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Analysis

Review of the 1987 monetary policies

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The government of any country has a variety of economic objectives it seeks to achieve through the use of either fiscal, monetary or debt management policies.
These policies are not mutually exclusive but are often used along the line each other albeit one being more emphasised than the other to others.
In policy objectives, states seeks to achieve full employment of factors of production, price stability, balance of payment equilibrium and high rate of economic growth and development.
In trying to use monetary policies to achieve the four stated macro-economic objectives of state the monetary authorities do design a monetary package whose major variables are money supply, credit expansion/contraction, interest rate, manipulation, banks legal reserve requirement and special bank deposit with CBN.
Through these monetary instruments monetary authorities seeks to influence the state rate of inflation, the of unemployment, economic growth and balance of payment equilibrium. The success of any monetary policy depend on the magnitude of achievement of any of, of all the set of ultimate.
The basic fact with monetary of economic policy is that objectives are ever conflicting. The ability of the authority to achieve meaningful trade-offs in objective and still maintain the set goals stand them out as good managers.
The success of the 1987 monetary policy package can best be evaluated on the level of success or failure achieved on set targets.
One sad thing is that data on the Nigeria economy as a whole are not easily available and without correct and adequate data, evaluation are mere educated guesses. As at December the Central Bank was only able to collate figures on the economy up to August.
The Nigerian economy at the end of 1`986 was characterised by mass unemployment, scarcity of goods and raw materials, low industrial capacity, economic growth and low credit availability.
These features have been on since 1982 which led to the introduction of the Structural Adjustment Programme, SAP, in July 1986.
The economic policy proposed for the 1987 budget were predicated on the objective of the SAP. Thus the 1987 budget as a whole was designed to tackle most of the nations economic problems.
These problems include the nations continued heavy dependence on the oil sector for foreign exchange earnings, high levels of unemployment and inflation, low productivity in agriculture, low capacity utilisation in manufacturing, high debt burden and distorted patterns of domestic consumption and production.
A critical look at the 1987 monetary and banking policies shows that they were designed to be restive to moderate inflationary pressure (which was put at 19.5% in 1986) likely to arise from the operation of SFEM and FEM, stimulate local production of goods and services and ensure improvement in the balance of payments.
A growth monetary policy specifically set the following policy target
An aggregate bank credit 4.4 per cent
A credit expression of 1.5% for government and 8.4 per cent, growth in credit to private sector. The ratio of merchant banks loans and advances to their total asset was raised from 50 to 55 per cent.
The monetary authorities adopted a 15% interest rate ceiling on bank lending while a minimum interest rate of 11% was placed on savings deposit. Time deposits then attracted a minimum of 12% domiciliary account retained its 1986 2% point below the deposit rates in the relevant foreign currency.
These were the broad monetary policy targets at the beginning of the financial year. In August however the monetary authorities deregulated interest rates via CBN in monetary policy amendment circular No. 21 which altered interest rate structure by setting the minimum CBN rediscount rate of 15% the highest ever. Also th circular reduced the credit expansion limit from 8.4 per cent to 7.4 per cent the last quarter of the financial year. Foreign exchange disbursement forecast for the year put the N19.896 billion.
The policy for 1987 generated heated debate. The consensus then was that it was too restrictive and too tight for an ailing economy.
In June, at a special press briefing the minister of finance Dr. Chu Okigbo reviewed development within the economy for the first half of the year. From figures released and his comparison of the targets and achievement, a mixed divergences emerged. Also the Central Bank half year report on the economy was revealing and pointed to the same directions of both favourable and unfavourable outcome.
From CBN and the minister of finance’s records, while money supply was expected to record an all year increase of 11.8%, the observed increase for the half year was 6.2 per cent. This increase in money supply was 1.5% lower than the increased in 7.9% achieved in he first half of 1986.
The contraction in money supply to the domestic economy resulted in a credit squeeze that monetary authorities and helped to dampen inflation from its 1986 figure of 19.5% to less than 15% as at August 1987.
Most industrial establishment experienced low cash flow to the effect that they could not operate at half of their installed capacity.
This resulted in some industrial concerns being closed down and their workers thrown into the labour market.
Individuals and similar experience during the course of the year the Nigeria economy turned into a buyer’s market in place of the seller’s market known in the country. This was brought into being by the low cash flow in the economy that reduced the disposable income in the hands of consumers, in addition to high cost of production occasioned by high cost of money.
In order to break consumer resistence most companies had to spend quite sizeable amount on advertisement to induce consumers.
For the first time several marketing strategies were introduced by companies to boost their sales turnover.
Similarly, aggregate bank credit to the domestic economy went off the course of the observed increase of 4.2 per cent for the half year was already close to the projected 4.4 per cent increase.
The high credit expansion was mainly as a result of excessive government borrowing that was 100% above the year target for it. At the end of June money market asset outstanding totalled N28.3 billion over its December 1986 figure.
At the same period a total of N41.5 billion treasury bills issued while repayment amounted to N37.7 billion. This leaves the additional government borrowing from the source at N3.8 billion for the first six month of the year.
Federal government borrowing according to minister of finance Dr. Chu Okigbo in his June address was expected to rise to about N7 billion at the end of the financial year.
Government unrestrained borrowing only succeeded in fueling the same inflation its tight monetary policy was designed to fight.
Credit to the private sector for the half year was moderate and showed an increase of 405% when compared with the whole year target of 8.4 per cent.
The sector achieved a 6.3 per cent credit expansion during the first half of the year. But with the deregulation of interest rate and the subsequent high interest rates, the target of 7.4 per cent may not be met as investors are shying away from banks.

