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The Tah Doctrine: a Presidential mandate for Africa’s next chapter

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By Chinedu Moghalu
 The election of Dr. Sidi Ould Tah as the 9th President of the African Development Bank (AfDB) today at the Annual General Meeting in Abidjan, with a commanding 73% of Regional Member Countries (RMCs) and 77% overall—a double mandate never before achieved in the Bank’s history—was no surprise to those who have watched the quiet unraveling of a Bank created to be Africa’s development enabler. For years, the AfDB has toggled between caution and vision. The moment now demands more: a catalytic presidency—and with it, a doctrine. Dr. Tah will formally assume office in September 2025. But already, Africa and its partners are reading the signs—not of personality, but of direction. This is not just a transition in leadership. It is the emergence of a doctrine—defined not by ideology or theatrics, but by execution. What Dr. Tah brings is not a manifesto. It is a method. At the Arab Bank for Economic Development in Africa (BADEA), which he led for over a decade, his record speaks volumes. Annual approvals rose twelvefold, disbursements eightfold, and BADEA became a serious actor in infrastructure, SME finance, digital platforms, and fragile-state engagement. He secured a 376% capital expansion and launched the institution’s first ten-year strategy. In May 2025, just weeks before his election to the AfDB, S&P Global upgraded BADEA’s long-term credit rating to AA+, ranking it among the world’s most trusted development finance institutions. No slogan can outshine that.
 From this track record emerges The Tah Doctrine—a presidential mandate anchored on five interlocking pillars: Execution, Scale, Innovation, Inclusion, and Institutional Fitness. This is a doctrine not of promises, but of purposeful architecture. It argues that Africa cannot industrialize, integrate, or secure its future without institutions that are fast, flexible, and fit for today’s shifting global terrain. It is not ideology. It is engineering.
This is a doctrine for our time. Global financing is becoming more selective. Development aid is narrowing. Trade rules increasingly hinge on environmental thresholds and compliance regimes. Meanwhile, Africa’s population is surging, cities are expanding, and infrastructure, energy, and food demand is intensifying. The AfDB must evolve as a broker of capital, policy coherence, and regional ambition. That begins with scale. The Bank’s current lending of around $10 billion annually falls far short of the continent’s $100 billion+ infrastructure and development financing gap. Under the Tah Doctrine, scale is not optional—it is foundational. Expect bold pursuit of capital expansion: through general capital increases, callable capital reforms, and blended finance vehicles that crowd in private capital. The Africa Investment Forum (AIF) will likely be reimagined—not as a yearly showcase, but as a syndication platform for sovereign wealth, pension, and long-term institutional investors.
 But scale without execution delivers little. What Dr. Tah proved at BADEA—and what he brings to AfDB—is a delivery mindset. A culture of results. Infrastructure financing that moves beyond feasibility studies. Education support that extends past enrollment. Agriculture financed from seed to scale. Delivery becomes not aspiration—but a recurring outcome.
 This presidency draws a sharper line between funds approved and futures changed. On innovation, the doctrine is equally bold. At BADEA, Dr. Tah backed programmable Islamic finance, AI-enabled agri-tools, and digital SME ecosystems. At AfDB, expect programmable trade finance, interoperable regional payment systems, smart export insurance, and regional digital infrastructure to help African producers adjust to ESG and carbon border compliance. Innovation is not framed as novelty—but necessity. If the Washington Consensus emphasized liberalization, privatization, and fiscal discipline, The Tah Doctrine moves in a different but complementary direction: toward catalytic, state-capable institutions, deeper market coordination, and unambiguous African agency in shaping development tools. It builds on prior eras—without mimicking them—tailoring tools to Africa’s evolving context. Infrastructure is not just concrete—it is continuity. Delivery is not a one-off—it is a system. And credibility lies in what is sustained, not just approved.
 Crucially, the doctrine’s heartbeat is African. It draws not from ideology, but from the spirit of Ubuntu: I am because we are. Development, in this framing, is not imposed. It is co-created. It is collective. It is institutionalized in models that reflect the dignity, urgency, and ambition of the people they serve. The Tah Doctrine channels this ethic into institutional form. It asserts that African ambition must no longer be outsourced—and African potential no longer postponed. It builds the scaffolding—legal, financial, and institutional—through which that ambition becomes real. Not exclusion, but coherence. Not dominance, but stewardship. A revitalized Africa Investment Forum is almost certain: one that functions year-round, curating pipelines, syndicating capital, and accelerating financial closure—not just convening panels. The Forum’s future mandate will likely deepen: mobilizing capital with accountability, not just interest. Alongside it, the doctrine envisions an Export Transition Facility—a practical tool to help African firms adjust to emerging trade expectations, including ESG benchmarks and carbon adjustments. These are not distant ideas. They are today’s imperatives.
On regional integration, the doctrine is pragmatic. It aligns the Bank’s trade and industrial financing with the promise of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA)—not as rhetoric, but as real infrastructure. Corridors built. Ports financed. Standards harmonized. Supply chains activated. Private-sector-led value chains unblocked. The same clarity applies to inclusion. Africa’s women and youth are not sidelines—they are the engine. At BADEA, Dr. Tah introduced youth leadership programs, green entrepreneurship tools, and financing for women-led businesses in fragile settings. These weren’t gestures. They were productivity plays. The starting point was access. The goal was agency. At AfDB, expect gender-intentional SME financing, employment-linked blended capital, and new vehicles for agribusiness, fintech, and light manufacturing—designed for the businesses Africa’s youth are building now. This is inclusion by design, not default. A presidency that treats Africa’s demographic shift as a competitive edge, not a crisis.
 Still, no doctrine—however compelling—is immune to the realities of a mature institution. AfDB does not pivot on charisma. But that is not how Dr. Tah leads. His approach is structured, disciplined, and quiet. This is not a vision about one man. It is about institutions that outlast personalities, strategies that transcend terms, and delivery that embeds credibility into systems. He is not coming to disrupt. He is coming to deliver. And that, ultimately, is the promise of The Tah Doctrine: it does not seek rupture. It seeks renewal. Skeptics will emerge. But precedent matters. BADEA wasn’t reformed by press releases. It was transformed by performance. That legacy now accompanies Dr. Tah to AfDB. This doctrine is not a challenge to the world. It is a message to Africa—and a proposition to partners: that credible institutions, when backed by clarity and delivery, can become engines of transformation. And so we return to the quiet force of it all. The Tah Doctrine insists that Africa’s future must no longer be delayed by bureaucracy, denied by capital, or defined by others. It must be delivered—by Africans, in partnership with the world, through institutions that work. nThis is not sentiment. It is strategy. Not hope. But architecture—deliberate, evolving, and accountable. Doctrines are not judged in theory. They are judged in lives. In roads. In jobs. In trust earned. And this one—this one—will be judged not by what it says. But by what it builds.
 
