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Nigeria financial market last week: Equities Market profit-taking activities drag performance… ASI down 1.0% w/w 

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Despite three consecutive days of gains during the week, the local bourse halted its bullish streak as profit-taking in BUACEMENT (-4.8%), STANBIC (-7.3%) and UBN (-8.2%) weighed on overall performance. Consequently, the NSE All-Share Index closed in the red, falling 1.0% w/w to settle at 25,016.30 points. Similarly, YTD return fell to 6.8% and market capitalisation shed ₦118.4bn w/w to close at ₦13.0tn. Activity level was mixed as average volume declined 29.8% to 293.8m units while value traded rose 4.7% to ₦4.7bn. The top traded stocks by volume were FBNH (175.9m units), GUARANTY (154.9m units) and ZENITH (125.8m units) while DANGCEM (₦6.3bn), NIGERIAN BREWERIES (₦5.1bn) and GUARANTY (₦3.8bn) led by value.

Performance across sectors was bearish as 4 of 6 indices under our coverage trended southward w/w. The Industrial Goods index led laggards, down 3.1% on the back of sell pressures in CUTIX (-9.6%), BUACEMENT (-4.8%) and WAPCO (-0.4%). Trailing, the Banking index shed 1.8% on account of losses in UBN (-8.2%), STANBIC (-7.3%) and STERLNBANK (-7.2%). Similarly, the Oil & Gas and Insurance indices lost 1.3% and 0.7% respectively as investors exited positions in TOTAL (-6.5%), MANSARD (-8.9%) and WAPIC (-6.3%). Conversely, the Consumer Goods index led gainers, up 0.3% as DANGSUGAR (+15.9%) and NASCON (+3.6%) buoyed performance while gains in CHAMS (+12.5%) and COURTVILLE (+5.0%) marginally drove the AFR-ICT index 3bps higher.

Investor sentiment as measured by market breadth (advance/decline ratio) weakened to 0.6x from 1.6x as 25 stocks advanced against 39 that declined. The top performing stocks for the week were NEIMETH (+56.6%), JAPAULOIL (+50.0%) and UAC-PROP (+20.0%) while AFROMEDIA (-23.1%), JBERGER (-22.7%) and UACN (-13.9%) were the laggards. We expect to see profit-taking activities in early trades next week but overall, we expect a mixed performance.

Foreign Exchange Market: Naira Maintains Stability as Foreign Reserves Rebound

This week, sentiment in the global oil market was mixed, partly fueled by news surrounding non-compliance in production cut by some OPEC+ member countries (such as Iraq and Nigeria) on one hand, and sustained recovery in demand for oil globally. On the demand side, China, one of the largest consumer of oil, increased its import by 13.0% to 11.1mb/d in May as economic activities neared pre-COVID level. Consequently, Brent crude price appreciated 16.0% w/w to close at $42.05/bbl, the highest since March 2020. Elsewhere, the Nigerian foreign reserves sustained its uptrend, climbing 0.4% ($175.9m) to $36.6bn (3/06/2020).

This week, the naira traded within similar bands as the CBN Spot rate closed the week flat at ₦361.00/$1.00. At the parallel market, the naira appreciated ₦6.00 to close at ₦447.00/$1.00 for the week. At the Investors’ & Exporters’ (I&E) Window, the NAFEX rate depreciated ₦0.17 to settle at ₦386.50/$1.00. Activity level in the I&E Window advanced as total turnover surged 73.4% w/w to $332.2m from $191.5m recorded the previous week.

At the FMDQ Securities Exchange (SE) FX Futures Contract Market, the total value of open contracts of the Naira increased to $14.3bn, up $328.9m (2.4%) from $13.9bn in the prior week. The JUN 2020 instrument (contract price: ₦389.84) saw the most buying interest with an additional subscription of $271.9m, taking total value to US$1.9bn. On the other hand, the FEB 2021 instrument (contract price: N411.41) was the least subscribed (+0.1%), with marginal subscription of US$1.5m to gross US$1.5bn. In the coming week, we expect exchange stability in the FX market given the improvement in external reserve.

Money Market: Bearish Outing in the T-Bills Market 

OBB and OVN rates opened the week at 2.4% and 3.0% respectively from last week’s close of 2.2% and 3.0% as system liquidity rose to ₦526.6bn. On Thursday, OBB and OVN rates lowered to 1.9% and 2.5% respectively as system liquidity rose to ₦737.9bn following OMO repayment of ₦149.7bn. By the close of the week, OBB and OVN rates rose to 15.6% and 16.7% respectively as system liquidity settled at ₦493.9bn following CBN’s ₦459.7bn CRR debit.