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Analysis

As EU plans Russian Gas exit, Ministers to convene in Paris to chart Africa’s export potential

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In the wake of seismic shifts in the European energy landscape, the Invest in African Energy (IAE) 2026 Forum in Paris will host a Ministerial Dialogue on “Unlocking Africa’s Gas Supply for Global Energy Security.” This strategic session will examine how Africa can turn its untapped gas reserves into a reliable and sustainable source of supply. With Europe seeking to diversify away from Russian gas, the dialogue highlights both the continent’s growing role in global energy markets and the opportunity for African producers to attract long-term investment. Recent developments underscore the urgency of Africa’s role in global energy security. Last month, EU countries agreed to phase out their remaining Russian gas imports, with existing contracts benefiting from a transition period: short-term contracts can continue until June 2026, while long-term contracts will run until January 2028. In parallel, the European Commission is pushing to end Russian LNG imports by January 2027 under a broader sanctions package aimed at limiting Moscow’s energy revenues.

Africa’s role in this rebalancing is already gaining momentum. Algeria recently renewed its gas supply agreement with ČEZ Group, ensuring continued deliveries to the Czech Republic. In Libya, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) has approved new compressors at the Bahr Essalam field to boost output and reinforce flows via the Greenstream pipeline to Italy. These developments complement the Structures A&E offshore project – led by Eni and the NOC – which is expected to bring two platforms online by 2026 and produce up to 750 million cubic feet per day, supporting both domestic and European demand. West Africa is pursuing ambitious export routes as well.

Nigeria, Algeria and Niger have revived the Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline (TSGP), with engineering firm Penspen commissioned earlier this year to revalidate its feasibility. The proposed $25 billion Nigeria–Morocco pipeline is also advancing as a long-term corridor linking West African gas to European markets. Meanwhile, the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim (GTA) project off Mauritania and Senegal came online earlier this year, with its first phase targeting 2.3 million tons of LNG annually. In June, the project delivered its third cargo to Belgium’s Zeebrugge terminal, marking the first African LNG shipment from GTA to Europe. Together, these milestones underscore a strategic convergence: African producers are accelerating efforts to scale up exports just as Europe intensifies its search for reliable alternatives to Russian gas.

Yet, as the ministerial session will explore, unlocking Africa’s gas supply demands sustained investment, regulatory alignment, environmental management and community engagement. For Europe, diversification of supply is a strategic necessity; for African producers, it is an opportunity to accelerate development, build infrastructure and secure long-term capital. At IAE 2026, these shifts will be examined by the officials and stakeholders driving them. The Ministerial Dialogue brings African energy leaders together with European policymakers, industry players and investors in a setting that supports practical, solution-focused discussion on supply, export strategies and future cooperation. As Europe adapts its gas strategy and African producers progress major projects, the Forum provides a direct platform for ministers to outline priorities and for investors to engage with key decision-makers.

