement processes, and the quality of spending,” added Mr Sanusi. “Otherwise, we’ll undo the progress already made.” The ex-CBN governor pointed out that he and other reform advocates warned against subsidy when he was in the office. He, however, said, “Nigeria is plagued by too many sycophants in government.

In 2012, we warned that the subsidy was unsustainable, but politics took over.” Mr Sanusi praised the current economic team led by finance minister Wale Edun and CBN governor Yemi Cardoso, noting that they have stabilised inflation and exchange rate volatility, but urged the government to reduce waste and the size of its cabinet.
He also highlighted the need to reduce governance costs.

Mr Sanusi urged ministers and presidential advisers to restore integrity to public service by speaking truth to power, saying blind loyalty has been one of Nigeria’s greatest obstacles to progress. Mr Peterside commended Mr Tinubu’s administration for removing fuel subsidy and introducing a market-determined exchange rate. He, however, said the real test of leadership lay in how the revenues saved were utilised.

“The government has done the correct thing in removing an unaffordable subsidy and allowing market-determined exchange rates,” Mr Peterside explained. “What is the point of giving a thief more revenue if he’s only going to steal it? The real test is what is being done with that money.”He stressed the need for government at all levels to cut the cost of governance, saying,

“After removing the subsidy, the next step should have been immediate cash transfers to the poorest Nigerians to cushion the pain.” Mr Peterside reiterated that structural reforms must be accompanied by good governance and social protection to ensure that economic pain translates into real gains for citizens. It’s not true that pain automatically leads to gain. Gain follows pain only if you do the right things afterward — reduce waste, invest in productive sectors, and support the poor,” he said.

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Economy

Nigeria champions African-Arab trade to boost agribusiness, industrial growth

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The Arab Africa Trade Bridges (AATB) Program and the Federal Republic of Nigeria formalized a partnership with the signing of the AATB Membership Agreement, officially welcoming Nigeria as the Program’s newest member country. The signing ceremony took place in Abuja on the sidelines of the 5th AATB Board of Governors Meeting, hosted by the Federal Government of Nigeria.

The Membership Agreement was signed by Eng. Adeeb Y. Al Aama, the CEO of the International Islamic Trade Finance Corporation (ITFC) and AATB Program Secretary General, and H.E. Mr. Wale Edun, Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Federal Republic of Nigeria. The Agreement will provide a strategic and operational framework to support Nigeria’s efforts in trade competitiveness, promote export diversification, strengthen priority value chains, and advance capacity-building efforts in line with national development priorities. Areas of collaboration will include trade promotion, agribusiness modernization, SME development, businessmen missions, trade facilitation, logistics efficiency, and digital trade readiness.

The Honourable Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr. Wale Edun, called for deeper trade collaboration between African and Arab nations, stressing the importance of value-added Agribusiness and industrial partnerships for regional growth. Speaking in Abuja at the Agribusiness Matchmaking Forum ahead of the AATB Board of Governors Meeting, the Minister said the shifting global economy makes it essential for African and Arab nations to rely more on regional cooperation, investment and shared markets.

He highlighted projections showing Arab-Africa trade could grow by more than US$37 billion in the next three years and urged partners to prioritize value addition rather than raw commodity exports. He noted that Nigeria’s growing industrial base and upcoming National Single Window reforms will support efficiency, investment and private-sector expansion.

“This is a moment to turn opportunity into action”, he said. “By working together, we can build stronger value chains, create jobs and support prosperity across our regions”, Edun emphasized. “As African and Arab nations embark on this journey of deeper trade collaboration, the potential for growth and development is vast. With a shared vision and commitment to value-added partnerships, we can unlock new opportunities, drive economic growth, and create a brighter future for our people.”

Speaking during the event, Eng. Adeeb Y. Al Aama, Chief Executive Officer of ITFC and Secretary General of the AATB Program, stated: “We are pleased to welcome Nigeria to be part of the AATB Program. Nigeria stands as one of Africa’s most dynamic and resilient economies in Africa, with a rapidly expanding private sector and strong potential across agribusiness, energy, manufacturing, and digital industries. Through this Membership Agreement, we look forward to collaborating closely with Nigerian institutions to strengthen value chains, expand regional market access, enhance trade finance and investment opportunities, and support the country’s development priorities.”

