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Analysis

Trial and error policies that have damaged Nigeria financial markets

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The handling of the Nigeria banking crisis portrays every investor in Nigeria economy as a common criminal who should not be trusted and must be dealt with. Going by the current CBN governor=s understanding of his role in the economy, his responsibility starts and ends with protecting depositors only. . For all he cares, investors in the banking sector can go to hell. Right from the time he took over as the Governor, he made it clear to all who cared to listen that he is out to protect depositors and all shareholders in the rescued banks have lost their investment. With that attitude what happens in the capital market does not matter to him.

If CBN has responsibility to protect depositors in the banks, the Securities and Exchange Commission, the Nigerian Stock Exchange have the primary responsibilities to protect investor=s interest in the capital market. As it is, these two bodies have been swallowed by the all powerful CBN.

Yet the economy needs investment to grow and create jobs for the teeming unemployed youths in the country.
The CBN was quick to argue during the global financial crisis that the stock market collapsed when foreign investors pulled out their investment in the market. Any economist would have thought that the focus of policy makers would have centered on how to rebuild confidence in the market and get the foreign investors who left the economy to return. But in the past two years all monetary policies have been geared to drive investors. Each passing day the utterances and actions of the market regulators further damage the confidence. As it is today no sane local and foreign investor will approach the Nigeria capital market for investment. The evidence of this is what happened on Wednesday when the management of the Nigerian Stock Exchange openly begged investors to stop dumping their shares. There is total loss of confidence in the market.

The take over of three out of the eight rescued banks has resulted in panic dumping of bank shares at the secondary market of Nigeria capital market. In the last two years no new shares have been issued. Last Monday alone, investors lost a total of N138.932 billion at the Sock Exchange as the market value of all the shares listed, which opened the day=s trading at N7.484 trillion, dipped by 1.86 per cent to close at N7.345 trillion. The All share index, another key performance indicator also dropped by 1.86 per cent or 434.33 basis points to close at 22,963.11 points from 23,397.44 points at which it opened. Banks= stocks were the worst hit, as 11 banks recorded significant decline in their share prices. As a result, the NSE Banking index, representing major banking stocks dipped by 3.66 per cent to close at 317.33 points from 329.38 points.

Investors had a week before lost N137.4 billion as the total market value of shares dropped by 1.80 per cent to N7.484 trillion from N7.621 trillion at which it opened the week. On Tuesday investors again lost N141.96 billion as the total value of all the shares listed at the Exchange dipped by 1.93 per cent to close at 7.203 trillion from N7.345 trillion at which it commenced the day=s trading.

The All share index dropped by 1.93 per cent or 443.79 bases points to close at 22,519.32 points from 22,963.11 points. The NSE Banking index further declined by 4.22 per cent to close at 303.93 points from 317.33 points. This was brought about by massive decline in the share price of majority of the banks, as 13 banks recorded significant losses in their share prices. A turnover of 401.08 million shares valued at N2.96 billion was recorded in 5,196 deals.
What is more disturbing is that several multi national companies that are listed on the exchange having seen the lack of focus and discipline in the financial markets have applied to be de listed from the exchange. This is gives cause for worry as to the future of the Nigerian Stock market. As it is it will take a long time before the market recovers..

The delisting by executive fiat of BankPHB, Spring Bank and Afribank from the Stock Exchange without following procedures has given foreign investors reasons to believe that Nigeria has no respect for sanctity of investment contract. To De list a company from trading at the exchange, the management of the Stock Exchange will have to take a memo to the council of the exchange for consent and shareholders are adequately briefed of the intention and appropriate fees paid before such a company can be de listed.

The CBN had given September 30 as deadline for the eight rescued banks to re capitalise but the investing public woke up two Fridays ago to hear that the three banks have been acquired. Worse still the following Monday, management, board and a new name were announced for the banks. Investors in that bank woke up to find that the share certificates in their hands were worthless. They can neither trade nor sell off those shares because the banks under which they bought those shares have been taken over by NDIC on the order of the CBN.