*Chinedu Moghalu is a strategic communications expert, lawyer, and public policy adviser with over two decades of leadership across government, international organisations, and development institutions. He has directed high-level communications and government relations at the African Risk Capacity and the Global Center on Adaptation, and has worked with the Global Fund, ILO, and national institutions to shape reform efforts across health, education, climate resilience, and trade. A specialist in human capital development and behaviour change, he brings deep expertise in advocacy, media relations, social marketing, and stakeholder engagement—translating complex reform into compelling narratives that mobilise partnerships and drive systems change. His work spans Africa and Europe. He holds degrees in political science, communication for development, and law, and has completed executive training at Harvard Kennedy School and the University of Maryland in the United States

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As EU plans Russian Gas exit, Ministers to convene in Paris to chart Africa’s export potential

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In the wake of seismic shifts in the European energy landscape, the Invest in African Energy (IAE) 2026 Forum in Paris will host a Ministerial Dialogue on “Unlocking Africa’s Gas Supply for Global Energy Security.” This strategic session will examine how Africa can turn its untapped gas reserves into a reliable and sustainable source of supply. With Europe seeking to diversify away from Russian gas, the dialogue highlights both the continent’s growing role in global energy markets and the opportunity for African producers to attract long-term investment. Recent developments underscore the urgency of Africa’s role in global energy security. Last month, EU countries agreed to phase out their remaining Russian gas imports, with existing contracts benefiting from a transition period: short-term contracts can continue until June 2026, while long-term contracts will run until January 2028. In parallel, the European Commission is pushing to end Russian LNG imports by January 2027 under a broader sanctions package aimed at limiting Moscow’s energy revenues.

