Oil price close to $80 on US crude inventory drop, weaker dollar

Oil prices hit their highest since December, 2014, pushed up after U.S. crude inventories posted a 10th straight week of declines and as the dollar continued to weaken. This is a cheering news for Nigeria as this will bring in more earnings for the three tiers of governments in the federation. Rising crude oil prices will also fast track the nation’s economic recovery.

Oil prices rallied to three-year high, boosted by a record 10th straight weekly decline in U.S. crude inventories. International benchmark Brent futures were nudging $71 per barrel, both crude benchmarks are up by almost 60 per cent since the middle of last year.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed to $66.22 per barrel in early trading, also the highest level since early December 2014.
Price support has also been coming from supply restrictions led by a group of producers around the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and Russia, which started last year and are set to last throughout 2018.

“The Saudi’s and Russians continue to work together to talk the oil market higher and last night, the countries’ two oil ministers said they were working together on other longer-term projects as well,” said Greg McKenna, chief market strategist at futures brokerage AxiTrader. “That and the dollar fall, along with another inventory draw combined to drive (crude) up,” he added. U.S. crude inventories C-STK-T-EIA fell 1.1 million barrels in the week to Jan. 19, to 411.58 million barrels, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday.

That’s the lowest seasonal level since 2015 and below the U.S. five-year average around 420 million barrels. In foreign exchange markets, the U.S. dollar hit its lowest level since December, 2014 against a basket of other leading currencies. A weakening dollar often results in financial traders taking investment out of currency markets and into commodity futures like crude. Analysts said that rising oil prices would likely start to have an inflationary effect.

Looming over the generally bullish oil market has been U.S. oil production, which is edging ever more closely towards 10 million barrels per day (bpd), hitting 9.88 million bpd last week. U.S. output has grown by more than 17 per cent since mid-2016, and is now on par with that of top exporter Saudi Arabia. Only Russia produces more, averaging 10.98 million bpd in 2017.