Where were SEC and NSE when theses decisions were being taken? Did they not realise the implication this would have on those they were employed to protect? What moral ground will they have to urge Nigerians to patronize the capital market in the future? What will Sanusi, Arunma Oteh and Obi, be telling foreign investors when wooing them to come and invest in Nigeria? When will Nigeria public officials learn to obey the rule of law and put public interest above personal agenda? The action of the authorities has further damaged the shaking confidence that was building in the market. The CBN had in August 2009 injected the sum of N620 billion into the eight banks it bailed out and the three nationalised banks were among. Last Friday AMCON injected another N679 billion of public funds into the three bringing the total fund injected into the rescued banks to a whooping N 1.299 trillion though the three banks said they have paid off CBN.

But before the CBN intervention, the Expanded Discount Window the CBN opened for the banks to support them was N270 billion facility from which they could borrow. That window was closed by Sanusi thus leaving the troubled banks naked. Would it not have been better for the CBN to use the Expanded Discount Window to manage the troubled banks than the total mess the economy has been put through now?

SEC and NSE have failed in protecting investors, the NSE may be deemed complicit in the series of events beginning from the consolidation share offers and subsequent abuses that has led to the banks= problems and nationalisation. AUnfortunately the current leadership of NSE/SEC may correctly claim that these issues pre dated their tenures, and that they are taking corrective action. AOrdinary investors are the ultimate losers in this crisis. The bankers have become rich; depositors are protected; while CBN/NDIC/AMCON among others flex muscles with the bank owners.

The major concern of both local and foreign investors is the re entry of the federal government into the banking sector and the market distorting effect this is likely to have on the growth and development of the sector. This was the same option the CBN told the world it considered not feasible at the start of the current reforms. It appears that what is happening is a deliberate act to destabilise the whole financial markets and threaten the whole economy. The advice that institutional investors and financial analyst will be giving to investors now is to steer clear of the Nigeria financial markets and start looking for alternative markets and economy in the sub region
From the look of things AInvestors= protection is not on the agenda of SEC and NSE as the actions of the regulators especially in the last two years have heightened the political and investment risks of the country, which means we have finally lost the confidence of foreign and local investors in our capital markets. No investors will invest where situation like this happens.@

Reactions
My brother do not mind Sanusi, he is trying to turn away attention from the real problem at hand to the sentimental issue of Islamic banking. He should resign.
+2348059151081
Not all the water in the rude rough sea can wash the balm from an anointed king
+23480472965750
Dear Omoh Gabriel thank you sincerely for helping many Nigerians understand the full implication of non interest banking spearheaded by CBN Governor. Like you pointed out there is nothing wrong introducing interest freebank by the apex bank but basing the rules for their establishment and operations in a secular state on an Islamic frame work is provocative. Does the CBN governor expect Christians wanting to float such banks to subscribe to Sharia laws as against conventional banking laws? Will he and fellow Muslims submit if it were a Christian law? People like Tony Momoh need to understand this. This singular act is enough for government to remove Sanusi Lamido Sanusi from office were it to be a Christian under a Moslem President. His actions are more threatening and serious than that of Professor Iwu. One hopes the National Assembly and Mr. President are watching.
+2347029636767
Dear Omoh, I commend your efforts in seeing to it that sanity and good governance become a norm in Nigeria. However, I disagree with you that EFCC are not stopping the thieves that are stealing us blind. I am of the opinion of why stop the thieves after they had stolen why not stop them before stealing in the first place. EFCC is not a watch agency and even then, they go after those that are petitioned. What we need to do is to make draconian laws like China has done against those that steal public funds and make our parliaments and politics to be less lucrative. I call on you to use your column to advocate a part time parliament where legislators will earn sitting allowances only. This will put an end to lots of the problems we are facing at the moment.
Abdaziz Badamasi, Ogbomoso
+2348035990022
Your mind boggling revelations in your column made interesting reading. This is a wake up call to the Farida Waziri led EFCC.
Somnazu Francis Asaba
+2348026201736
Sequel to your article on the kind of ministers we need now Mr. President should appoint people that know the pains of the masses and people that has his kind of vision not by favouritism.
+2348058604631

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Analysis

As EU plans Russian Gas exit, Ministers to convene in Paris to chart Africa’s export potential

