Finance
Nigeria’s finance market last week, FX reserve down, increase in treasury bills rate, crude oil gained marginally
FX
Last week, the exchange rate at the Investors and Exporters Window (I&E Window) lost 0.01% to close at N461.38/US$1. Elsewhere, the foreign exchange (FX) reserves of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) decreased by 0.56% to US$35.53bn, as the CBN continues to intervene across the various FX windows. This does not seem to be the time for a change in CBN policy. The CBN is likely to continue with its policy of gradual loosening of the I&E Window rate while managing FX reserves at close to their historic highs. Only small FX rate adjustments over the coming weeks and months is expected.
BONDS & T-BILLS market
Last week’s T-bill and Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) bond markets were characterised by thin demand as the requirement imposed on banks to issue cash through ATMs drained money from current accounts and reduced bank liquidity. This negatively impacted market liquidity overall. Last week the secondary market in Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) bonds was bearish as the average yield closed up 37bps to 13.56%. The yield on the 3-year bond held steady at 12.03%, at 7-years rose by 1bp to 14.14% and at 10-years rose by 48bps to 9.07%. The secondary market for T-bills was also bearish, for the same reason. The effects were dramatic with the average T-bill yield rising by 194bps to 7.73% and with the yield on the 342-day T- bill rising by 373bps to 12.39%. Demand at last week’s T-bill auction was weak. A total of N145.47 billion was offered with a subscription of N168.58 billion, the same amount being allotted. The bid-to-offer ratio was 1.2x versus 6.8x at the previous auction on 15 March. The stop rate on the 91-day bill rose by 345bps to 6.00%; on the 182-day bill by 200bps to 7.00%; on the 364-day bill by 535bps to 14.74%, implying an annual yield of 17.28%.
Short-term swings in market liquidity are having profound effects on yields, which are volatile from one week to the next. The next T-bill auction is scheduled for 13 April and the next FGN bond auction is scheduled for 15 April, so the market may settle down over the coming week. Over the course of the year we expect the overall direction of T-bill and FGN bonds to be upwards as increases in government borrowing are felt by the market.
Oil
Last week, the price of Brent gained for the second consecutive week, increasing by 6.37% to settle at US$79.77/bbl. Nevertheless, Brent is down 7.15% year-to-date and is trading at an average of US$82.16/bbl, 17.08% lower than the average of US$99.09/bbl in 2022. The increase in oil prices was supported by a combination of supply issues in Northern Iraq, a significant weekly drop in U.S. crude inventories, and positive PMI data from China which showed signs of economic recovery. Oil firms were forced to halt production of around 450,000 barrels per day (bpd) of crude exports due to an arbitration case between Iraq and Turkey involving a pipeline. Over the weekend, OPEC+ surprisingly agreed to cut oil production by a total of 1.16 million barrels per day. This has kept oil price elevated at the start of this week. We maintain that for the most part of the year, prices are likely to remain well above the US$75.00/bbl set in Nigeria’s government budget.
Equities
Last week, the NGX All-Share Index lost 1.20% to settle at 54,232.34 points. Consequently, its year-to-date return slipped to 5.82%. Dangote Sugar (-7.10%), Dangote Cement (-6.25%) and Airtel Africa(-4.50%) closed negative while Oando (+34.12%), Sterling Bank (+6.67%) and United Bank of Africa (+4.38%) closed positive. Performances across the NGX sub-indices were broadly positive as the NGX Banking
(+3.67%) sub-index led the gainers, followed by NGX Insurance (+1.61%), NGX Pension. Goods (+1.26%), NGX Consumer Goods (+0.79%) and NGX Industrial Goods (+0.36%) sub- indices while the NGX-30 (-0.01%) and NGX Oil/Gas (-2.02%) sub-indices closed negative. Coronation Research
NGX All-Share Index extends losses by 8bps
Nigerian equities extended losses in the opening session of the week as the All-Share Index closed 0.08% weaker to settle at 54,190.28. Selloffs of in Tier-1 banks, ZENITHBANK (-0.19%), GTCO (-0.39%) and FBNH (-0.45%) were the primary drivers of the decline. Inevitably, the ASI’s year-to-date (YTD) return fell to 5.73%, while the market capitalisation lost ₦22.91bn to close at ₦29.52trn.
Analysis of today’s market activities showed trade turnover settled lower relative to the previous session, with the value of transactions down by 35.32%. A total of 292.56m shares valued at ₦2.38bn were exchanged in 4,408 deals. FIDELITYBK (+0.19%) led the volume and value charts with 79.73m units traded in deals worth ₦426.80m.
Market breadth closed negative at a 1.07-to-1 ratio with declining issues outnumbering advancing ones. UACN (-9.95%) topped fifteen (15) others on the laggard’s log, while LASACO (+10.00%) led fourteen (14)
others on the laggard’s table.
