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Nigerian Financial market last week: Nigerian Equities Market posts gain

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Despite four consecutive losses during the week, the Nigerian Equities market closed on a bullish note as buying interest in AIRTELAF (+10.0%), ABCTRANS (+9.8%) and NESTLE (+9.6%) supported overall performance. Consequently, the NSE All-Share Index closed in the green, rising 1bp w/w to settle at 24,829.02 points. Similarly, YTD return moderated to -7.5% and market capitalisation rose ₦1.2 billion w/w to close at ₦13.0 trillion. Activity level waned as average volume and value traded declined 29.6% and 15.4% to 147.9m units and ₦1.7bn respectively. The top traded stocks by volume were FBNH (78.2m units), GUARANTY (70.4m units) and ZENITH (62.8m units) while GUARANTY (₦1.6bn), ZENITH (₦1.0bn) and DANGCEM (₦946.4m) led by value. 

Performance across sectors was bearish as 5 of the 6 indices covered trended southward w/w. The Oil & Gas index led laggards, down 4.8% on the back of sell pressures in SEPLAT (-10.0%), ARDOVA (-5.1%) and OANDO (-4.0%). Trailing, the Industrial Goods and Insurance indices shed 2.0% and 1.6% respectively on account of losses in CUTIX (-9.1%), BUACEMENT (-2.3%), PRESTIGE (-17.5%) and LINKASSURE (-9.4%). Similarly, the Banking and Consumer Goods indices lost 0.5% and 1bps respectively as investors exited positions in ACCESS (-2.2%), GUARANTY (-1.9%), DANGSUGAR (-16.8%) and GUINNESS (-11.8%). Conversely, the AFR-ICT index was the lone gainer, up 4.9% as AIRTELAF (+10.0%) and MTNN (+1.2%) buoyed performance.

Investor sentiment as measured by market breadth (advance/decline ratio) strengthened to 0.4x from 0.3x as 18 stocks advanced against 43 that declined. The top performing stocks for the week were AIRTELAF (+10.0%), ABCTRANS (+9.8%) and NESTLE (+9.6%) while PZ (-21.4%), GLAXOSMITH (-17.6%) and PRESTIGE (-17.5%) were the laggards. In the coming week, we expect to see sustained profit-taking in early trades, however, we believe this negative trend would be reversed before the end of the week on account of bargain hunting by investors.

Foreign Exchange Market: Naira remains stable despite marginal decline in oil prices 

Oil prices fell this week, declining 3.6% w/w to $40.61/bbl. as the surge in COVID-19 cases to 9.4 million from 8.5 million last week affected the reopening of economies. On the domestic front, the external reserves moderated 0.3% w/w to $36.2 billion (25/6/2020). The CBN spot rate closed flat at ₦361/$1.00. At the parallel market, Naira depreciated ₦4.00 to close at ₦457.00/$1.00. At the Investors’ & Exporters’ (I&E) Window, the NAFEX rate appreciated 17kobo to settle at ₦386.33/ $1.00. Activity level in the I&E Window surged 138.3% to $297.2m from $124.7m recorded in the previous week.

The total value of open contracts of the Naira at the FMDQ Securities Exchange (SE) FX Futures Contract Market declined 9.2% ($605.5m) to $13.1 billion as the JUNE 2020 instrument matured during the week. The JULY 2020 instrument (contract price: ₦390.20) received the highest subscription of $383.14m which took total value to $1.3 billion. On the other hand, the APR 2021 instrument (contract price: ₦414.82) recorded the least subscription of $2.0m for a total value of $473.2m. We expect exchange rates to remain range-bound across the different segments of the market in the coming week as investors await the resumption of FX sales by the apex bank.

Money Market: Secondary T-bills Market Sheds Gain

Despite the moderation in system liquidity to ₦70.1 billion from ₦617.8 billion the previous week, the OBB and OVN rates opened last week lower at 14.50% and 15.75% from 15.17% and 16.67% respectively recorded at the close of last week. On Wednesday, system liquidity declined further to settle at ₦29.4 billion from ₦42.2 billion in the previous day. Nevertheless, the OBB rate remained flat at 14.67% while OVN inched higher to 15.75% from 15.67% on Tuesday. On Thursday, system liquidity fell to ₦7.2 billion while the OBB and OVN rates printed higher at 15.83% and 16.92% respectively. The week closed with the OBB and OVN rates settling lower at 15.0% and 16.10% respectively as system liquidity rose to ₦30.9 billion.

In the secondary treasury bills market, there was a bearish performance as average yield jumped 28bps to close the week at 2.57%. Although the 364-day instrument traded flat all week at 3.00%, the 91 and 182 days instruments saw sell-offs as their respective yield rose 17bps and 67bps respectively to close the week at 2.00% and 2.67%.  Due to the very low system liquidity and the absence of maturing instruments this week, there was no auction by the apex bank. We expect high system liquidity in the coming week due to maturing T-bills and OMO instruments worth ₦88.9 billion and ₦157.2 billion respectively to keep money market rates low.