Africa’s role in this rebalancing is already gaining momentum. Algeria recently renewed its gas supply agreement with ČEZ Group, ensuring continued deliveries to the Czech Republic. In Libya, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) has approved new compressors at the Bahr Essalam field to boost output and reinforce flows via the Greenstream pipeline to Italy. These developments complement the Structures A&E offshore project – led by Eni and the NOC – which is expected to bring two platforms online by 2026 and produce up to 750 million cubic feet per day, supporting both domestic and European demand. West Africa is pursuing ambitious export routes as well.

Nigeria, Algeria and Niger have revived the Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline (TSGP), with engineering firm Penspen commissioned earlier this year to revalidate its feasibility. The proposed $25 billion Nigeria–Morocco pipeline is also advancing as a long-term corridor linking West African gas to European markets. Meanwhile, the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim (GTA) project off Mauritania and Senegal came online earlier this year, with its first phase targeting 2.3 million tons of LNG annually. In June, the project delivered its third cargo to Belgium’s Zeebrugge terminal, marking the first African LNG shipment from GTA to Europe. Together, these milestones underscore a strategic convergence: African producers are accelerating efforts to scale up exports just as Europe intensifies its search for reliable alternatives to Russian gas.

Yet, as the ministerial session will explore, unlocking Africa’s gas supply demands sustained investment, regulatory alignment, environmental management and community engagement. For Europe, diversification of supply is a strategic necessity; for African producers, it is an opportunity to accelerate development, build infrastructure and secure long-term capital. At IAE 2026, these shifts will be examined by the officials and stakeholders driving them. The Ministerial Dialogue brings African energy leaders together with European policymakers, industry players and investors in a setting that supports practical, solution-focused discussion on supply, export strategies and future cooperation. As Europe adapts its gas strategy and African producers progress major projects, the Forum provides a direct platform for ministers to outline priorities and for investors to engage with key decision-makers.

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Authorities must respond as digital tools used by organized criminals accelerate financial crime—IMF