Find below key highlights of market activities
| Indicators | Current | Change (%) | YTD |
| All-Share Index | 54,190.28 | -0.08 | 5.73 |
| Market Cap. (₦ ‘trillion) | 29.52 | -0.08 | 5.75 |
| Volume (millions) | 292.56 | -47.56 | |
| Value (₦ ‘billion) | 2.38 | -35.32 |
Dividend Information for 2023
| Company | Dividend (Bonus) | Closure Date | Payment Date |
| BUACEMENT | ₦2.80 (final) | 11-Aug-23 | 24-Aug-23 |
| STANBIC | ₦2.00 (final) | 12-Apr-23 | 26-May-23 |
| NESTLE | ₦36.50 (final) | 28-Apr-23 | 18-May-23 |
| SEPLAT | $0.075 (final) | 19-Apr-23 | 10-May-23 |
| ZENITHBANK | ₦3.20 (final) | 17-Apr-23 | 2-May-23 |
| WAPCO | ₦2.00 (final) | 11-Apr-23 | 28-Apr-23 |
| NB | ₦1.03 (final) | 17-Mar-23 | 26-Apr-23 |
| DANGCEM | ₦20.00 (final) | 31-Mar-23 | 24-Apr-23 |
| MTNN | ₦10.00 (final) | 28-Mar-23 | 20-Apr-23 |
| DANGSUGAR | ₦1.50 (final) | 27-Mar-23 | 15-Apr-23 |
Finance
Afreximbank successfully closed its second Samurai Bond transactions, raising JPY 81.8bn or $527m
African Export-Import Bank said it has successfully closed its second Samurai bond transaction, securing a total of JPY 81.8 billion (approx. USD 527 million) through Regular and Retail Samurai Bonds offerings.
The execution surpasses the Bank’s 2024 debut issuance size, attracting orders from more than 100 institutional and retail investors, marking a renewed demonstration of strong Japanese investor confidence in the Bank’s credit and its growing presence in the yen capital markets.
On 18 November, Afreximbank priced a JPY 45.8 billion 3-year tranche in the Regular Samurai market following a comprehensive sequence of investor engagement activities leveraging Tokyo International Conference on African Development (TICAD9), including Non-Deal Roadshows (NDRs) in Tokyo, Kanazawa, Kyoto, Shiga and Osaka, a Global Investor Call, and a two-day soft-sounding process which tested investor appetite across 2.5-, 3-, 5-, 7-, and 10-year maturities.
With market expectations of a Bank of Japan interest rate increase, investor demand concentrated in shorter tenors, resulting in a focused 3-year tranche during official marketing.
The tranche attracted strong participation from asset managers (22.3%), life insurers (15.3%), regional corporates, and high-net-worth investors (39.7%).
Concurrently, Afreximbank priced its second Retail Samurai bond on 18 November, a JPY 36.0 billion 3-year tranche, more than double the inaugural JPY 14.1 billion Retail Samurai issuance completed in November 2024.
The 2025 Retail Samurai bond also marks the first Retail Samurai bond issued in Japan in 2025.
Following the amendment to Afreximbank’s shelf registration on 7 November 2025, SMBC Nikko conducted an extensive seven-business-day demand survey through its nationwide branch network, followed by a six-business-day bond offering period.
The offering benefited from strong visibility supported by Afreximbank’s investor engagement across the country, including the Bank’s participation at TICAD9, where Afreximbank hosted the Africa Finance Seminar to introduce Multinational Development Bank’s mandate in Africa and its credit profile to key Japanese institutional investors.
MBC Nikko Securities Inc. acted as Sole Lead Manager and Bookrunner for both the Regular and Retail Samurai transactions. Chandi Mwenebungu, Afreximbank’s Managing Director, Treasury & Markets and Group Treasurer, commented:
“We are pleased with the successful completion of our second Samurai bond transactions, which marked a significant increase from our inaugural Retail Samurai bond in 2024, and which reflect the growing depth of our relationship with Japanese investors.
The strong demand, both in the Regular and Retail offerings, demonstrates sustained confidence in Afreximbank’s credit and mandate.
We remain committed to deepening our engagement in the Samurai market through regular investor activities and continued collaboration with our Japanese partners.”