Bonds Market: The Bulls maintain dominance

The domestic bond market closed the week bullish as average yield declined 57bps w/w to settle at 8.8% following gains on 4 of 5 trading sessions. Demand was strong across tenors with all instruments under our coverage recording gains w/w. The short-dated bonds enjoyed the highest demand as average yield declined 88bps w/w while the long-term bonds and medium-term bonds fell 66bps and 31bps respectively. The bullish performance in the SSA Eurobonds space persisted as average yield plunged 10bps w/w. The ZAMBIA 2022 and 2024 instruments saw the strongest decline, down 124bps and 94bps respectively. The Senegal 2027 and Nigeria 2022 instruments trailed, shedding 56bps and 22bps w/w respectively. Meanwhile, the South Africa 2041 and 2024 instruments rose 15bps and 13bps w/w respectively as investors took into account the country’s current economic crisis.

The bullish streak in the African Corporate Eurobonds market was sustained as 15 of 20 tickers under our coverage gained w/w. Consequently, average yield dipped 20bps w/w to settle at 6.1%. The BAYPORT MANAGEMENT 2022 and TRANSNET 2022 instruments led the pack with a 339bps and 43bps drop in yield. Conversely, ESKOM HOLDINGS 2021 and UBA 2022 rose 12bps and 9bps w/w respectively. In the coming week, we expect a bullish performance as investors sustain interest. 

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Afreximbank successfully closed its second Samurai Bond transactions, raising JPY 81.8bn or $527m

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African Export-Import Bank said it has successfully closed its second Samurai bond transaction, securing a total of JPY 81.8 billion (approx. USD 527 million) through Regular and Retail Samurai Bonds offerings.

The execution surpasses the Bank’s 2024 debut issuance size, attracting orders from more than 100 institutional and retail investors, marking a renewed demonstration of strong Japanese investor confidence in the Bank’s credit and its growing presence in the yen capital markets.

On 18 November, Afreximbank priced a JPY 45.8 billion 3-year tranche in the Regular Samurai market following a comprehensive sequence of investor engagement activities leveraging Tokyo International Conference on African Development (TICAD9), including Non-Deal Roadshows (NDRs) in Tokyo, Kanazawa, Kyoto, Shiga and Osaka, a Global Investor Call, and a two-day soft-sounding process which tested investor appetite across 2.5-, 3-, 5-, 7-, and 10-year maturities.

With market expectations of a Bank of Japan interest rate increase, investor demand concentrated in shorter tenors, resulting in a focused 3-year tranche during official marketing.

The tranche attracted strong participation from asset managers (22.3%), life insurers (15.3%), regional corporates, and high-net-worth investors (39.7%).

Concurrently, Afreximbank priced its second Retail Samurai bond on 18 November, a JPY 36.0 billion 3-year tranche, more than double the inaugural JPY 14.1 billion Retail Samurai issuance completed in November 2024.

The 2025 Retail Samurai bond also marks the first Retail Samurai bond issued in Japan in 2025.

Following the amendment to Afreximbank’s shelf registration on 7 November 2025, SMBC Nikko conducted an extensive seven-business-day demand survey through its nationwide branch network, followed by a six-business-day bond offering period.

The offering benefited from strong visibility supported by Afreximbank’s investor engagement across the country, including the Bank’s participation at TICAD9, where Afreximbank hosted the Africa Finance Seminar to introduce Multinational Development Bank’s mandate in Africa and its credit profile to key Japanese institutional investors.

MBC Nikko Securities Inc. acted as Sole Lead Manager and Bookrunner for both the Regular and Retail Samurai transactions. Chandi Mwenebungu, Afreximbank’s Managing Director, Treasury & Markets and Group Treasurer, commented:

“We are pleased with the successful completion of our second Samurai bond transactions, which marked a significant increase from our inaugural Retail Samurai bond in 2024, and which reflect the growing depth of our relationship with Japanese investors.

The strong demand, both in the Regular and Retail offerings, demonstrates sustained confidence in Afreximbank’s credit and mandate.

We remain committed to deepening our engagement in the Samurai market through regular investor activities and continued collaboration with our Japanese partners.”