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International Monetary Fund IMF, has said that criminals are outpacing enforcement by adapting ever faster ways to carry out digital fraud. The INF in a Blog post said the Department of Justice in June announced the largest-ever US crypto seizure: $225 million from crypto scams known as pig butchering, in which organized criminals, often across borders, use advanced technology and social engineering such as romance or investment schemes to manipulate victims. This typically involves using AI-generated profiles, encrypted messaging, and obscured blockchain transactions to hide and move stolen funds. It was a big win. Federal agents collaborated across jurisdictions and used blockchain analysis and machine learning to track thousands of wallets used to scam more than 400 victims. Yet it was also a rare victory that underscored how authorities often must play catch-up in a fast-changing digital world. And the scammers are still out there. They pick the best tools for their schemes, from laundering money through crypto and AI-enabled impersonation to producing deepfake content, encrypted apps, and decentralized exchanges. Authorities confronting anonymous, borderless threats are held back by jurisdiction, process, and legacy systems.
Annual illicit crypto activity growth has averaged about 25 percent in recent years and may have surpassed $51 billion last year, according to Chainalysis, a New York–based blockchain analysis firm specializing in helping criminal investigators trace transactions. Bad actors still depend on cash and traditional finance, and money laundering specifically relies on banks, informal money changers, and cash couriers. But the old ways are being reinforced or supercharged by technologies to thwart detection and disruption.
Encrypted messaging apps help cartels coordinate cross-border transactions. Stablecoins and lightly regulated virtual asset platforms can hide bribes and embezzled funds. Cybercriminals use AI-generated identities and bots to deceive banks and evade outdated controls. Tracking proceeds generated by organized crime is nearly impossible for underresourced agencies. AI lowers barriers to entry. Fraudsters with voice-cloning and fake-document generators bypass the verification protocols many banks and regulators still use. Their innovation is growing as compliance systems lag. Governments recognize the threats, but responses are fragmented and uneven—including in regulation of crypto exchanges. And there are delays implementing the Financial Action Task Force’s (FATF’s) “travel rule” to better identify those sending and receiving money across borders, which most digital proceeds cross.
Meanwhile, international financial flows are increasingly complicated by instant transfers on decentralized platforms and anonymity-enhancing tools. Most payments still go through multiple intermediaries, often layering cross-border transactions through antiquated correspondent banks that obscure and delay transactions while raising costs. This helps criminals exploit oversight gaps, jurisdictional coordination, and technological capacity to operate across borders, often undetected.
Regulators and fintechs should be partners, and sustained multilateral engagement should foster fast, cheap, transparent, and traceable cross-border payments. There’s a parallel narrative. Criminals exploit innovation for secrecy and speed while companies and governments test coordination to reduce vulnerabilities and modernize cross-border infrastructure. At the same time, technological implications remain underexplored with respect to anti–money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism, or AML/CFT. Singapore’s and Thailand’s linked fast payment systems, for example, enable real-time retail transfers using mobile numbers; Indonesia and Malaysia have connected QR codes for cross-border payments. Such innovations offer efficiency and inclusion yet raise new issues regarding identity verification, transaction monitoring, and regulatory coordination.
In India, the Unified payments interface enables seamless transfers across apps and platforms, highlighting the power of interoperable design. More than 18 billion monthly transactions, many across competing platforms, show how openness and standardization drive scale and inclusion. Digital payments in India grew faster when interoperability improved, especially in fragmented markets where switching was costly, IMF research shows These regional innovations and global initiatives reflect a growing understanding that fighting crime and fostering inclusion are interlinked priorities—especially as criminals speed ahead. The FATF echoed this concern, urging countries to design AML/CFT controls that support inclusion and innovation. Moreover, an FATF June recommendation marks a major advance: Requiring originator and beneficiary information for cross-border wire transfers—including those involving virtual assets—will enhance traceability across the fast-evolving digital financial ecosystem.
Efforts like these are important examples of how technology enables criminal advantage, but technology must also be part of the regulatory response.
Modernizing cross-border payment systems and reducing unintended AML/CFT barriers increasingly means focusing on transparency, interoperability, and risk-based regulation. The IMF’s work on “safe payment corridors” supports this by helping countries build trusted, secure channels for legitimate financial flows without undermining new technology. A pilot with Samoa —where de-risking has disrupted remittances—showed how targeted safeguards and collaboration with regulated providers can preserve access while maintaining financial integrity without disrupting the use of new payment platforms.
Several countries, with IMF guidance, are investing in machine learning to detect anomalies in cross-border financial flows, and others are tightening regulation of virtual asset service providers. Governments are investing in their own capacity to trace crypto transfers, and blockchain analytics firms are often employed to do that. IMF analysis of cross-border flows and the updated FATF rules are mutually reinforcing. If implemented cohesively, they can help digital efficiency coexist with financial integrity. For that to happen, legal frameworks must adapt to enable timely access to digital evidence while preserving due process. Supervisory models need to evolve to oversee both banks and nonbank financial institutions offering cross-border services. Regulators and fintechs should be partners, and sustained multilateral engagement should foster fast, cheap, transparent, and traceable cross-border payments—anchored interoperable standards that also respect privacy.
Governments must keep up. That means investing in regulatory technology, such as AI-powered transaction monitoring and blockchain analysis, and giving agencies tools and expertise to detect complex crypto schemes and synthetic identity fraud. Institutions must keep pace with criminals by hiring and retaining expert data scientists and financial crime specialists. Virtual assets must be brought under AML/CFT regulation, public-private partnerships should codevelop tools to spot emerging risks, and global standards from the FATF and the Financial Stability Board must be backed by national investments in effective AML/CFT frameworks.
Consistent and coordinated implementation is important. Fragmented efforts leave openings for criminals. Their growing technological advantage over governments threatens to undermine financial integrity, destabilize economies, weaken already fragile institutions, and erode public trust in systems meant to ensure safety and fairness. As crime rings adopt and adapt emerging technologies to outpace enforcement, the cost is not only fiscal—it is structural and systemic. Governments can’t wait. The criminals won’t.