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Authorities must respond as digital tools used by organized criminals accelerate financial crime—IMF

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International Monetary Fund IMF, has said that criminals are outpacing enforcement by adapting ever faster ways to carry out digital fraud. The INF in a Blog post said the Department of Justice in June announced the largest-ever US crypto seizure: $225 million from crypto scams known as pig butchering, in which organized criminals, often across borders, use advanced technology and social engineering such as romance or investment schemes to manipulate victims. This typically involves using AI-generated profiles, encrypted messaging, and obscured blockchain transactions to hide and move stolen funds. It was a big win. Federal agents collaborated across jurisdictions and used blockchain analysis and machine learning to track thousands of wallets used to scam more than 400 victims. Yet it was also a rare victory that underscored how authorities often must play catch-up in a fast-changing digital world. And the scammers are still out there. They pick the best tools for their schemes, from laundering money through crypto and AI-enabled impersonation to producing deepfake content, encrypted apps, and decentralized exchanges. Authorities confronting anonymous, borderless threats are held back by jurisdiction, process, and legacy systems.
Annual illicit crypto activity growth has averaged about 25 percent in recent years and may have surpassed $51 billion last year, according to Chainalysis, a New York–based blockchain analysis firm specializing in helping criminal investigators trace transactions. Bad actors still depend on cash and traditional finance, and money laundering specifically relies on banks, informal money changers, and cash couriers. But the old ways are being reinforced or supercharged by technologies to thwart detection and disruption.
Encrypted messaging apps help cartels coordinate cross-border transactions. Stablecoins and lightly regulated virtual asset platforms can hide bribes and embezzled funds. Cybercriminals use AI-generated identities and bots to deceive banks and evade outdated controls. Tracking proceeds generated by organized crime is nearly impossible for underresourced agencies. AI lowers barriers to entry. Fraudsters with voice-cloning and fake-document generators bypass the verification protocols many banks and regulators still use. Their innovation is growing as compliance systems lag. Governments recognize the threats, but responses are fragmented and uneven—including in regulation of crypto exchanges. And there are delays implementing the Financial Action Task Force’s (FATF’s) “travel rule” to better identify those sending and receiving money across borders, which most digital proceeds cross.
Meanwhile, international financial flows are increasingly complicated by instant transfers on decentralized platforms and anonymity-enhancing tools. Most payments still go through multiple intermediaries, often layering cross-border transactions through antiquated correspondent banks that obscure and delay transactions while raising costs. This helps criminals exploit oversight gaps, jurisdictional coordination, and technological capacity to operate across borders, often undetected.
Regulators and fintechs should be partners, and sustained multilateral engagement should foster fast, cheap, transparent, and traceable cross-border payments. There’s a parallel narrative. Criminals exploit innovation for secrecy and speed while companies and governments test coordination to reduce vulnerabilities and modernize cross-border infrastructure. At the same time, technological implications remain underexplored with respect to anti–money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism, or AML/CFT. Singapore’s and Thailand’s linked fast payment systems, for example, enable real-time retail transfers using mobile numbers; Indonesia and Malaysia have connected QR codes for cross-border payments. Such innovations offer efficiency and inclusion yet raise new issues regarding identity verification, transaction monitoring, and regulatory coordination.
In India, the Unified payments interface enables seamless transfers across apps and platforms, highlighting the power of interoperable design. More than 18 billion monthly transactions, many across competing platforms, show how openness and standardization drive scale and inclusion. Digital payments in India grew faster when interoperability improved, especially in fragmented markets where switching was costly, IMF research shows These regional innovations and global initiatives reflect a growing understanding that fighting crime and fostering inclusion are interlinked priorities—especially as criminals speed ahead. The FATF echoed this concern, urging countries to design AML/CFT controls that support inclusion and innovation. Moreover, an FATF June recommendation marks a major advance: Requiring originator and beneficiary information for cross-border wire transfers—including those involving virtual assets—will enhance traceability across the fast-evolving digital financial ecosystem.
Efforts like these are important examples of how technology enables criminal advantage, but technology must also be part of the regulatory response.
Modernizing cross-border payment systems and reducing unintended AML/CFT barriers increasingly means focusing on transparency, interoperability, and risk-based regulation. The IMF’s work on “safe payment corridors” supports this by helping countries build trusted, secure channels for legitimate financial flows without undermining new technology. A pilot with Samoa —where de-risking has disrupted remittances—showed how targeted safeguards and collaboration with regulated providers can preserve access while maintaining financial integrity without disrupting the use of new payment platforms.
Several countries, with IMF guidance, are investing in machine learning to detect anomalies in cross-border financial flows, and others are tightening regulation of virtual asset service providers. Governments are investing in their own capacity to trace crypto transfers, and blockchain analytics firms are often employed to do that. IMF analysis of cross-border flows and the updated FATF rules are mutually reinforcing. If implemented cohesively, they can help digital efficiency coexist with financial integrity. For that to happen, legal frameworks must adapt to enable timely access to digital evidence while preserving due process. Supervisory models need to evolve to oversee both banks and nonbank financial institutions offering cross-border services. Regulators and fintechs should be partners, and sustained multilateral engagement should foster fast, cheap, transparent, and traceable cross-border payments—anchored interoperable standards that also respect privacy.
Governments must keep up. That means investing in regulatory technology, such as AI-powered transaction monitoring and blockchain analysis, and giving agencies tools and expertise to detect complex crypto schemes and synthetic identity fraud. Institutions must keep pace with criminals by hiring and retaining expert data scientists and financial crime specialists. Virtual assets must be brought under AML/CFT regulation, public-private partnerships should codevelop tools to spot emerging risks, and global standards from the FATF and the Financial Stability Board must be backed by national investments in effective AML/CFT frameworks.
Consistent and coordinated implementation is important. Fragmented efforts leave openings for criminals. Their growing technological advantage over governments threatens to undermine financial integrity, destabilize economies, weaken already fragile institutions, and erode public trust in systems meant to ensure safety and fairness. As crime rings adopt and adapt emerging technologies to outpace enforcement, the cost is not only fiscal—it is structural and systemic. Governments can’t wait. The criminals won’t.