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Ecobank unveils SME bazaar: a festive marketplace for local entrepreneurs

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Ecobank Nigeria, a member of Africa’s leading pan-African banking group, has announced the launch of the Ecobank SME Bazaar—a two-weekend festive marketplace designed to celebrate local creativity, empower entrepreneurs, and give Lagos residents a premium shopping experience this Detty December. The Bazaar will hold on 29–30 November and 6–7 December at the Ecobank Pan African Centre (EPAC), Ozumba Mbadiwe Road, Victoria Island, Lagos. Speaking ahead of the event, Omoboye Odu, Head of SMEs, Ecobank Nigeria, reaffirmed the bank’s commitment to supporting small and medium-sized businesses, describing them as the heartbeat of Nigeria’s economy. She explained that the Ecobank SME Bazaar was created to enhance visibility for entrepreneurs, expand market access, and support sustainable business growth.
According to her, “This isn’t just a market—it’s a vibrant hub of culture, commerce, and connection. From fresh farm produce to trendy fashion, handcrafted pieces, lifestyle products, and delicious food and drinks, the Ecobank SME Bazaar promises an unforgettable experience for both shoppers and participating SMEs. Whether you’re shopping for festive gifts, hunting for unique finds, or soaking in the Detty December energy, this is the place to be.” Ms. Odu added that participating businesses will enjoy increased brand exposure, deeper customer engagement, and meaningful networking opportunities—making the Bazaar a strong platform for both festive-season sales and long-term business growth. The event is powered by Ecobank in partnership with TKD Farms, Eko Marche, Leyyow, and other SME-focused organisations committed to building sustainable enterprises.

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16 banks have recapitalised before deadline—CBN

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has said that16 banks have so far met the new capital requirements for their various licences, some four months before the March 31, 2026 deadline. The apex bank also indicated that 27 other banks have raised capital through various methods in one of the most extensive financial sector reforms since 2004. Addressing journalists at the end of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting in Abuja, CBN Governor Mr Olayemi Cardoso said the banking recapitalisation was going on orderly, consistent with the regulator’s expectations. He said, “We are monitoring developments, and indications show the process is moving in the right direction.” Nigeria has 44 deposit-taking banks, including seven commercial banks with international authorisation, 15 with national authorisation, four with regional authorisation, four non-interest banks, six merchant banks, seven financial holding companies and one representative office.
Cardoso explained that eight commercial banks had met the N500 billion capital requirement as of July 22, 2024, rising to 14 by September of the same year. The number has now increased to 16 as the industry continues to race toward full compliance. He said that the reforms would reinforce the resilience of Nigerian banks both within the country and across the continent. “We are building a financial system that will be fit for purpose for the years ahead. Many Nigerian banks now operate across Africa and have been innovative across different markets. These new buffers will better equip them to manage risks in the multiple jurisdictions where they operate,” Cardoso said. According to him, the reforms would strengthen the financial sector’s capability to support households and businesses. He said, “Ultimately, this benefits Nigerians—our traders, our businesses and our citizens—who operate across those regions. “It should give everyone comfort to know that Nigerian banks with deep local understanding are present to support them. Commercial banks are also creating their own buffers through the ongoing recapitalisation.”
He added that the apex bank considered several factors in determining the new capital thresholds, including prevailing macroeconomic conditions, stress test results and the need for stronger risk buffers. He reassured on the regulator’s commitment to strict oversight as the consolidation progresses. “We will rigorously enforce our ‘fit and proper’ criteria for prospective new shareholders, senior management, and board members of banks, and proactively monitor the integrity of financial statements, adequacy of financial resources, and fair valuation of banks’ post-merger balance sheets,” Cardoso said. He said the CBN remained confident that the banking system would emerge stronger at the conclusion of the recapitalization exercise, with institutions better prepared to support Nigeria’s economic transformation Banks have up till March 31, 2026 to beef up their minimum capital base to the new standard set by the apex bank. Under the new minimum capital base, CBN uses a distinctive definition of the new minimum capital base for each category of banks as the addition of share capital and share premium, as against the previous use of shareholders’ funds.
While most banks have shareholders’ funds in excess of the new minimum capital base, their share premium and share capital significantly fall short of the new minimum definition. The CBN had in March 2024 released its circular on review of minimum capital requirement for commercial, merchant and non-interest banks. The apex bank increased the new minimum capital for commercial banks with international affiliations, otherwise known as mega banks, to N500 billion; commercial banks with national authorisation, N200 billion and commercial banks with regional license, N50 billion. Others included merchant banks, N50 billion; non-interest banks with national license, N20 billion and non-interest banks with regional license will now have N10 billion minimum capital. The 24-month timeline for compliance ends on March 31, 2026. Under the guidelines for the recapitalisation exercise, banks are expected to subject their new equity funds to capital verification before the clearance of the allotment proposal and release of the funds to the bank for onwards completion of the offer process and addition of the new capital to its capital base. The CBN is the final signatory in a tripartite capital verification committee that included the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC). The committee is saddled with scrutinising new funds being raised by banks under the ongoing banking sector recapitalisation exercise.

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