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In the wake of seismic shifts in the European energy landscape, the Invest in African Energy (IAE) 2026 Forum in Paris will host a Ministerial Dialogue on “Unlocking Africa’s Gas Supply for Global Energy Security.” This strategic session will examine how Africa can turn its untapped gas reserves into a reliable and sustainable source of supply. With Europe seeking to diversify away from Russian gas, the dialogue highlights both the continent’s growing role in global energy markets and the opportunity for African producers to attract long-term investment. Recent developments underscore the urgency of Africa’s role in global energy security. Last month, EU countries agreed to phase out their remaining Russian gas imports, with existing contracts benefiting from a transition period: short-term contracts can continue until June 2026, while long-term contracts will run until January 2028. In parallel, the European Commission is pushing to end Russian LNG imports by January 2027 under a broader sanctions package aimed at limiting Moscow’s energy revenues.

Africa’s role in this rebalancing is already gaining momentum. Algeria recently renewed its gas supply agreement with ČEZ Group, ensuring continued deliveries to the Czech Republic. In Libya, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) has approved new compressors at the Bahr Essalam field to boost output and reinforce flows via the Greenstream pipeline to Italy. These developments complement the Structures A&E offshore project – led by Eni and the NOC – which is expected to bring two platforms online by 2026 and produce up to 750 million cubic feet per day, supporting both domestic and European demand. West Africa is pursuing ambitious export routes as well.

Nigeria, Algeria and Niger have revived the Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline (TSGP), with engineering firm Penspen commissioned earlier this year to revalidate its feasibility. The proposed $25 billion Nigeria–Morocco pipeline is also advancing as a long-term corridor linking West African gas to European markets. Meanwhile, the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim (GTA) project off Mauritania and Senegal came online earlier this year, with its first phase targeting 2.3 million tons of LNG annually. In June, the project delivered its third cargo to Belgium’s Zeebrugge terminal, marking the first African LNG shipment from GTA to Europe. Together, these milestones underscore a strategic convergence: African producers are accelerating efforts to scale up exports just as Europe intensifies its search for reliable alternatives to Russian gas.

Yet, as the ministerial session will explore, unlocking Africa’s gas supply demands sustained investment, regulatory alignment, environmental management and community engagement. For Europe, diversification of supply is a strategic necessity; for African producers, it is an opportunity to accelerate development, build infrastructure and secure long-term capital. At IAE 2026, these shifts will be examined by the officials and stakeholders driving them. The Ministerial Dialogue brings African energy leaders together with European policymakers, industry players and investors in a setting that supports practical, solution-focused discussion on supply, export strategies and future cooperation. As Europe adapts its gas strategy and African producers progress major projects, the Forum provides a direct platform for ministers to outline priorities and for investors to engage with key decision-makers.

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Authorities must respond as digital tools used by organized criminals accelerate financial crime—IMF