The signing of this Agreement underscores AATB’s continued engagement with African countries and its evolving portfolio of programs supporting trade and investment. In recent years, AATB has worked on initiatives across agribusiness, textiles, logistics, digital trade, export readiness under the AfCFTA framework, and other regional initiatives such as the Common African Agro-Parks (CAAPs) Programme.

With Nigeria’s accession, the AATB Program extends it’s presence in the region and adds a key partner working toward advancing trade-led development and fostering inclusive economic growth.

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Economy

FEC approves 2026–2028 MTEF, projects N34.33trn revenue 

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Federal Executive Council (FEC) has approved the 2026–2028 Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF), a key fiscal document that outlines Nigeria’s revenue expectations, macroeconomic assumptions, and spending priorities for the next three years. The approval followed Wednesday’s FEC meeting presided over by President Bola Tinubu at the State House, Abuja. The Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Senator Atiku Bagudu made this known after the meeting.

The Minister said the Federal Government is projecting a total revenue inflow of N34.33 trillion in 2026, including N4.98 trillion expected from government-owned enterprises. Bagudu said that the projected revenue is N6.55 trillion lower than earlier estimates, adding that federal allocations are expected to drop by about N9.4 trillion, representing a 16% decline compared to the 2025 budget.

He said that statutory transfers are expected to amount to about N3 trillion within the same fiscal year. On macroeconomic assumptions, FEC adopted an oil production benchmark of 2.6 million barrels per day (mbpd) for 2026, although a more conservative 1.8 mbpd will be used for budgeting purposes. An oil price benchmark of $64 per barrel and an exchange rate of N1,512 per dollar were also approved.

Bagudu said the exchange rate assumption reflects projections tied to economic and political developments ahead of the 2027 general elections. He said the exchange rate assumption took into account the fiscal outlook ahead of the 2027 general elections.

The minister said that all the parameters were based on macroeconomic analysis by the Budget Office and other relevant agencies. Bagudu said FEC also reviewed comments from cabinet members before approving the Medium-Term Fiscal Expenditure Ceiling (MFTEC), which sets expenditure limits. Earlier, the Senate approved the external borrowing plan of $21.5 billion presented by President Tinubu for consideration The loans, according to the Senate, were part of the MTEF and Fiscal Strategy Paper (FSP) for the 2025 budget.

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Economy

CBN hikes interest on treasury Bills above inflation rate

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The spot rate on Nigerian Treasury bills has been increased by 146 basis points by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) following tight subscription levels at the main auction on Wednesday. The spot rate on Treasury bills with one-year maturity has now surpassed Nigeria’s 16.05% inflation by 145 basis points following a recent decision to keep the policy rate at 27%. 

The Apex Bank came to the primary market with N700 billion Treasury bills offer size across standard tenors, including 91-day, 182-day and 364 day maturities. Details from the auction results showed that demand settled slightly above the total offers as investors began to seek higher returns on naira assets despite disinflation.

Total subscription came in at about N775 billion versus N700 billion offers floated at the main auction. The results showed rising appetite for duration as investors parked about 90% of their bids on Nigerian Treasury bills with 364 days maturity. The CBN opened N100 billion worth of 91 days bills for subscription, but the offer received underwhelming bids totalling N44.17 billion.

The CBN allotted N42.80 billion for the short-term instrument at the spot rate of 15.30%, the same as the previous auction. Total demand for 182 days Nigerian Treasury bills settled at N33.38 billion as against N150 billion that the authority pushed out for subscription. The CBN raised N30.36 billion from 182 days bills allotted to investors at the spot rate of 15.50%, the same as the previous auction.

Investors staked N697.29 billion on N450 billion in 364-day Treasury bills that was offered for subscription. The CBN raised N636.46 billion from the longest tenor at the spot rate of 17.50%, up from 16.04% at the previous auction.

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