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Multilateral development banks reaffirm commitment to climate finance, pledge innovative funding for adaptation

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Multilateral development banks have reaffirmed their commitment to climate finance, pledging to scale up innovative funding to boost climate adaptation and resilience. “Financing climate resilience is not a cost, but an investment.” This was the key message from senior MDB officials at the end of a side event organised by the Climate Investment Funds (CIF) on the opening day of the 30th United Nations Climate Conference (COP30) in Belém, Brazil.

The conference runs from 10 to 21 November. During a panel discussion titled “Accelerating large-scale climate change adaptation,” MDB representatives, including the African Development Bank Group, outlined how their institutions are fulfilling Paris Agreement commitments by mobilising substantial and innovative resources for climate adaptation and mitigation. Ilan Goldfajn, President of the Inter-American Development Bank Group, emphasised that “resilience is more than a concern for the future: it is also essential for development today.” He announced that MDBs are tripling their financing for resilience over the next decade, targeting $42 billion by 2030.

“At the Inter-American Development Bank, we are turning preparedness into protection and resilience into opportunity,” Goldfajn added. Tanja Faller, Director of Technical Evaluation and Monitoring at the Council of Europe Development Bank, stressed that climate change “not only creates new threats, but also amplifies existing inequalities. The most socially vulnerable people are the hardest hit and the last to recover. This is how a climate crisis also becomes a social crisis.” Representatives from the Islamic Development Bank, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, the Asian Development Bank, the World Bank Group, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development,  the European Investment Bank, the New Development Bank and IDB Invest (the private sector arm of the Inter-American Development Bank Group) also shared concrete examples of successful adaptation investments and strategies for mobilising new resources.

Kevin Kariuki, Vice President of the African Development Bank Group in charge of Power, Energy, Climate and Green Growth, presented the Bank’s leadership in advancing climate adaptation and mitigation. “At the African Development Bank, we understand the priorities of our countries: adaptation and mitigation are at the heart of our climate interventions.” He highlighted the creation of the Climate Action Window, a new financing mechanism under the African Development Fund, the Bank Group’s concessional window for low-income countries.

“The African Development Bank is the only multilateral development bank with a portfolio of adaptation projects ready for investment through the Climate Action Window,” Kariuki noted, adding that Germany, the United Kingdom and Switzerland are among key co-financing partners. Kariuki also showcased the Bank’s YouthADAPT programme, which has invested $5.4 million in 41 youth-led enterprises across 20 African countries, generating more than 10,000 jobs — 61 percent of which are led by women, and mobilising an additional $7 million in private and donor funding.

Representatives from Zambia, Mozambique and Jamaica also shared local perspectives on the financing needs of communities most exposed to climate risk. The panel followed the official opening of COP30, marked by a passionate appeal from Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for greater climate investment to prevent a “tragedy for humanity.”

“Without the Paris Agreement, we would see a 4–5°C increase in global temperatures,” Lula warned. “Our call to action is based on three pillars: honouring commitments; accelerating public action with a roadmap enabling humanity to move away from fossil fuels and deforestation; and placing humanity at the heart of the climate action programme: thousands of people are living in poverty and deprivation as a result of climate change. The climate emergency is a crisis of inequality,” he continued.

“We must build a future that is not doomed to tragedy. We must ensure that we live in a world where we can still dream.” Outgoing COP President Mukhtar Babayevn, Azerbaijan’s Minister of Ecology, urged developed nations to fulfil their promises made at the Baku Conference, including commitments to mobilise $300 billion in climate finance. He called for stronger political will and multilateral cooperation, before handing over the COP presidency to Brazilian diplomat André Corrêa do Lago, who now leads the negotiations.

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