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International Monetary Fund IMF, has said that criminals are outpacing enforcement by adapting ever faster ways to carry out digital fraud. The INF in a Blog post said the Department of Justice in June announced the largest-ever US crypto seizure: $225 million from crypto scams known as pig butchering, in which organized criminals, often across borders, use advanced technology and social engineering such as romance or investment schemes to manipulate victims. This typically involves using AI-generated profiles, encrypted messaging, and obscured blockchain transactions to hide and move stolen funds. It was a big win. Federal agents collaborated across jurisdictions and used blockchain analysis and machine learning to track thousands of wallets used to scam more than 400 victims. Yet it was also a rare victory that underscored how authorities often must play catch-up in a fast-changing digital world. And the scammers are still out there. They pick the best tools for their schemes, from laundering money through crypto and AI-enabled impersonation to producing deepfake content, encrypted apps, and decentralized exchanges. Authorities confronting anonymous, borderless threats are held back by jurisdiction, process, and legacy systems.
Annual illicit crypto activity growth has averaged about 25 percent in recent years and may have surpassed $51 billion last year, according to Chainalysis, a New York–based blockchain analysis firm specializing in helping criminal investigators trace transactions. Bad actors still depend on cash and traditional finance, and money laundering specifically relies on banks, informal money changers, and cash couriers. But the old ways are being reinforced or supercharged by technologies to thwart detection and disruption.
Encrypted messaging apps help cartels coordinate cross-border transactions. Stablecoins and lightly regulated virtual asset platforms can hide bribes and embezzled funds. Cybercriminals use AI-generated identities and bots to deceive banks and evade outdated controls. Tracking proceeds generated by organized crime is nearly impossible for underresourced agencies. AI lowers barriers to entry. Fraudsters with voice-cloning and fake-document generators bypass the verification protocols many banks and regulators still use. Their innovation is growing as compliance systems lag. Governments recognize the threats, but responses are fragmented and uneven—including in regulation of crypto exchanges. And there are delays implementing the Financial Action Task Force’s (FATF’s) “travel rule” to better identify those sending and receiving money across borders, which most digital proceeds cross.
Meanwhile, international financial flows are increasingly complicated by instant transfers on decentralized platforms and anonymity-enhancing tools. Most payments still go through multiple intermediaries, often layering cross-border transactions through antiquated correspondent banks that obscure and delay transactions while raising costs. This helps criminals exploit oversight gaps, jurisdictional coordination, and technological capacity to operate across borders, often undetected.
Regulators and fintechs should be partners, and sustained multilateral engagement should foster fast, cheap, transparent, and traceable cross-border payments. There’s a parallel narrative. Criminals exploit innovation for secrecy and speed while companies and governments test coordination to reduce vulnerabilities and modernize cross-border infrastructure. At the same time, technological implications remain underexplored with respect to anti–money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism, or AML/CFT. Singapore’s and Thailand’s linked fast payment systems, for example, enable real-time retail transfers using mobile numbers; Indonesia and Malaysia have connected QR codes for cross-border payments. Such innovations offer efficiency and inclusion yet raise new issues regarding identity verification, transaction monitoring, and regulatory coordination.
In India, the Unified payments interface enables seamless transfers across apps and platforms, highlighting the power of interoperable design. More than 18 billion monthly transactions, many across competing platforms, show how openness and standardization drive scale and inclusion. Digital payments in India grew faster when interoperability improved, especially in fragmented markets where switching was costly, IMF research shows These regional innovations and global initiatives reflect a growing understanding that fighting crime and fostering inclusion are interlinked priorities—especially as criminals speed ahead. The FATF echoed this concern, urging countries to design AML/CFT controls that support inclusion and innovation. Moreover, an FATF June recommendation marks a major advance: Requiring originator and beneficiary information for cross-border wire transfers—including those involving virtual assets—will enhance traceability across the fast-evolving digital financial ecosystem.
Efforts like these are important examples of how technology enables criminal advantage, but technology must also be part of the regulatory response.
Modernizing cross-border payment systems and reducing unintended AML/CFT barriers increasingly means focusing on transparency, interoperability, and risk-based regulation. The IMF’s work on “safe payment corridors” supports this by helping countries build trusted, secure channels for legitimate financial flows without undermining new technology. A pilot with Samoa —where de-risking has disrupted remittances—showed how targeted safeguards and collaboration with regulated providers can preserve access while maintaining financial integrity without disrupting the use of new payment platforms.
Several countries, with IMF guidance, are investing in machine learning to detect anomalies in cross-border financial flows, and others are tightening regulation of virtual asset service providers. Governments are investing in their own capacity to trace crypto transfers, and blockchain analytics firms are often employed to do that. IMF analysis of cross-border flows and the updated FATF rules are mutually reinforcing. If implemented cohesively, they can help digital efficiency coexist with financial integrity. For that to happen, legal frameworks must adapt to enable timely access to digital evidence while preserving due process. Supervisory models need to evolve to oversee both banks and nonbank financial institutions offering cross-border services. Regulators and fintechs should be partners, and sustained multilateral engagement should foster fast, cheap, transparent, and traceable cross-border payments—anchored interoperable standards that also respect privacy.
Governments must keep up. That means investing in regulatory technology, such as AI-powered transaction monitoring and blockchain analysis, and giving agencies tools and expertise to detect complex crypto schemes and synthetic identity fraud. Institutions must keep pace with criminals by hiring and retaining expert data scientists and financial crime specialists. Virtual assets must be brought under AML/CFT regulation, public-private partnerships should codevelop tools to spot emerging risks, and global standards from the FATF and the Financial Stability Board must be backed by national investments in effective AML/CFT frameworks.
Consistent and coordinated implementation is important. Fragmented efforts leave openings for criminals. Their growing technological advantage over governments threatens to undermine financial integrity, destabilize economies, weaken already fragile institutions, and erode public trust in systems meant to ensure safety and fairness. As crime rings adopt and adapt emerging technologies to outpace enforcement, the cost is not only fiscal—it is structural and systemic. Governments can’t wait. The criminals won’t.