The CBN auctioned OMO instruments worth ₦70.0bn on Thursday, lower than same day’s maturity. Demand was high across broad with bid-to-cover ratio of 2.3x, 2.6x and 6.7x for the 82-day, 173-day and 341-day instruments. This was on the back of foreign investors re-investing maturities as they are unable to repatriate their funds owing to forex rationing by the CBN. Notably, stop rates crashed compared to previous auction at 4.95%, 7.79% and 8.99% (vs 7.00%, 8.75% and 9.90%) for the 82-day, 173-day and 341-day instruments respectively. In the secondary T-bills market, there was a bearish outing as average rate rose 101bps w/w to 3.2%. Investors sold-off the 91-day instrument resulting in rates advancing 304bps while the 182 and 364-day instruments closed flat. Next week, we expect maturities worth ₦92.8bn and ₦90.9m from the OMO and T-bills markets. As such, we expect rates to remain broadly stable. 

Bonds Market: Bullish Performance in the Domestic Market

This week, performance in the secondary market was bullish as average yield fell 9bps w/w to 10.0%. Across tenors, the mid-term bonds recorded the most buying interest with yields down by 21bps w/w. The long-term instruments also recorded a 5bps decline in yields while yields rose 3bps at the short end. For the Nigerian Eurobond instruments, performance was bullish as average yield declined 83bps to 7.9%. The 2021 and 2025 instruments enjoyed the highest demand, with yields declining 1.2ppts and 1.1ppts respectively.

For the Nigerian Corporate Eurobonds that we track, the story was similar as average yield declined 204bps w/w to 9.5%. Seplat 2023 instrument led the pack with yield declining 5.3ppts w/w. UBA 2022 and Zenith 2022 also recorded gains as respective yield declined 1.5ppts and 1.1ppts w/w. In the domestic market, we expect a sustained bullish performance in the coming week amid strong demand and low rates in the money market. 

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Afreximbank successfully closed its second Samurai Bond transactions, raising JPY 81.8bn or $527m

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African Export-Import Bank said it has successfully closed its second Samurai bond transaction, securing a total of JPY 81.8 billion (approx. USD 527 million) through Regular and Retail Samurai Bonds offerings.

The execution surpasses the Bank’s 2024 debut issuance size, attracting orders from more than 100 institutional and retail investors, marking a renewed demonstration of strong Japanese investor confidence in the Bank’s credit and its growing presence in the yen capital markets.

On 18 November, Afreximbank priced a JPY 45.8 billion 3-year tranche in the Regular Samurai market following a comprehensive sequence of investor engagement activities leveraging Tokyo International Conference on African Development (TICAD9), including Non-Deal Roadshows (NDRs) in Tokyo, Kanazawa, Kyoto, Shiga and Osaka, a Global Investor Call, and a two-day soft-sounding process which tested investor appetite across 2.5-, 3-, 5-, 7-, and 10-year maturities.

With market expectations of a Bank of Japan interest rate increase, investor demand concentrated in shorter tenors, resulting in a focused 3-year tranche during official marketing.

The tranche attracted strong participation from asset managers (22.3%), life insurers (15.3%), regional corporates, and high-net-worth investors (39.7%).

Concurrently, Afreximbank priced its second Retail Samurai bond on 18 November, a JPY 36.0 billion 3-year tranche, more than double the inaugural JPY 14.1 billion Retail Samurai issuance completed in November 2024.

The 2025 Retail Samurai bond also marks the first Retail Samurai bond issued in Japan in 2025.

Following the amendment to Afreximbank’s shelf registration on 7 November 2025, SMBC Nikko conducted an extensive seven-business-day demand survey through its nationwide branch network, followed by a six-business-day bond offering period.

The offering benefited from strong visibility supported by Afreximbank’s investor engagement across the country, including the Bank’s participation at TICAD9, where Afreximbank hosted the Africa Finance Seminar to introduce Multinational Development Bank’s mandate in Africa and its credit profile to key Japanese institutional investors.

MBC Nikko Securities Inc. acted as Sole Lead Manager and Bookrunner for both the Regular and Retail Samurai transactions. Chandi Mwenebungu, Afreximbank’s Managing Director, Treasury & Markets and Group Treasurer, commented:

“We are pleased with the successful completion of our second Samurai bond transactions, which marked a significant increase from our inaugural Retail Samurai bond in 2024, and which reflect the growing depth of our relationship with Japanese investors.

The strong demand, both in the Regular and Retail offerings, demonstrates sustained confidence in Afreximbank’s credit and mandate.

We remain committed to deepening our engagement in the Samurai market through regular investor activities and continued collaboration with our Japanese partners.”