Finance
Ecobank unveils SME bazaar: a festive marketplace for local entrepreneurs
Ecobank Nigeria, a member of Africa’s leading pan-African banking group, has announced the launch of the Ecobank SME Bazaar—a two-weekend festive marketplace designed to celebrate local creativity, empower entrepreneurs, and give Lagos residents a premium shopping experience this Detty December. The Bazaar will hold on 29–30 November and 6–7 December at the Ecobank Pan African Centre (EPAC), Ozumba Mbadiwe Road, Victoria Island, Lagos. Speaking ahead of the event, Omoboye Odu, Head of SMEs, Ecobank Nigeria, reaffirmed the bank’s commitment to supporting small and medium-sized businesses, describing them as the heartbeat of Nigeria’s economy. She explained that the Ecobank SME Bazaar was created to enhance visibility for entrepreneurs, expand market access, and support sustainable business growth.
According to her, “This isn’t just a market—it’s a vibrant hub of culture, commerce, and connection. From fresh farm produce to trendy fashion, handcrafted pieces, lifestyle products, and delicious food and drinks, the Ecobank SME Bazaar promises an unforgettable experience for both shoppers and participating SMEs. Whether you’re shopping for festive gifts, hunting for unique finds, or soaking in the Detty December energy, this is the place to be.” Ms. Odu added that participating businesses will enjoy increased brand exposure, deeper customer engagement, and meaningful networking opportunities—making the Bazaar a strong platform for both festive-season sales and long-term business growth. The event is powered by Ecobank in partnership with TKD Farms, Eko Marche, Leyyow, and other SME-focused organisations committed to building sustainable enterprises.
Finance
16 banks have recapitalised before deadline—CBN
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has said that16 banks have so far met the new capital requirements for their various licences, some four months before the March 31, 2026 deadline. The apex bank also indicated that 27 other banks have raised capital through various methods in one of the most extensive financial sector reforms since 2004. Addressing journalists at the end of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting in Abuja, CBN Governor Mr Olayemi Cardoso said the banking recapitalisation was going on orderly, consistent with the regulator’s expectations. He said, “We are monitoring developments, and indications show the process is moving in the right direction.” Nigeria has 44 deposit-taking banks, including seven commercial banks with international authorisation, 15 with national authorisation, four with regional authorisation, four non-interest banks, six merchant banks, seven financial holding companies and one representative office.
Cardoso explained that eight commercial banks had met the N500 billion capital requirement as of July 22, 2024, rising to 14 by September of the same year. The number has now increased to 16 as the industry continues to race toward full compliance. He said that the reforms would reinforce the resilience of Nigerian banks both within the country and across the continent. “We are building a financial system that will be fit for purpose for the years ahead. Many Nigerian banks now operate across Africa and have been innovative across different markets. These new buffers will better equip them to manage risks in the multiple jurisdictions where they operate,” Cardoso said. According to him, the reforms would strengthen the financial sector’s capability to support households and businesses. He said, “Ultimately, this benefits Nigerians—our traders, our businesses and our citizens—who operate across those regions. “It should give everyone comfort to know that Nigerian banks with deep local understanding are present to support them. Commercial banks are also creating their own buffers through the ongoing recapitalisation.”
He added that the apex bank considered several factors in determining the new capital thresholds, including prevailing macroeconomic conditions, stress test results and the need for stronger risk buffers. He reassured on the regulator’s commitment to strict oversight as the consolidation progresses. “We will rigorously enforce our ‘fit and proper’ criteria for prospective new shareholders, senior management, and board members of banks, and proactively monitor the integrity of financial statements, adequacy of financial resources, and fair valuation of banks’ post-merger balance sheets,” Cardoso said. He said the CBN remained confident that the banking system would emerge stronger at the conclusion of the recapitalization exercise, with institutions better prepared to support Nigeria’s economic transformation Banks have up till March 31, 2026 to beef up their minimum capital base to the new standard set by the apex bank. Under the new minimum capital base, CBN uses a distinctive definition of the new minimum capital base for each category of banks as the addition of share capital and share premium, as against the previous use of shareholders’ funds.
While most banks have shareholders’ funds in excess of the new minimum capital base, their share premium and share capital significantly fall short of the new minimum definition. The CBN had in March 2024 released its circular on review of minimum capital requirement for commercial, merchant and non-interest banks. The apex bank increased the new minimum capital for commercial banks with international affiliations, otherwise known as mega banks, to N500 billion; commercial banks with national authorisation, N200 billion and commercial banks with regional license, N50 billion. Others included merchant banks, N50 billion; non-interest banks with national license, N20 billion and non-interest banks with regional license will now have N10 billion minimum capital. The 24-month timeline for compliance ends on March 31, 2026. Under the guidelines for the recapitalisation exercise, banks are expected to subject their new equity funds to capital verification before the clearance of the allotment proposal and release of the funds to the bank for onwards completion of the offer process and addition of the new capital to its capital base. The CBN is the final signatory in a tripartite capital verification committee that included the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC). The committee is saddled with scrutinising new funds being raised by banks under the ongoing banking sector recapitalisation exercise.
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