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Multilateral development banks reaffirm commitment to climate finance, pledge innovative funding for adaptation

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Multilateral development banks have reaffirmed their commitment to climate finance, pledging to scale up innovative funding to boost climate adaptation and resilience. “Financing climate resilience is not a cost, but an investment.” This was the key message from senior MDB officials at the end of a side event organised by the Climate Investment Funds (CIF) on the opening day of the 30th United Nations Climate Conference (COP30) in Belém, Brazil.

The conference runs from 10 to 21 November. During a panel discussion titled “Accelerating large-scale climate change adaptation,” MDB representatives, including the African Development Bank Group, outlined how their institutions are fulfilling Paris Agreement commitments by mobilising substantial and innovative resources for climate adaptation and mitigation. Ilan Goldfajn, President of the Inter-American Development Bank Group, emphasised that “resilience is more than a concern for the future: it is also essential for development today.” He announced that MDBs are tripling their financing for resilience over the next decade, targeting $42 billion by 2030.

“At the Inter-American Development Bank, we are turning preparedness into protection and resilience into opportunity,” Goldfajn added. Tanja Faller, Director of Technical Evaluation and Monitoring at the Council of Europe Development Bank, stressed that climate change “not only creates new threats, but also amplifies existing inequalities. The most socially vulnerable people are the hardest hit and the last to recover. This is how a climate crisis also becomes a social crisis.” Representatives from the Islamic Development Bank, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, the Asian Development Bank, the World Bank Group, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development,  the European Investment Bank, the New Development Bank and IDB Invest (the private sector arm of the Inter-American Development Bank Group) also shared concrete examples of successful adaptation investments and strategies for mobilising new resources.

Kevin Kariuki, Vice President of the African Development Bank Group in charge of Power, Energy, Climate and Green Growth, presented the Bank’s leadership in advancing climate adaptation and mitigation. “At the African Development Bank, we understand the priorities of our countries: adaptation and mitigation are at the heart of our climate interventions.” He highlighted the creation of the Climate Action Window, a new financing mechanism under the African Development Fund, the Bank Group’s concessional window for low-income countries.

“The African Development Bank is the only multilateral development bank with a portfolio of adaptation projects ready for investment through the Climate Action Window,” Kariuki noted, adding that Germany, the United Kingdom and Switzerland are among key co-financing partners. Kariuki also showcased the Bank’s YouthADAPT programme, which has invested $5.4 million in 41 youth-led enterprises across 20 African countries, generating more than 10,000 jobs — 61 percent of which are led by women, and mobilising an additional $7 million in private and donor funding.

Representatives from Zambia, Mozambique and Jamaica also shared local perspectives on the financing needs of communities most exposed to climate risk. The panel followed the official opening of COP30, marked by a passionate appeal from Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for greater climate investment to prevent a “tragedy for humanity.”

“Without the Paris Agreement, we would see a 4–5°C increase in global temperatures,” Lula warned. “Our call to action is based on three pillars: honouring commitments; accelerating public action with a roadmap enabling humanity to move away from fossil fuels and deforestation; and placing humanity at the heart of the climate action programme: thousands of people are living in poverty and deprivation as a result of climate change. The climate emergency is a crisis of inequality,” he continued.

“We must build a future that is not doomed to tragedy. We must ensure that we live in a world where we can still dream.” Outgoing COP President Mukhtar Babayevn, Azerbaijan’s Minister of Ecology, urged developed nations to fulfil their promises made at the Baku Conference, including commitments to mobilise $300 billion in climate finance. He called for stronger political will and multilateral cooperation, before handing over the COP presidency to Brazilian diplomat André Corrêa do Lago, who now leads the negotiations.

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