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Ecobank unveils SME bazaar: a festive marketplace for local entrepreneurs

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Ecobank Nigeria, a member of Africa’s leading pan-African banking group, has announced the launch of the Ecobank SME Bazaar—a two-weekend festive marketplace designed to celebrate local creativity, empower entrepreneurs, and give Lagos residents a premium shopping experience this Detty December. The Bazaar will hold on 29–30 November and 6–7 December at the Ecobank Pan African Centre (EPAC), Ozumba Mbadiwe Road, Victoria Island, Lagos. Speaking ahead of the event, Omoboye Odu, Head of SMEs, Ecobank Nigeria, reaffirmed the bank’s commitment to supporting small and medium-sized businesses, describing them as the heartbeat of Nigeria’s economy. She explained that the Ecobank SME Bazaar was created to enhance visibility for entrepreneurs, expand market access, and support sustainable business growth.
According to her, “This isn’t just a market—it’s a vibrant hub of culture, commerce, and connection. From fresh farm produce to trendy fashion, handcrafted pieces, lifestyle products, and delicious food and drinks, the Ecobank SME Bazaar promises an unforgettable experience for both shoppers and participating SMEs. Whether you’re shopping for festive gifts, hunting for unique finds, or soaking in the Detty December energy, this is the place to be.” Ms. Odu added that participating businesses will enjoy increased brand exposure, deeper customer engagement, and meaningful networking opportunities—making the Bazaar a strong platform for both festive-season sales and long-term business growth. The event is powered by Ecobank in partnership with TKD Farms, Eko Marche, Leyyow, and other SME-focused organisations committed to building sustainable enterprises.

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16 banks have recapitalised before deadline—CBN

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has said that16 banks have so far met the new capital requirements for their various licences, some four months before the March 31, 2026 deadline. The apex bank also indicated that 27 other banks have raised capital through various methods in one of the most extensive financial sector reforms since 2004. Addressing journalists at the end of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting in Abuja, CBN Governor Mr Olayemi Cardoso said the banking recapitalisation was going on orderly, consistent with the regulator’s expectations. He said, “We are monitoring developments, and indications show the process is moving in the right direction.” Nigeria has 44 deposit-taking banks, including seven commercial banks with international authorisation, 15 with national authorisation, four with regional authorisation, four non-interest banks, six merchant banks, seven financial holding companies and one representative office.
Cardoso explained that eight commercial banks had met the N500 billion capital requirement as of July 22, 2024, rising to 14 by September of the same year. The number has now increased to 16 as the industry continues to race toward full compliance. He said that the reforms would reinforce the resilience of Nigerian banks both within the country and across the continent. “We are building a financial system that will be fit for purpose for the years ahead. Many Nigerian banks now operate across Africa and have been innovative across different markets. These new buffers will better equip them to manage risks in the multiple jurisdictions where they operate,” Cardoso said. According to him, the reforms would strengthen the financial sector’s capability to support households and businesses. He said, “Ultimately, this benefits Nigerians—our traders, our businesses and our citizens—who operate across those regions. “It should give everyone comfort to know that Nigerian banks with deep local understanding are present to support them. Commercial banks are also creating their own buffers through the ongoing recapitalisation.”
He added that the apex bank considered several factors in determining the new capital thresholds, including prevailing macroeconomic conditions, stress test results and the need for stronger risk buffers. He reassured on the regulator’s commitment to strict oversight as the consolidation progresses. “We will rigorously enforce our ‘fit and proper’ criteria for prospective new shareholders, senior management, and board members of banks, and proactively monitor the integrity of financial statements, adequacy of financial resources, and fair valuation of banks’ post-merger balance sheets,” Cardoso said. He said the CBN remained confident that the banking system would emerge stronger at the conclusion of the recapitalization exercise, with institutions better prepared to support Nigeria’s economic transformation Banks have up till March 31, 2026 to beef up their minimum capital base to the new standard set by the apex bank. Under the new minimum capital base, CBN uses a distinctive definition of the new minimum capital base for each category of banks as the addition of share capital and share premium, as against the previous use of shareholders’ funds.
While most banks have shareholders’ funds in excess of the new minimum capital base, their share premium and share capital significantly fall short of the new minimum definition. The CBN had in March 2024 released its circular on review of minimum capital requirement for commercial, merchant and non-interest banks. The apex bank increased the new minimum capital for commercial banks with international affiliations, otherwise known as mega banks, to N500 billion; commercial banks with national authorisation, N200 billion and commercial banks with regional license, N50 billion. Others included merchant banks, N50 billion; non-interest banks with national license, N20 billion and non-interest banks with regional license will now have N10 billion minimum capital. The 24-month timeline for compliance ends on March 31, 2026. Under the guidelines for the recapitalisation exercise, banks are expected to subject their new equity funds to capital verification before the clearance of the allotment proposal and release of the funds to the bank for onwards completion of the offer process and addition of the new capital to its capital base. The CBN is the final signatory in a tripartite capital verification committee that included the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC). The committee is saddled with scrutinising new funds being raised by banks under the ongoing banking sector recapitalisation exercise.

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