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Multilateral development banks reaffirm commitment to climate finance, pledge innovative funding for adaptation

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Multilateral development banks have reaffirmed their commitment to climate finance, pledging to scale up innovative funding to boost climate adaptation and resilience. “Financing climate resilience is not a cost, but an investment.” This was the key message from senior MDB officials at the end of a side event organised by the Climate Investment Funds (CIF) on the opening day of the 30th United Nations Climate Conference (COP30) in Belém, Brazil.

The conference runs from 10 to 21 November. During a panel discussion titled “Accelerating large-scale climate change adaptation,” MDB representatives, including the African Development Bank Group, outlined how their institutions are fulfilling Paris Agreement commitments by mobilising substantial and innovative resources for climate adaptation and mitigation. Ilan Goldfajn, President of the Inter-American Development Bank Group, emphasised that “resilience is more than a concern for the future: it is also essential for development today.” He announced that MDBs are tripling their financing for resilience over the next decade, targeting $42 billion by 2030.

“At the Inter-American Development Bank, we are turning preparedness into protection and resilience into opportunity,” Goldfajn added. Tanja Faller, Director of Technical Evaluation and Monitoring at the Council of Europe Development Bank, stressed that climate change “not only creates new threats, but also amplifies existing inequalities. The most socially vulnerable people are the hardest hit and the last to recover. This is how a climate crisis also becomes a social crisis.” Representatives from the Islamic Development Bank, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, the Asian Development Bank, the World Bank Group, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development,  the European Investment Bank, the New Development Bank and IDB Invest (the private sector arm of the Inter-American Development Bank Group) also shared concrete examples of successful adaptation investments and strategies for mobilising new resources.

Kevin Kariuki, Vice President of the African Development Bank Group in charge of Power, Energy, Climate and Green Growth, presented the Bank’s leadership in advancing climate adaptation and mitigation. “At the African Development Bank, we understand the priorities of our countries: adaptation and mitigation are at the heart of our climate interventions.” He highlighted the creation of the Climate Action Window, a new financing mechanism under the African Development Fund, the Bank Group’s concessional window for low-income countries.

“The African Development Bank is the only multilateral development bank with a portfolio of adaptation projects ready for investment through the Climate Action Window,” Kariuki noted, adding that Germany, the United Kingdom and Switzerland are among key co-financing partners. Kariuki also showcased the Bank’s YouthADAPT programme, which has invested $5.4 million in 41 youth-led enterprises across 20 African countries, generating more than 10,000 jobs — 61 percent of which are led by women, and mobilising an additional $7 million in private and donor funding.

Representatives from Zambia, Mozambique and Jamaica also shared local perspectives on the financing needs of communities most exposed to climate risk. The panel followed the official opening of COP30, marked by a passionate appeal from Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for greater climate investment to prevent a “tragedy for humanity.”

“Without the Paris Agreement, we would see a 4–5°C increase in global temperatures,” Lula warned. “Our call to action is based on three pillars: honouring commitments; accelerating public action with a roadmap enabling humanity to move away from fossil fuels and deforestation; and placing humanity at the heart of the climate action programme: thousands of people are living in poverty and deprivation as a result of climate change. The climate emergency is a crisis of inequality,” he continued.

“We must build a future that is not doomed to tragedy. We must ensure that we live in a world where we can still dream.” Outgoing COP President Mukhtar Babayevn, Azerbaijan’s Minister of Ecology, urged developed nations to fulfil their promises made at the Baku Conference, including commitments to mobilise $300 billion in climate finance. He called for stronger political will and multilateral cooperation, before handing over the COP presidency to Brazilian diplomat André Corrêa do Lago, who now leads the negotiations.

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